Bowl Expectations Poll

Do you expect the 2019 team to be in a bowl?

  • Yes

    Votes: 515 96.1%
  • No

    Votes: 21 3.9%

  • Total voters
    536
#76
#76
There aren't many gimmies on next year's schedule. Georgia St, BYU (some wouldn't call that a gimmie), UTC, UAB (some wouldn't call that a gimmie either). When you only have 4 "will win" games, putting the floor at 8 is really aggressive. At Florida, Georgia, at Alabama are likely losses. Miss St, South Carolina, at Kentucky, at Mizzou, and Vandy seem like toss ups at this point. You typically don't win huge percentages of those games.

Yes, Kentucky, Mizzou, and Vandy are all expected to be down, but I remember at this point last year we thought we had a great chance at winning each of those games. We only won one of them, and oddly enough it was against the best team of those 3. We had trouble beating Vandy and Mizzou before Shurmur and Lock too.
Good points and your last paragraph is partly why 8 isn’t far fetched. Ky lost two of the greatest players in their history. They relied so much on Snell to carry the load and they don’t have a capable replacement, not at that level, same for Allen at LB, kid may go top 5. Ky takes the biggest step back but not to pre Stoops level. Still think they will fight for a bowl.

Mizzou is a wildcard, they lost a Lot, might even lose more?

Vandy is still Vandy. If Pruitt wants to succeed at UT, he HAS to beat Vandy, This year. If not, time to start looking again.

So, 2 of those 3 are expected, so already at 6.
 
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#77
#77
Georgia State
BYU
Chattanooga
@ Florida
Bye
Georgia
Mississippi State
@ Alabama
South Carolina
UAB
@ Kentucky
Bye
@ Missouri
Vanderbilt

I’ll remind everyone here that I had UT’s win/losses pegged almost exactly last year, including the Auburn upset. The only game I missed on was Vandy as I had UT going 6-6. Having said all that, and I reserve the right to change my mind after spring and fall practices, but here’s how I see 2019 at this point; wins against - Ga State, BYU, Chattanooga, SC, UAB and Vandy. Losses against - Florida, Georgia, Miss State, Bama, Kentucky and Missouri. 6-6 and yes, you earn a bowl game.
 
#78
#78
Good points and your last paragraph is partly why 8 isn’t far fetched. Ky lost two of the greatest players in their history. They relied so much on Snell to carry the load and they don’t have a capable replacement, not at that level, same for Allen at LB, kid may go top 5. Ky takes the biggest step back but not to pre Stoops level. Still think they will fight for a bowl.

Mizzou is a wildcard, they lost a Lot, might even lose more?

Vandy is still Vandy. If Pruitt wants to succeed at UT, he HAS to beat Vandy, This year. If not, time to start looking again.

So, 2 of those 3 are expected, so already at 6.
That's why 6 is your floor, not 8.

I'm not saying 8 wins is impossible. I'm just saying that's really optimistic to put the floor at 8. 8 is much closer to the ceiling than the floor.
 
#80
#80
That's why 6 is your floor, not 8.

I'm not saying 8 wins is impossible. I'm just saying that's really optimistic to put the floor at 8. 8 is much closer to the ceiling than the floor.
I included the typical ‘second year bump’ for all good coaches. Every coach that you would list in your top 15 coaches has the typical ‘magic season’ in their second year. Saban, Richt, Stoops, Meyer, Smart, etc all had 2nd seasons of at least 12-2, most did better than that. Considering UT has two top 5 teams built in the season, likelihood of two losses is already present otherwise I’d say ceiling was higher. It’s possibld UT could upset one of those but almost impossible to beat both, for any team. UT fans will know at the end of this year if Pruitt is the guy, if he can coach, statwise last year was the worst UT season ever. 6 losses of 25+ points. Think first years are throwaways when you have to do roster/culture overhauls. JMO, just giving Pruitt benefit of the doubt assuming he is who I think he is.
 
