If you have not looked at today's selection committee raking, I recommend you do so. It's on the ESPN site. I was surprised to see how far Alabama had fallen (12th) in the ranking. If this hold, they will not make a NY6 bowl. If that was not bad enough, Wis moved ahead of Florida to eighth. While they very likely to drop after the game with Ohio St this weekend, they could still finish ahead of Florida and Bama. If they occurs, I think Florida would also fall out of the NY6 bowls.
Now I'll leave it to you to speculate where UTn ends up if Bama and Florida are slotted for Citrus and Outback. Auburn seems like the next more desirable SEC team available.