Official Bubble Watch Thread

#226
#226
BruinVol said:
Yea 19-11.

In that case I think Bama would go if they beat us.
It would all come down to that one game imo.
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When Alabama beats South Carolina or Kentucky next week let me know, until then they're less likely of a threat than Georgia or even Vanderbilt...not sure what's up with you Alabama fixation lately other than Braxton Key.
 
#227
#227
calban said:
Vanderbilt is more of a threat.
If we both finish with 17 wins, they would have a better rpi. don't think 17 would get either team in though.
2 in SECT might land them on the bubble.
I don't see 6 teams getting in from SEC.
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This...Vandy has a much better chance than Alabama of getting in, same for Georgia.
 
#229
#229
Wonder If having Rick as out coach helps us any? Would think the NCAA would want a hof'er like Rick in the tourney
 
#231
#231
bleedingTNorange said:
This...Vandy has a much better chance than Alabama of getting in, same for Georgia.
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Vandy has very little chance of getting to the +/- mark they need with record. That's the part that some of the experts seems to be focusing on that worries me and what we have been discussing.
 
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#232
#232
BruinVol said:
Vandy has very little chance of getting to the +/- mark they need with record. That's the part that some of the experts seems to be focusing on that worries me and what we have been discussing.
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Both teams need to go 6-3 to have a chance, and 7-2 to feel safe...not sure your point?
 
#236
#236
bleedingTNorange said:
Yet you fail to mention if Vandy goes 6-3 and beats us they're more likely to do the same...why is what I'm asking?
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No. Vandy would only be 17-14 which doesn't for the +\- criteria being discussed here. Also that would be a spilt with the Vols.

Sounds like their is a significant difference in 17-14(Vandy) and 17-13(TN with Chaminade) with the committee.
 
#238
#238
calban said:
A 19 win Bama would have a rpi of 62.
Rpiforecast Wizard.
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Would be interesting to see if the +\- record and head to head win would be good enough to overtake a tenn team around 50. how the sec tourney effected RPIs would be big imo.
 
#239
#239
BruinVol said:
No. Vandy would only be 17-14 which doesn't for the +\- criteria being discussed here. Also that would be a spilt with the Vols.

Sounds like their is a significant difference in 17-14(Vandy) and 17-13(TN with Chaminade) with the committee.
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Right, but with Bama's RPI/SOS you're essentially saying the committee would take a team they've never taken before, same could apply to Vandy. As I said, for either of them to likely get in they would need to go 7-2 IMO.
 
#240
#240
BruinVol said:
Would be interesting to see if the +\- record and head to head win would be good enough to overtake a tenn team around 50. how the sec tourney effected RPIs would be big imo.
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I thought the field was set and SECT games didn't matter you said?
 
#241
#241
bleedingTNorange said:
I thought the field was set and SECT games didn't matter you said?
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I knew you were going to come back with that lol.

I think what happens with the RPI is more important than what happens with a loss/win for the conference tourneys. Beating Missouri would be worse than losing to South Carolina would be an example.
 
#242
#242
To further my last post. We don't want to play Missouri in the SEC tourney.
Florida fell from 9 to 14 last night in RPI by beating the breaks off of them. We need to hope they don't win their play in game.
 
#243
#243
And why aren't you mentioning Georgia? If they go 5-4 they have the +/- record and the RPI to go with it, seems much more plausible the Bama?
 
#244
#244
bleedingTNorange said:
And why aren't you mentioning Georgia? If they go 5-4 they have the +/- record and the RPI to go with it, seems much more plausible the Bama?
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I am dang glad they didn't pull that one out Wednesday. They are in it as well. Auburn has a slight shot to.
 
#249
#249
BruinVol said:
I knew you were going to come back with that lol.

I think what happens with the RPI is more important than what happens with a loss/win for the conference tourneys. Beating Missouri would be worse than losing to South Carolina would be an example.
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At that point in the year 1 game has a minimal effect on the RPI, getting the 4 seed would be nice but I'm not sure Tennessee has much of a chance at that.
 
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