Vols up to #7 in ESPN FPI

#1
VolArmy74

VolArmy74

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#1
The Vols climbed three spots after beating Pitt. Now reside at number 7. Expected wins went from 7.9 to 8.8 with the win and other results this weekend. A month ago the FPI had us at 37 percent to beat Pitt, after week 1 that went to 54 percent. It was 60 percent we beat Florida a month ago and 70 percent after week one and now it's 78.4 for the Vols.
 
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#6
#6
I'm not a gambler...just like investing my money more wisely...BUT....it seems these odds makers are pretty accurate...especially since the gaming industry has exploded and now has a front row seat on all sports broadcasts.
 
#7
#7
tennrich1 said:
I'm not a gambler...just like investing my money more wisely...BUT....it seems these odds makers are pretty accurate...especially since the gaming industry has exploded and now has a front row seat on all sports broadcasts.
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Keep telling yourself that if it makes your loses feel better.
 
#9
#9
Vol in Buckeye Land said:
OP is literally just referencing a source. Tell ESPN’s algorithm not to get carried away.
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It seems like anytime someone predicts us to possibly win 8-9 games, some troll has to come along with the “let’s not get carried away.” Like expecting 8-9 wins is somehow completely out of the realm of possibility.
 
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#10
#10
Not taking issue with a prediction of 8 wins (or 9). At all. Just a model that ranks us at #7. Some of you guys lose your minds and start calling people trolls (lazy and very inaccurate) as quickly as possible.

Simply offering a caution against a model that is widely critiqued for its inaccuracy across the college football world. This same model has Texas at #6 right now. Maybe Texas is the real deal...but is there enough data yet to legitimately put them there?

Food for thought: FPI was heavily criticized after week 2 of the 2017-18 college football season when the Buckeyes were listed number one after losing big at home to the Sooners (Oklahoma was 2nd in FPI).

Now you may go back to hollering at fellow Vols. GBO!
 
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#11
#11
ursaminotaur said:
Not taking issue with a prediction of 8 wins (or 9). At all. Just a model that ranks us at #7. Some of you guys lose your minds and start calling people trolls (lazy and very inaccurate) as quickly as possible.

Simply offering a caution against a model that is widely critiqued for its inaccuracy across the college football world. This same model has Texas at #6 right now. Maybe Texas is the real deal...but is there enough data yet to legitimately put them there?

Food for thought: FPI was heavily criticized after week 2 of the 2017-18 college football season when the Buckeyes were listed number one after losing big at home to the Sooners (Oklahoma was 2nd in FPI).

Now you may go back to hollering at fellow Vols. GBO!
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Nobody here is getting carried away with anything. It’s ESPN. Ringing up that FPI was criticized for something almost 5 seasons ago? Yeah that makes total sense. So if the FPI had us rated much lower, I suspect you wouldn’t have made your original post. Like I said troll post by you.
 
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#12
#12
BigOrangeTrain said:
Nobody here is getting carried away with anything. It’s ESPN. Ringing up that FPI was criticized for something almost 5 seasons ago? Yeah that makes total sense. So if the FPI had us rated much lower, I suspect you wouldn’t have made your original post. Like I said troll post by you.
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Keep hollering brother. Keep calling people trolls. Makes the world a better place.
 
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#14
#14
American_PitVol said:
Watching the game again right now. Our guys beat the sh*t out of their Quarterbacks. Aaron Beasley will be a nice surprise this year. Kid balled TF out.
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Beasley is more improved this year than Banks. Beasley had 14 solo tackles Saturday, Banks had 3.
May just be me but Banks seemed to be playing in slow motion against Pitt.
 
#16
#16
OldVolMan said:
Beasley is more improved this year than Banks. Beasley had 14 solo tackles Saturday, Banks had 3.
May just be me but Banks seemed to be playing in slow motion against Pitt.
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Narducci said in his post game comments that 33 was spying their quarterback. That would explain low tackle numbers.
 
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#17
#17
At this point in the season FPI is still heavily reliant on pre-season data inputs such as recruiting class, transfer ratings, returning starters, QB strength, and returning staff. Tennessee skews higher currently due to our better than average roster retention plus some major noise in the transfer portal (Bru McCoy). It seems as though when it comes to on-field results this algorithm favors high-powered offenses (see Utah St jumping 9 spots after scoring 73 points this week). It’s a strange combination of inputs for sure.
 
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#21
#21
DC_Vol said:
And the multiple deflected passes. Bank’s stat sheet didn’t look superstar, but he had a pretty good game.
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Yep, that was the context, he said that 33 was spying their quarterback and was getting his hands up on the passes. I should have elaborated, but it points to the bigger picture of a nice defensive game plan, and also to Banks being a team player.
You’re not going to get big personal stats spying the quarterback.
 
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#24
#24
Samthebam said:
Yep, that was the context, he said that 33 was spying their quarterback and was getting his hands up on the passes. I should have elaborated, but it points to the bigger picture of a nice defensive game plan, and also to Banks being a team player.
You’re not going to get big personal stats spying the quarterback.
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Good stuff! Hope it was good practice for the Florida game, because Richardson is going to need a spy too.
 
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#25
#25
ursaminotaur said:
Keep hollering brother. Keep calling people trolls. Makes the world a better place.
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I don't think you're trolling, I just don't see the big deal. I'm a fan of football. I like getting excited, that's what's enjoyable to me. I don't trust those rankings but I also don't care.

This is supposed to be fun and half the fun for me is getting "carried away".

Anyway, if we keep winning it won't matter. If we don't, it still won't. Lol.
 
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