#81
#81
There aren't many gimmies on next year's schedule. Georgia St, BYU (some wouldn't call that a gimmie), UTC, UAB (some wouldn't call that a gimmie either). When you only have 4 "will win" games, putting the floor at 8 is really aggressive. At Florida, Georgia, at Alabama are likely losses. Miss St, South Carolina, at Kentucky, at Mizzou, and Vandy seem like toss ups at this point. You typically don't win huge percentages of those games.

Yes, Kentucky, Mizzou, and Vandy are all expected to be down, but I remember at this point last year we thought we had a great chance at winning each of those games. We only won one of them, and oddly enough it was against the best team of those 3. We had trouble beating Vandy and Mizzou before Shurmur and Lock too.


Totally agree. No S.E.C. gimmees on 2019 schedule. That is why I predict 5- 7 again
 
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#82
#82
Totally agree. No S.E.C. gimmees on 2019 schedule. That is why I predict 5- 7 again
IMO, that'd be really disappointing and have Pruitt on the hot seat headed into 2020. There are 4 games that Tennessee will or very much should win. If you only win one other game outside of those 4, that'd be pretty bad and a plain as day indication the team wasn't really getting any better.
 
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#83
#83
I say we go 5 -7 again. Other than non conference games, I don't see any clear wins
I think we are 5-5 heading into the Mizzou game. I also think BYU is a trap game

IMO, that'd be really disappointing and have Pruitt on the hot seat headed into 2020. There are 4 games that Tennessee will or very much should win. If you only win one other game outside of those 4, that'd be pretty bad and a plain as day indication the team wasn't really getting any better.

Pruitt wont be on the Hot seat if he keeps losing until at least 2022.. We arent good guys.. its gonna take some time
 
#84
#84
Birmingham Bowl

I don't think Pruitt will be on the hot seat for 2020 even if the season is rough. I'm willing to give him 4
 
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#85
#85
As of just now when I voted there were 16 people that voted no.

I hope all 16 of you seek out counselling and get help. Our beloved Vols are about to make a splash, and its not going to be in the toilet bowl.
 
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#87
#87
If Tennessee can’t win six games with the schedule they have this fall, then you can start preparing for a coaching search in December ‘21 or ‘22. 7-5 should be the floor.
Pruitt’s contract expires in January 2022? He got a 4 year deal? I thought it was just 3 to start off...I think Fuller will give him until after the 2020 season to see if he warrants an extension. So barring the unforeseen catastrophe he’s safe for 2 more seasons....there likely won’t be a change made till then if things were to fall apart....
 
#89
#89
I’ll remind everyone here that I had UT’s win/losses pegged almost exactly last year, including the Auburn upset. The only game I missed on was Vandy as I had UT going 6-6. Having said all that, and I reserve the right to change my mind after spring and fall practices, but here’s how I see 2019 at this point; wins against - Ga State, BYU, Chattanooga, SC, UAB and Vandy. Losses against - Florida, Georgia, Miss State, Bama, Kentucky and Missouri. 6-6 and yes, you earn a bowl game.

We aren’t losing to Kentucky.
 
#90
#90
I included the typical ‘second year bump’ for all good coaches. Every coach that you would list in your top 15 coaches has the typical ‘magic season’ in their second year. Saban, Richt, Stoops, Meyer, Smart, etc all had 2nd seasons of at least 12-2, most did better than that. Considering UT has two top 5 teams built in the season, likelihood of two losses is already present otherwise I’d say ceiling was higher. It’s possibld UT could upset one of those but almost impossible to beat both, for any team. UT fans will know at the end of this year if Pruitt is the guy, if he can coach, statwise last year was the worst UT season ever. 6 losses of 25+ points. Think first years are throwaways when you have to do roster/culture overhauls. JMO, just giving Pruitt benefit of the doubt assuming he is who I think he is.

Stat wise, sure? I don’t know where you’re getting your stats because 2018’s defense was far better than 2017, but i’ll pretend you’re correct. I can tell you, as a fan, 2018 vs 2017 wasn’t even close. 2017 was the worst season I’ve ever experienced, by far.

