If Ogilvy mans up (which is unlikely) and plays a good game against Cousins, and Vandy comes out hot (Beal, Jenkins, etc) then I think Kentucky falls today. It certainly has all the ingredients for an upset. 1st visit to the barn they call a gym for these freshmen (and Cal), and a great team looking for revenge and to tie the SEC east race.
However, these frosh have been breaking that mold in close games time after time this season (Petty arguments about officiating aside).
I'm going to go against the heart and pick the gut feeling, which is Vandy to win. Hope I'm wrong.