KB5252
Repeat Forward Progress Victim
- Joined
- Jan 11, 2008
- Messages
- 34,771
- Likes
- 29,431
Can you elaborate?
I still believe Ukraine concedes NATO before casualties start piling up, and that's enough to stop a Russia invasion. But I now hold out some significant room that Putin is crazy enough to start WWIII.
Freezing assets of peaceful protestors without bringing about charges, threatening to "come after everyone who supported the truckers" by a police chief, forcing tow truck drivers to work under threat of criminal charges, suspending rights of citizens at the drop of a hat under faux emergency orders, etc, etc.
It can, but the conflict can also stay frozen for a long time too. Russia still has troops in South Ossetia from their 2008 war; they haven't taken further action since that war but are still there. Putin initially made moves into eastern Ukraine in 2014 and honestly the situation on the ground hasn't changed all that much 8 years later; Russia simply officially recognized their de facto independent status and moved regular troops in.This skirmish can get out of hand quickly.