2017 didn’t even have a good moment. It was a disaster from the start. Giving up 600 yards rushing or whatever to a trash GT team? Yeah, I knew we were in trouble from Game 1. At least we had some good moments and a couple noteworthy wins this year, @Auburn and Kentucky. We hadn’t beaten Auburn since ‘99 and Kentucky was ranked #11 even though I knew they were extremely overrated.

2017 was a nonstop kick to the nads. GT, UF hailmary, 41-0 beatdown, blown out by Bama, Mizzou, LSU and Vandy. Lost to Kentucky. Just a soft, pathetic team. Only time I’ve ever felt ashamed to be a UT fan.
 
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#92
#92
Tennessee wont lose to Missouri,Kentucky and Vanderbilt this season and you can probably add South Carolina to those three teams.

I’m not confident about Mizzou, but I’m 100% confident about Kentucky. Very confident on South Carolina. I think we beat them fairly easily, actually. We’ll see. Vandy is just a must win. No excuse for a loss. It’s verging on fireable offense for a loss. If Pruitt can’t beat Vandy, how can anyone believe he’ll eventually get the job done here?
 
#93
#93
IMO we will lose one that we shouldn't and win one or two that we shouldn't. I think that CJP will have them up for the bigger games and make them competitive at the least. I know that we are pi**ing into the wind playing Bama and expecting anything other than a loss. But we have historically played Georgia well even when they are the better team... when we had a decent team. The last couple of seasons UT did not field a team that I would call decent, hinse the embarrassing losses.

As for 2019, I see us beating UK, Mizzou, Vandy and BYU. The smaller teams that are gimme's and upsetting at least one of the teams that we are expected to lose to. IMO that team could be Florida. CJP knows how much stock we as a Volnation put into that game and the players want that win so bad they can taste it. It also has big implications on the standings in the East and will serve as a definite borometer for Pruitt and Co. if he can get that win. Nobody reasonable will be calling for his head if we lose to the gators, but it would be a signature win.

My estimate- 6-6 likely (80% chance) ; 7-5 probable (60% chance) ; 8-4 with all the cylinders firing (30% chance)
 
#94
#94
We win 3 non conference games definitely. Likely win against BYU
Then we need to steal 2 SEC games.
Could happen but not likely. 2 SEC teams would have to give us the game thru their mistakes, fumbles, pre snap penalties, interceptions or bad kicking game.
 
#95
#95
IMO we will lose one that we shouldn't and win one or two that we shouldn't. I think that CJP will have them up for the bigger games and make them competitive at the least. I know that we are pi**ing into the wind playing Bama and expecting anything other than a loss. But we have historically played Georgia well even when they are the better team... when we had a decent team. The last couple of seasons UT did not field a team that I would call decent, hinse the embarrassing losses.

As for 2019, I see us beating UK, Mizzou, Vandy and BYU. The smaller teams that are gimme's and upsetting at least one of the teams that we are expected to lose to. IMO that team could be Florida. CJP knows how much stock we as a Volnation put into that game and the players want that win so bad they can taste it. It also has big implications on the standings in the East and will serve as a definite borometer for Pruitt and Co. if he can get that win. Nobody reasonable will be calling for his head if we lose to the gators, but it would be a signature win.

My estimate- 6-6 likely (80% chance) ; 7-5 probable (60% chance) ; 8-4 with all the cylinders firing (30% chance)

I like the 170% scale.
 
#96
#96
Tennessee will go to a bowl and utterly dominate a team from another conference, a total victory unforeseen by the odds makers or the media. If the victims are from the B1G, some savvy sports writer will title their post mortem, Schlachthof [Bowl Name], and interweave other allusions to Vonnegut's book into the article.

Hear me, God.
 
#99
#99
I think we could fall anywhere between 5-7 and 9-3. I don't think we can pencil a lot of wins in at this point, especially because some other team allegedly will be "down", we have been the definition of down the last 2 years. Until we prove we are not down, saying someone else will be "down" at best makes the game a toss up. Bama, UGA, and UF are all likely to be better depressingly.
 
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