The Numbers Thread

#452
#452
LebanonVolunteer said:
So it's looking like Sapp and Jefferson in July. Ordway in August, and Richmond in September. (24)

Also toss in Ryan Johnson next week for 2016.

Then we are waiting on Phillips. (25)

Just taking those (5) mean we lose at least 1 currently committed. IF any other commitments end up elsewhere, the staff looks to have a lot of options.
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Add: Richmond, Tuttle, Phillips, Ordway, Jefferson, McGraw and Sapp

Lose: Smith and Woods

The perfect class, imo...and possible.
 
#457
#457
BowlBrother85 said:
Add: Richmond, Tuttle, Phillips, Ordway, Jefferson, McGraw and Sapp

Lose: Smith and Woods

The perfect class, imo...and possible.
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Smith is a stud LBer. We don't have anyone with his skill set-size, speed, quickness, and agility.
 
#458
#458
BowlBrother85 said:
Yeah, I didn't consider that angle...but there will be more attrition than just Woods.
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You're right. All things being equal, I would guess that our coaches would be less likely to drop low-ranked players we've accepted commitments from recently (including Picou and Smith) than from low-ranked prospects who committed to UT much earlier. This coaching staff has already refused commits from some players this cycle (e.g., Sterling Johnson, Duke Shelley) so we know they're being somewhat selective, but it's much harder to say "no" earlier in a recruiting cycle when there are still plenty of available scholarships.

Depending on who we finally end up with, I would speculate that these current commits might be at risk of getting asked to look elsewhere before NSD:

Jaylon Woods (committed March 2013)
Zach Stewart (committed April 2013)
Dylan Jackson (committed Jan 2014)
Riley Lovingame (committed March 2014)
Rocky Reid (committed April 2014)

Not necessarily in that order. Of course, I don't think there's any way we turn away somebody like Torrance Gibson for a long snapper...
 
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#459
#459
AboveAllNations said:
You're right. All things being equal, I would guess that our coaches would be less likely to drop low-ranked players we've accepted commitments from recently (including Picou and Smith) than from low-ranked prospects who committed to UT much earlier. This coaching staff has already refused commits from some players this cycle (e.g., Sterling Johnson, Duke Shelley) so we know they're being somewhat selective, but it's much harder to say "no" earlier in a recruiting cycle when there are still plenty of available scholarships.

Depending on who we finally end up with, I would speculate that these current commits might be at risk of getting asked to look elsewhere before NSD:

Jaylon Woods (committed March 2013)
Zach Stewart (committed April 2013)
Dylan Jackson (committed Jan 2014)
Riley Lovingame (committed March 2014)
Rocky Reid (committed April 2014)

Not necessarily in that order. Of course, I don't think there's any way we turn away somebody like Torrance Gibson for a long snapper...
Click to expand...

Watch out Rocky is about to truck you...too late.
 
#460
#460
AboveAllNations said:
You're right. All things being equal, I would guess that our coaches would be less likely to drop low-ranked players we've accepted commitments from recently (including Picou and Smith) than from low-ranked prospects who committed to UT much earlier. This coaching staff has already refused commits from some players this cycle (e.g., Sterling Johnson, Duke Shelley) so we know they're being somewhat selective, but it's much harder to say "no" earlier in a recruiting cycle when there are still plenty of available scholarships.

Depending on who we finally end up with, I would speculate that these current commits might be at risk of getting asked to look elsewhere before NSD:

Jaylon Woods (committed March 2013)
Zach Stewart (committed April 2013)
Dylan Jackson (committed Jan 2014)
Riley Lovingame (committed March 2014)
Rocky Reid (committed April 2014)

Not necessarily in that order. Of course, I don't think there's any way we turn away somebody like Torrance Gibson for a long snapper...
Click to expand...

Keep it real I like it. I'd just take Reid and Stewart off that list and add a few more. One or two we love will drop just like my personal favorite recruit last year, Kouhon
 
#461
#461
ssutvols said:
Keep it real I like it. I'd just take Reid and Stewart off that list and add a few more. One or two we love will drop just like my personal favorite recruit last year, Kouhon
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We ain't dropping Stewart. He's a great guard. Probably our best lineman commit so far. He's going to shove piles for us for years.
 
#463
#463
If we are able to turn any of the players that McKenzie is working on and get the players that UT is likely holding spots for, we could end up taking around 27-28 players. What ares the chances of that? I'd say slim, but still a possibility.
 
#464
#464
Tux said:
If we are able to turn any of the players that McKenzie is working on and get the players that UT is likely holding spots for, we could end up taking around 27-28 players. What ares the chances of that? I'd say slim, but still a possibility.
Click to expand...

The numbers say we can't take any more than 24. 24 is the max as #25 Swafford has already been given. Unless someone has this years "blue shirt" loophole talk going, I don't think they can sign more than 24. Of course after all the talk of "blue shirting" kids last year, CBJ didn't do it with a single one.
 
#465
#465
From Basilio's X:

Here is something interesting to watch. Notice the change in the messaging coming from Tennessee. Early on, reports were Tennessee would sign say to 20 to 22 prospects in 2015. Then, we started hearing reports Tennessee "would sign a full class". Now, what are you hearing? The trial balloon being floated is they may oversign by a spot or two.

It isn't an accident you are starting to hear this. Tennessee is rolling right now. Recruiting is a dirty business. Our rivals will use anything to put doubt in the mind of a kid or his parents. My opinion is the change in messaging is in direct response to actions our rivals are taking in response to Tennessee's good recruiting fortunes.
Click to expand...
 
#467
#467
I have Dorian Banks and Ryan Johnson as 2016 commitments. Who is the other?
 
#468
#468
Tux said:
I have Dorian Banks and Ryan Johnson as 2016 commitments. Who is the other?
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Middleton still shows as a commitment. I know some feel he won't be part of the class, but until he is removed from the class, I would think we should count him.
 
#471
#471
LebanonVolunteer said:
Ryan Johnson committed for the 2016 class. That is the 3rd commitment for 2016. As of today, 13 spots left.

:)
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For the sake of discussion, should that numbers be in blue font or is that a researched statement? If so, please explain for the lurkers who are curious.

Leb for President!
 
#472
#472
SoMissVol said:
For the sake of discussion, should that numbers be in blue font or is that a researched statement? If so, please explain for the lurkers who are curious.

Leb for President!
Click to expand...

Looking at the roster a while back, the number for 2016 at that point was 16. Now things could change of course if kids decide to leave UT early for whatever reason. 16 JRs showing on the current scholarship roster. That means 16 spots for 2016.
 
#473
#473
With all these recent commits, LVs head must be about ready to explode. I guess there will not be any room for Tuttle, Sapp, Jones, Ordway, McGraw or Sweat now right? I guess CBJ will shut the 2015 recruiting down in a couple of months and concentrate on 2016 :eek:lol::eek:lol::eek:lol:
 
#474
#474
BigOrangeTrain said:
With all these recent commits, LVs head must be about ready to explode. I guess there will not be any room for Tuttle, Sapp, Jones, Ordway, McGraw or Sweat now right? I guess CBJ will shut the 2015 recruiting down in a couple of months and concentrate on 2016 :eek:lol::eek:lol::eek:lol:
Click to expand...

Looking like CBJ will have 2015 done shortly. The focus switching to 2016 has got off to a BOOM so far today! :loco:
 
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