Orangeburst
Attention all Planets of the Solar Federation
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So, trade protectionism is bad when China does it, but good when Trump does it?
Small buying opportunity today but I haven't done much. Financial advisor that handles some stuff for me just got back from a big conference. General outlook is that big money in NY expects a rough ride through the remainder of this year with more selloffs like the one a couple of weeks ago. They believe each one will present a nice buying opportunity and it will level back out.
If you buy anything with steel in it, your costs go up. If your customers buy anything with steel in it, they have less disposable income for Blizzards.
What's your point?
Unreal. Enjoy the consequences, idiots.
Ok lets play the game. No more tariffs.
China uses its state resources to subsidize production of steel, as well as protecting production that violates both environmental and human rights regulations. They flood the market and drastically lower prices below market. Our response is shrug, tariffs are wrong. You throw a party because your new pizza cutter costs $.15 less. Other manufacturers cannot compete strictly on a free market principle, and without their own goverment help they fail. China now corners the market and charges whatever they want.
So how is that a net positive? What are you willing to give up to achieve the lowest price?
As an economist, I'm sure you know the story of national baking companies using profitable operations in other regions to undersell and put local competitors out of business - then raising prices once they have that market under control. That's no different from what China is doing to our industries; once our producers are completely dead and gone China can charge what they want. The cost of metals can increase now to offset Chinese subsidies or later when the Chinese have a market stranglehold. Do you take the medicine early on when you can fight the disease or later when there's no recourse?
Government and unions played a big part in the mess. The unions acted in an monopolistic manner - one union spanning multiple companies (and often industries) wielded unfair and highly unequal power. The government was unwilling to apply anti-monopolistic policies to the unions like they would have applied to companies banding together to fight union power; in fact, a union was always fully able to strike or otherwise support another striking union (teamsters supporting steelworkers, for example).
Increase labor costs and product prices will follow; the Chinese have the way and the will to manipulate labor costs and currency rates that in turn facilitate favorable product prices. Seems like economists had a big role in deciding that floating currencies made sense, so maybe economists aren't the best source for what actually ails world economies.
This isn't even a realistic scenario, but I'll entertain it. Once China has cornered the market and tries to raise prices, we pay them in the short run and ramp up production. Why pay more now and for the long term instead of paying more in the future for the short term? It makes absolutely no sense.
And it's not a realistic scenario because we don't even produce 5% of the world's steel and China produces 50%. How is China squeezing us out going to create a cornered market for them?
List of countries by steel production - Wikipedia
You run a Dairy Queen. What material impact does a steel tariff have on you?
That's an unrealistic outlook. Once an industry is dead because there is no economic sense in trying to keep a steel mill that won't pay its costs in production then the mill is no longer viable - you don't just ramp it back up. Once the workers are out of a job and the skills are lost you don't just put unskilled labor to work. Once vocational schools are dead because there's little need for graduates and we've gone to "college for all", you don't have a labor pool for industry.
Some things just aren't like turning a faucet or flipping a switch. I come from the nuclear power industry, and I guarantee you that we look at electric power from two completely different angles. You from it's there when you plug in or flip a switch, and me from a very different perspective on what it takes to get the power to your outlet or switch, and I can guarantee you that one perspective is far simpler than the other.
Yeah, once we close our doors, we'll forever be unable to produce steel again. Give me a ****ing break.
Do you honestly believe that our steel production would ever be 0? Why can't we just get by with subsidies?