2016 Election Thread Part Deux

[Vol knight]

Cruz isn't mathematically eliminated. If he wins California and New York, then he has a great shot at winning the nomination.

 

[Franklin Pierce]

Cruz isn't mathematically eliminated. If he wins California and New York, then he has a great shot at winning the nomination.

Lying Ted will absotively NOT win New York. Trump is walking into the convention with the most delegates, period.

74% of those polled refuse to support Ted Cruz and a full 80% of those polled refuse to support John Kasich. When you keep in mind this poll is a selected NYT/CBS release, and when you consider this poll does not include independents, a person can reasonably presume the support for Donald Trump is factually much, much higher.

New York Times/CBS Poll: 74% of Republicans Don’t Support Cruz, 80% Don’t Support Kasich… | The Last Refuge

 

[Herman Hickman]

Reagan lost the battle at the brokered convention and endorsed Ford.

Will Lying Ted have the same class as Reagan did in defeat and endorse Trump?

I would expect that he would do so. Does him little good to react in any other fashion.

Then I would look forward to seeing him back in the Senate fighting the scum whose actions you routinely excuse on this forum.

Trump will have the plurality of the delegates by the time we're done. If he were to be denied the nomination, then you could fully expect him to run as a 3rd Party candidate. He will view such a rejection as unfair regardless of how the process took place. He would also believe an opportunity existed to win as an independent in an election breaking down in 1/3 segments between Clinton, Trump, and the GOP nominee.

I don't think his chances in such a scenario are good in a general election. But he would probably see it as an opportunity given the fact he draws his strength from both sides of the political spectrum and not from any particular ideological base.

 

[AM64]

Will this not create jobs?

If production costs rise because of union and minimum wage increases, probably not. Can't compete in a global market if your labor rates are the highest in the world and consistently increasing.

 

[roosterjbh]

Lying Ted will absotively NOT win New York. Trump is walking into the convention with the most delegates, period.

74% of those polled refuse to support Ted Cruz and a full 80% of those polled refuse to support John Kasich. When you keep in mind this poll is a selected NYT/CBS release, and when you consider this poll does not include independents, a person can reasonably presume the support for Donald Trump is factually much, much higher.

New York Times/CBS Poll: 74% of Republicans Don’t Support Cruz, 80% Don’t Support Kasich… | The Last Refuge

He's lying Ted now? What happened to "Viva Cruz!"?

 

[carlos86]

With two 3 new polls out today, Hillary's average polling lead over Trump has cracked into double digits:

 

[tumscalcium]

Agree

Those buying into all the talk of Trumps bringing back manufacturing equates to mass jobs and employment when fewer (organic) jobs, more automation and higher consumer goods is the reality, sad really

Um...... That's where we're going now........

 

[1972 Grad]

With two 3 new polls out today, Hillary's average polling lead over Trump has cracked into double digits:

You do realize that the election is still over 7 months away, don't you?

 

[Aesius]

You do realize that the election is still over 7 months away, don't you?

"The stage is already set for some fierce debates between Jeb and Hillary in October 2016"

-carlos86, June 2015

 

[1972 Grad]

With two 3 new polls out today, Hillary's average polling lead over Trump has cracked into double digits:

.....and Mike Dukakis had a 17 point lead over George H.W. Bush in 1988 after the Dem convention, and wound up losing 40 states.

 

[carlos86]

You do realize that the election is still over 7 months away, don't you?

When a candidate is down 10-11 points 7 months before the election and 68% of the country don't like him. That's what political types call a problem. Also Romney had the same numbers at this time in 2012.

 

[carlos86]

.....and Mike Dukakis had a 17 point lead over George H.W. Bush in 1988 after the Dem convention, and wound up losing 40 states.

The electoral demographics were far different then than now. The demographics were in H.W. Bush's favor. Now they are in the Democratic candidates favor.

 

[Gramps]

You do realize that the election is still over 7 months away, don't you?

Add to that national polls for the general election are useless.

 

[carlos86]

When I talking about the electoral demographic shift since 1984 this is what I mean. This is the electoral shift from 1980 to 2012. All the so called " Reagan Democrats" went on to vote fro H.W. Bush one last time in 1988, vote and voted Dem from that day forward. This election depends on white college grads, woman, and the turnout of minorities for Clinton. All three of those demographics favor Clinton dramatically.

 

[1972 Grad]

When a candidate is down 10-11 points 7 months before the election and 68% of the country don't like him. That's what political types call a problem. Also Romney had the same numbers at this time in 2012.

Trump isn't Romney, and Hillary isn't Obama. The polls mean nothing at this point. I look for Hillary to drop like a rock. She doesn't wear well. Never has.

 

[RollinVol]

When I talking about the electoral demographic shift since 1984 this is what I mean. This is the electoral shift from 1980 to 2012. All the so called " Reagan Democrats" went on to vote fro H.W. Bush one last time in 1988, vote and voted Dem from that day forward. This election depends on white college grads, woman, and the turnout of minorities.m for Clinton. All three of those demographics favor Clinton dramatically.

Presidential Election 2012

 

[carlos86]

Presidential Election 2012

Demographics are totally different from county by county election results. Demographics in politics have more to do with statistics.

 

[AirVol]

Demographics are totally different from county by county election results. Demographics in politics have more to do with statistics.

Explain to me why you love HRC.

 

[Obsessed]

Explain to me why you love HRC.

We don't pick who we love... It's natural. Except it you bigot.

 

[carlos86]

Explain to me why you love HRC.

I don't. I'm trying to explain how she will win.

 

[1972 Grad]

We don't pick who we love... It's natural. Except it you bigot.

I gave you a like.

 

[1972 Grad]

I don't. I'm trying to explain how she will win.

She will drop like a rock the longer she talks, and when all the Clinton Foundation pay for play at the State Dept comes out.

 

[Obsessed]

I don't. I'm trying to explain how she will win.

Not going to happen.

If it does, some folks should re-think the whole conspiracy theory folks.

I read today that Bernie is part of her plan to get new folks to register as democrats then bow out and Hillary get the votes.

 

[Obsessed]

I gave you a like.

Haha.

I hope that my buddy Airvol finally comes out as a bigot. His first step is admitting he has a problem.

 

[1972 Grad]

Not going to happen.

If it does, some folks should re-think the whole conspiracy theory folks.

I read today that Bernie is part of her plan to get new folks to register as democrats then bow out and Hillary get the votes.

Hillary inspires no one except stupid, young females.