Vols 1Q Spread vs Pitt - What am I missing?

#1

tfly

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#1
Earlier this week DraftKings opened the 1Q spread at -0.5 in favor of the Vols at -130 odds. I jumped all over it thinking surely the line would only grow from there. Still seeing it at -0.5 and odds have now improved to -120 as of posting this thread.

Maybe I’m missing something here but I’m all in on this one. Perhaps I’m putting too much stock in last year for a team that led the country in 1Q scoring? Anybody else in on this one? Or am I crazy to think UT wins the first quarter, as we did so often last year?
 
#2
#2
wish I lived in Tenn and could place a wager! You can put the kids through college with Heupel this year! The lines may never catch up just like the rankings!
 
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#3
#3
That would be a good bet. Our MO under Heupel has been quick starts - our problem has been sustaining he effort for the whole game.
 
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#5
#5
I don't gamble... and would NEVER place a bet on a team I cared about if I did.

That said, I think it is fairly safe to assume that UT will score and lead in the first qtr.
 
#6
#6
That would be a good bet. Our MO under Heupel has been quick starts - our problem has been sustaining he effort for the whole game.
Why are we so good to start and then seem to struggle? Other teams adjust? Great at scripted plays, not so great on the fly? We tire ourselves out with the hurry up? Fake injuries by every team mess up our mojo?
 
#8
#8
Why are we so good to start and then seem to struggle? Other teams adjust? Great at scripted plays, not so great on the fly? We tire ourselves out with the hurry up? Fake injuries by every team mess up our mojo?

I honestly think the speed of the offense takes teams by surprise. No scout team can re-create what they do.
 
#9
#9
Why are we so good to start and then seem to struggle? Other teams adjust? Great at scripted plays, not so great on the fly? We tire ourselves out with the hurry up? Fake injuries by every team mess up our mojo?

The scheme and pace are tough for opponents to face because the offense is atypical. Heupel had to mask a lot of deficiencies last year with an undermanned roster. This year the roster appears to be better equipped.
 
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#10
#10
We don't know that yet about this year's team. They could sustain this year.
Definitely. I hope this year’s team starts fast, stays fast in the middle, and then finishes fast! I was just commenting on the other poster mentioning the struggle we had to sustain last year.
 
#12
#12
That would be a good bet. Our MO under Heupel has been quick starts - our problem has been sustaining he effort for the whole game.
We have a true success problem. Our D is back on the field before they can catch their breath and rehydrate. Their time on the field can be leveraged by a patient opponent willing to chance a late comeback.
 
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#13
#13
We have a true success problem. Our D is back on the field before they can catch their breath and rehydrate. Their time on the field can be leveraged by a patient opponent willing to chance a late comeback.
Which is very risky, considering you could be down something like 42-14 in the 3rd qtr.
 
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