I hear you. Sure, Tennessee recruits top 20 classes itself as long as the head coach has a pulse.
But I would argue that all top 20 ranked recruiting class aren't equal. In the same way that all 1st round picks in the NFL draft aren't equal....
The job doesn't end with the ranking. At the end of the day the success or failure comes down to the evaluation and the development of each recruit. That hasn't been done very well around here in awhile.
That being said your prediction is probably fair as things stand. But I think we'll take a big step forward overall as a program next season. I see no reason for 8 or 9 wins not to be on the table for us. Especially if we add somebody like Hurts to the mix.
Agreed that not all classes are the same, even if ranked that way. But coming from 247, a major recruiting ranking service, I don't see how you could read any deeper than that.
I haven't really expressed this too frequently but Hurts, Tee as WR coach, Pittman as OL coach, and recruits like Bogle, Haselwood, and Cain are all messageboard pipe dreams.. fun to think about and hypothesize, sure. But extremely low likelihoods.. I'll eat may fair share of crow if I'm wrong.
I think we can only assume that we'll carry our coaching staff as it stands today, and add Wright, Russell, Harris, and maaayybe To'oto'o, if we impress him enough before his final visit to wherever. Chaney and keeping Fitz are the most significant off-season successes, outside of recruiting the studs we have ready to get onto the gridiron.
That said, I'm looking at the schedule, and you may be onto something.. we could have a marginally successful season if (BIG IF) our OL takes a reasonable step forward.
Georgia State: W
BYU: W (more of a toss-up call)
Chatt: W
at Florida: L (interesting note: I saw someone post they lost 4/5 of their OL starters.. on top of a couple front seven departures.. upsetting UF in 19 would be akin to the 18 Auburn game)
BYE-- love having two of them. Wish it were like this every year.
Georgia: L
Miss State: W (gonna be a toss-up this year)
at Bama: L
South Carolina: W (their schedule is brutal, and there will be Muschamp-hot seat talk)
UAB: W
at Kentucky: W
BYE
at Mizzou: L (calling it just to hedge our bets.. they have Kelly Bryant, and we'll have a brand new starting DL. It'll be much closer than the last two years though)
Vandy: Better be a W.
I mean, maybe we will have an 8-4 year next year.. I'll revise my previous guess to 6-6 MINIMUM. Can't see us losing to GaSt, Chatt, Carolina, UAB, Kentucky, AND Vandy next year.