I view that poster as reliable because many here have provided lists of the people considered reliable like AtlantaVol,LaVol,Deerpark12, DE1Conley and a few others. Reading their posts the last few weeks indicates to me they are a little closer to the program than the average VN poster. Nothing is 100% guaranteed but I have confidence they have good information. In fact I am following them and check their history almost every day. Helps to weed out all the garbage and rumors people are posting here.