Vegas books seem to remain confident in Tennessee

#26
#26
Power T-Rev said:
Serious question. If the betters liked us, then why is that number dropping?
Click to expand...


The "likeability" is set at the original line if there is such a thing. After that it is strictly as the money flows. As the money loads up one side and gets to a certain place the spread gets tighter. In this case you had a lot of people taking UF and 6 /7 so the spread is falling to 4 if that is correct. Im surprised it hasn't tightened more but Del Rio not starting seems to have halted the money at around 4 points.
 
#27
#27
Late Money coming in heavy for Gators ( usually pro stuff) .. Pretty much 5 across all books now
 

Attachments

  • image.jpg
    image.jpg
    23.3 KB · Views: 10
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
#28
#28
LakeMaryFLVol said:
Late Money coming in heavy for Gators ( usually pro stuff) .. Pretty much 5 across all books now
Click to expand...
Correct the pros and bookies don't lay off their money until Friday mostly to make sure no last minute injuries or issues affect the line.
 
#29
#29
For me, it kind of boils down to how much would I pay for a win? Tempting to bet a few hundred on Florida.

If we win I'm happy, if we lose... I win some money to help ease the pain. If we win by 1-6 points I'm REALLY happy!
 
#31
#31
He_Made_It said:
Splitting the bet is the safest way to go for the bookies, but there is still an overwhelming number of betters taking florida.

The bookies are probably trying to get the betters a little closer to being split in case Tenn does not win (risk minimization).

I don't know what they're (bookies) thinking, but with 70% of betters taking florida, I have to wonder if they themselves are gambling on a Tenn win.
Click to expand...

I'm curious to know if this does happen in Vegas. The smart way to do it is having the money split. They essentially are not gambling when they do this. But do they ever let money roll heavy on one side and hold their position. Thus playing the role of a gambler as well as the bookie.
 
#32
#32
TeddyYeti said:
Line is dropping to get more action on Tenn. Almost 80% of bets have Florida and between 5 and 8 points.
Click to expand...

This actually is a good sign. Most of the time when this happens at this percentage on a high profile game the other team usually kicks a$$
 
#33
#33
Were we not favored last year?? Vegas knows $*** about the trend of this series and how excruciating it is to watch our offense/offensive line this year.
 
#34
#34
allvol123 said:
I'm curious to know if this does happen in Vegas. The smart way to do it is having the money split. They essentially are not gambling when they do this. But do they ever let money roll heavy on one side and hold their position. Thus playing the role of a gambler as well as the bookie.
Click to expand...

I'm certainly not an expert or insider on these things, but I'd say it happens.

Florida has been getting 70+% all week despite the drops in the line. If the bookies wanted to split the books, they would've moved the line more heavily towards UF earlier in the week. I could be totally wrong here, but I think they feel stronger about a UT win than the general public does.

I'd guess (-3) Florida would split the books.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
#35
#35
He_Made_It said:
I'm certainly not an expert or insider on these things, but I'd say it happens.

Florida has been getting 70+% all week despite the drops in the line. If the bookies wanted to split the books, they would've moved the line more heavily towards UF earlier in the week. I could be totally wrong here, but I think they feel stronger about a UT win than the general public does.

I'd guess (-3) Florida would split the books.
Click to expand...

Yes giving Tennessee and points should move the books to a more even split.
 
#37
#37
He_Made_It said:
I'm certainly not an expert or insider on these things, but I'd say it happens.

Florida has been getting 70+% all week despite the drops in the line. If the bookies wanted to split the books, they would've moved the line more heavily towards UF earlier in the week. I could be totally wrong here, but I think they feel stronger about a UT win than the general public does.

I'd guess (-3) Florida would split the books.
Click to expand...

The oddsmakers AND bookies are two separate types of people with two separate jobs. Oddsmakers are the guys valued like rare diamonds for their expertise and set the odds. The good ones set all kinds of variables and assign positives/begatives to them to come up with their initial spread and watch where the money goes. Bookmakers have no more expertise often than the guy on the street, they are administrators handling money. What many do not know is if you are really a big bettor whale type, you can purchase odds different from the spread due to the sheer volume of cash you are laying on the line. A $200k bettor gets different treatment and odds than the $100 guy does. That UT is still favored says the Vols should win by people who have a lot of money on the line.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
#38
#38
Public bets have gone from 73-27 yesterday evening to 68-32 as of noon. Alot of late bets going to Tenn.
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.
Advertisement



Back
Top