According to Raulston Purina and the non-biased media...there is nothing that Trump can do to win in Nevada...why would they say that before the election?...hmmm you would think that there have been 500k more Dem votes than GOP...early voting totals don't show that
Updated: 11/6
EARLY VOTING IS DONE IN NV! DATA IS FROM YESTERDAY
Latest Nevada Early Mail Voting as well as Early Voting (which started on 10/22) of 11/5
2,544 (+336 from 11/4) more registered Republicans have returned an Early Mail-in-Ballot as of 11/4 (+3.8% Lead up from 3.4% on 11/4 (+0.4%})
Voted-by-Mail (Returned)
Rep: 28,372 (+1,579 from 11/4)
DEM: 25,828 (+1,243 from 11/4)
Other (Independents): 13,504 (+836 from 11/4)
Total Returned: 67,704 (+3,658 from 11/4)
#Trump(Rep): 41.9% (+0.1% from 11/4)
#HRC(Dem): 38.1% (-0.3% from 11/4)
Other (Independents): 19.9% (+0.1% from 11/4)
48,201 (+8,292 from 11/4) more registered Democrats have Voted Early as of 11/4 (6.9% Lead up from 6.5% on 11/4 {+0.4%})
Early Voting (Only)
Rep: 250,218 (+27,607 from 11/4)
DEM: 298,419 (+35,899 from 11/4)
Other (Independents): 153,641 (+22,540 from 11/4)
Total Voted: 702,277 (+86,046 from 11/4)
#Trump(Rep): 35.6% (-0.5% from 11/4)
#HRC(Dem): 42.5% (-0.1% from 11/4)
Other (Independents): 21.9% (+0.6% from 11/4)
You can track this daily at the following link
(Week 1)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4543
(Week 2)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
Actual votes from the mail-in-process and early voting wont be counted until Election Day. One can assume that Republicans are most likely Trump votes while Democrats are HRC votes. When data is shared on early voting historically, that assumption is used.
The good news is that in Axioms poll released the other day (taken 10/30), 74% of Democrats are voting for HRC while 81% of Republicans are voting for Trump. 14% of Republicans are voting for HRC while 21% of Democrats are voting for Trump.
Also, No Party Affiliation (Independents) has been breaking for Trump. In Axioms most recent poll on 10/30, Trump has 44% of Independents while HRC only has 37% of Independents. If we take Axiom polls data, the likelihood of the tallies above would translate as following in the votes mailed and early voted so far:
R 225,658 (R voting for Trump) + 68,092 (D voting for Trump) + 73,544 (I voting for Trump) = 367,294 Total Votes
D 239,943 (D voting for HRC) + 39,003 (R voting for HRC) + 61,844 (I voting for HRC) = 340,790 Total Votes
Total Votes for either candidate 708,084
Total Votes for ALL (which I used to derive the %s below) candidates 769,981
Trump = 47.7%
HRC = 44.3%
Margin = 3.4 points (-0.3 points from 11/4)
Note: For the first time my %s above will not equal 100% because I am taking into account the following factors:
Gary Johnson R: 4% D: 2% I: 8%
Someone else R: 0% D: 1% I: 3%
Undecided R: 1% D: 1% I: 7%
http://20an0w2e66jla4rfm1idisr1.wpe...t/uploads/2016/10/ABC_NV_STATEWIDE-103016.pdf
NV is still looking really good for Trump!