Vegas And The Cincy Game

#1
rexvol

rexvol

The Minister of Defense
Joined
Apr 29, 2006
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#1
Tennessee is 6-8 against the spread at home over the past three years, 3-6 against the spread in their last seven non-conference games, and 2-5 against the spread in their last seven September games. Cincinnati is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games, 1-5 against the spread in their last six road games, and 3-6 against the spread in their last nine games as an underdog.
Neither team is very good against the spread lately, so I will go with Tennessee to win at home 28-24. We win, but don't cover.
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-6.5 was my spread prediction actually. About dead on as i see it. When you struggle opening week to run the ball on a smaller FCS opponent Vegas takes notice. Vegas is pure statistics. They dont have blind fan optimism and in reality its about what the rest of the country aside from this board sees too. I know that Ohio and myself have been calling this a very pivotal game for months now. IMO this game is a very large indicator of just how our season is going to play out.
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Those are quotes from a couple of pretty sharp guys on TOS.
 
#4
#4
We're gonna light them up through the air. We win by at least two TDs.
 
#9
#9
I have us winning by 8 in the prediction thread. I believe if we establish the run game then we definitely win and of course winning the turnover battle is crucial
 
#11
#11
I hope our players read this crap and get as mad as I am that anyone puts cincy in the same sentence as the vols..

Bearkittens go down hard this weekend..

Talk all the politically correct crap you want about not overlooking and watching out for their awesome 2 star average team... we are going to crush em.

I would put our practice team against cincy and bet on the win
 
#12
#12
The line in this one is six but it seems at least three points two high in a game that could easily be decided by a field goal or less with either team emerging as the victor. Tennessee has the higher top level talent but Cincinnati has the playmakers at the skill positions to move the ball on offense and they aren’t going to back down from anyone. I am not sold on Dooley’s coaching ability and have no choice here but to take the Bearcats and the points in a game they may win outright.
Pick: Cinci +6

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Per Vegas Expert pick. SportChatplace
 
#14
#14
We did a crappy job running against Montana, but the score was contained because we stopped doing anything else. Dooley clearly didn't feel a need to win big. He didn't even feel the need to kick a FG. Wonder how Vegas would have booked it if Bray, Hunter and Da'Rick had kept playing backyard football through the air? Wonder if Cincy would be feeling so smug about hanging 72 on AP if we had hung 60 or 70 on Montana, a much superior team?

Cincy will beat us by as much as we let them. It's our game to lose-- on the ground or through the air. I'm taking the Vols by 10.
 
#15
#15
All you guys that think we'll lose this game must think we're going 5-7 or 4-8. Really? Worse than last year with a better team? Really?
 
#16
#16
Vegas says hire fulmer back and we'll win more than we're supposed to because of our lesser talent, but we'll still overachieve every year. Gibbsian buffoon agrees wholeheartedly while cleaning his chin.
 
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#18
#18
We will either win this game or we will lose it. Thats a bet you can bank on!
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
#19
#19
This is the same Cincinnati team that went 4-8 in the big east. The worst bcs conference there is. Not as close as you think. Double digit win for UT..we will give up some points but score alot also..56-31
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
#20
#20
rexvol said:
Those are quotes from a couple of pretty sharp guys on TOS.
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Those kind of trends are mostly useless. Bottom line is we have a lot more talent than Cincinnati, are playing at home, and match up reasonably well. It would be pitiful to lose to them. We should win by double digits; the spread is an over-reaction to last week and a general downer/pessimistic sentiment concerning Tennessee football in Vegas, which may be more realistic than fan expectation, but still isn't a 4-8 kind of football team, which is what losing to a subpar Cincy team at home would suggest.
 
#22
#22
xpsyclonex2002 said:
UT jumps out early by 14 to 17 points then lets Cincy back in the game. We eek out a win. 23/21
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Cincinnati Defense vs. Decent Pro-Style Offense
2010
Fresno St: 28
N.C. St.: 30
Oklahoma: 31
Pitt: 28

2009
Illinois: 36
Pitt: 44

2008
Oklahoma: 52
Pitt: 21

So 23 points would be the 2nd worst offensive performance by any decent pro-style offense in 3 years. We might be an average offense, but we're not so weak that we can't score in the 30's or thereabouts against a defense as talent-limited at Cincinnati. If we are, then we have very big problems.
 
#23
#23
xpsyclonex2002 said:
UT jumps out early by 14 to 17 points then lets Cincy back in the game. We eek out a win. 23/21
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The fewest points we've scored with Bray as a starter is 24. If you think we're going to be held to less than that vs. Cincinnati, you're crazy. They have an offense, not a defense (and their secondary is not their strength).

45-35
 
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#24
#24
It appears everyone thinks this will be a close game. I usually use the Vegas odds to get an unbiased opinion.
We are - 4.5 with the over at 110. They think we win but it’s will be a shootout. Looks like this is going to be a fun game to watch.

:good!:
 
#25
#25
i would take UT and the under .. expect a shoot out .. but not one with both teams in the low 50s .. guessing 80
 
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