2018 Midterm Election Thread

#4,011
#4,011
Grand Vol said:
Those 538 numbers on the House don't look good for the DNC.
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For reference, in 2010 the GOP gained 63 seats in the House to gain control and gained 6 seats in the Senate (still minority party). In 2014, the GOP gained an additional 13 seats in the House for their largest majority in 100 years and 9 seats in the Senate to take control.

Dems looking at about 25 in the House which would put them at 220 - 215 and losing 2 or 3 in the Senate. That is not a wave in any form or fashion.
 
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#4,012
#4,012
volfanhill said:
Or maybe polling methodology needs to be changed. Look at Rasmussen. They were second best in the Presidential polling, after they changed their model, and look like they will be very accurate tonight. I have posted the story before about how they changed their model.
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No, the regular polls were very close to correct on popular vote, but again, there is some undercurrent going on of people who are saying they are voting one way, or are undecided, and it's just not true. That plus the polling targeting is off and is missing that group that are locked in for Trump/always red.
 
#4,013
#4,013
Squints said:
IDGAS. I don’t live in GA. Let her win. Re-read my post.

The operative words are: “So far”

Quit being a huff.
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Yes they were. Then you spent half a page making fun of people thinking she had a shot. Don’t be angry bc you don’t know how GA politics works. You have no reason to.
 
#4,018
#4,018
volinbham said:
For reference, in 2010 the GOP gained 63 seats in the House to gain control and gained 6 seats in the Senate (still minority party). In 2014, the GOP gained an additional 13 seats in the House for their largest majority in 100 years and 9 seats in the Senate to take control.

Dems looking at about 25 in the House which would put them at 220 - 215 and losing 2 or 3 in the Senate. That is not a wave in any form or fashion.
Click to expand...


Still gives them control over relevant committees. Subpoena power is key.
 
#4,020
#4,020
volinbham said:
For reference, in 2010 the GOP gained 63 seats in the House to gain control and gained 6 seats in the Senate (still minority party). In 2014, the GOP gained an additional 13 seats in the House for their largest majority in 100 years and 9 seats in the Senate to take control.

Dems looking at about 25 in the House which would put them at 220 - 215 and losing 2 or 3 in the Senate. That is not a wave in any form or fashion.
Click to expand...
Dems only need to get to 218 for a majority in the House though.
 
#4,021
#4,021
lawgator1 said:
No, the regular polls were very close to correct on popular vote, but again, there is some undercurrent going on of people who are saying they are voting one way, or are undecided, and it's just not true. That plus the polling targeting is off and is missing that group that are locked in for Trump/always red.
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They are polling the wrong people sounds like to me lel
 
#4,024
#4,024
lawgator1 said:
No, the regular polls were very close to correct on popular vote, but again, there is some undercurrent going on of people who are saying they are voting one way, or are undecided, and it's just not true. That plus the polling targeting is off and is missing that group that are locked in for Trump/always red.
Click to expand...
Yes the national polls got it close to correct. But that’s not how our system works. So again they should probably relook at that for presidential elections. Furthermore Rasmussen has gotten polling very accurate compared to their peers. I know you don’t like them but get over it. They have fundamentally changed how they do it.
 
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