No. 19 Tennessee (7-3, 3-3 SEC)
Best win(s): vs. No. 23 Florida | Losses: vs. No. 1 Alabama, at No. 25 Texas A&M, at South Carolina
Remaining games (must-wins): vs. Missouri, at Vanderbilt
What needs to happen: A whole helluva lot. Tennessee needs Florida to lose to LSU, and the Vols need to win out against Mizzou and Vandy. If they do that it, which is compltely possible and perhaps even likely, then Tennessee has to go to Atlanta and beat Alabama. If all that happens, Tennessee is your SEC champion, and even with three losses, that carries some cache.
But probably not enough.
Considering Alabama would probably still get into the playoff even with the loss, that means Tennessee is fighting four other Power Five champions for those other three spots. So if a three-loss USC wins the Pac-12, and either a three-loss North Carolina or Virginia Tech win the ACC, now the Vols are in business. If that happens, it would probably be best for Michigan or Ohio State to win the Big Ten to help ensure a second Big Ten team doesn't get a berth.
So let's imagine a scenario in which Oklahoma, Alabama and Michigan/Ohio State get three spots. Then it's a 10-3 Tennessee team against a 10-3 USC team and a 10-3 ACC champion for that final spot, and I would wager the SEC factor, as well as just beating Alabama, tilts the scale in Tennessee's favor.
Will they get in? Listen, this list was just about including teams that have a chance, not simply teams that have a good chance. Make no mistake about it, Tennessee's chances are not good. Chance: 0.5 percent