Too many 'ifs' to predict at this point.
Add: Tougher or easier pre conference schedule?
The usual slow start until new pieces sync could require 14 wins in conference to get to 20 wins.
Agree, it's very hard to predict without knowing who's here and a schedule, very premature.
Our conference schedule should be easier,
Florida we play only once and it's at their place, and UK we play on once and it's in TBA.