Good points and your last paragraph is partly why 8 isn’t far fetched. Ky lost two of the greatest players in their history. They relied so much on Snell to carry the load and they don’t have a capable replacement, not at that level, same for Allen at LB, kid may go top 5. Ky takes the biggest step back but not to pre Stoops level. Still think they will fight for a bowl.There aren't many gimmies on next year's schedule. Georgia St, BYU (some wouldn't call that a gimmie), UTC, UAB (some wouldn't call that a gimmie either). When you only have 4 "will win" games, putting the floor at 8 is really aggressive. At Florida, Georgia, at Alabama are likely losses. Miss St, South Carolina, at Kentucky, at Mizzou, and Vandy seem like toss ups at this point. You typically don't win huge percentages of those games.
Yes, Kentucky, Mizzou, and Vandy are all expected to be down, but I remember at this point last year we thought we had a great chance at winning each of those games. We only won one of them, and oddly enough it was against the best team of those 3. We had trouble beating Vandy and Mizzou before Shurmur and Lock too.
Mizzou is a wildcard, they lost a Lot, might even lose more?
Vandy is still Vandy. If Pruitt wants to succeed at UT, he HAS to beat Vandy, This year. If not, time to start looking again.
So, 2 of those 3 are expected, so already at 6.