There's a good chance we don't win out

[goldvol]

Don't expect to win out. Math doesn't expect us to win out. Butch doesn't expect us to win out (he only focuses on the next game). You start expecting us to go 5-0 from here, you are probably going to be disappointed and will ultimately want to fire Butch.

Take Kentucky, of which we are a 7.5 point favorite. Historically, we will win about 73% of the time with this spread. South Carolina and Missouri will have similar spreads, if not a closer game. Let's assume the Vandy spread is 14 (85% chance to win). I'll assume North Texas is 100%, even though it's not.

So we are 73% favorites in 3 games and 85% favorites in 1 game. Looks like we are big favorites to win, right?
Wrong. With these odds, the odds of being undefeated from here on out is only 33%. 2 out of 3 times we will have at least 1 loss.

Feel free to adjust the percentages within reason. You can make us 90% favorite in each of the last games, and we still only go undefeated 2 out of 3 times.

I am a fan. I want to win every game. We are probably favored in every game. We are the better team in every game. However, we probably will finish 7-5 this year.

 

[General Jack]

If Dooley could win out in 2010 (4 straight), then with this roster we can run the table in 2015.

Screw the math, we are better than all the remaining teams and should win.

 

[joevol320]

if we play the rest of our games like we against bama, we'll win out.

 

[utvolpj]

No, there's really not

 

[Boca Vol]

If we don't win out, we haven't turned the corner. 7-5 at this point means UT lost to a pretty bad team somewhere along the way.

 

[goldvol]

No, there's really not

Wanna bet?

 

[utvolpj]

Wanna bet?

Are you saying you want to be put in a position of cheering for UT to lose so you can win a bet?

 

[bigorange]

I'm glad the games will be played on the field instead of in an excel spreadsheet.

 

[BeecherVol]

If Dooley could win out in 2010 (4 straight), then with this roster we can run the table in 2015.

Screw the math, we are better than all the remaining teams and should win.

Iconic phrase.

 

[sjt18]

Don't expect to win out. Math doesn't expect us to win out. Butch doesn't expect us to win out (he only focuses on the next game. You start expecting us to go 5-0 from here, you are probably going to be disappointed and will ultimately want to fire Butch.

Take Kentucky, of which we are a 7.5 point favorite. Historically, we will win about 73% of the time with this spread. South Carolina and Missouri will have similar spreads, if not a closer game. Let's assume the Vandy spread is 14 (85% chance to win). I'll assume North Texas is 100%, even though it's not.

So we are 73% favorites in 3 games and 85% favorites in 1 game. Looks like we are big favorites to win, right?
Wrong. With these odds, the odds of being undefeated from here on out is only 33%. 2 out of 3 times we will have at least 1 loss.

Feel free to adjust the percentages within reason. You can make us 90% favorite in each of the last games, and we still only go undefeated 2 out of 3 times.

I am a fan. I want to win every game. We are probably favored in every game. We are the better team in every game. However, we probably will finish 7-5 this year.

I expect to win out because UT is a better team than any of their last 5 opponents... and it ain't close.

Your math has no foundation because it attempts to use past UT teams and past squads for these opponents. The remaining SEC games are against the 4 worst teams in the conference in THIS year.

 

[BeecherVol]

Are you saying you want to be put in a position of cheering for UT to lose so you can win a bet?

Interesting point. Ive always wondered what some are thinking on the weekly "pick em" with Amazon in the balance.

 

[goldvol]

Are you saying you want to be put in a position of cheering for UT to lose so you can win a bet?

Are you saying you are so confident in Tennessee winning that you would put money on them to win out?
If I am betting on a Tennessee game, I always bet against them. That way I always win. Tennessee wins or I get some money.

 

[Volsick]

We are going to mercy kill the rest of the teams on our schedule. These guys are hungry.

 

[sjt18]

Wanna bet?

If UT does not win out then Jones will have lost to an opponent with a SIGNIFICANTLY less talented roster. Not just a little worse... But A LOT worse.

 

[goldvol]

I'm glad the games will be played on the field instead of in an excel spreadsheet.

Said no smart gambler ever...

 

[turdherder11]

who cares about odds and math. we are better than every team left on the schedule. no excuses.

 

[37L1]

One game at a time.

 

[WesternKyVol]

Expect to win out.
Demand to win out!
The remainder of the schedule is truly against bottom feeders.

 

[goldvol]

If UT does not win out then Jones will have lost to an opponent with a SIGNIFICANTLY less talented roster. Not just a little worse... But A LOT worse.

Which, according to statistics, is supposed to happen. Happens in every sport. The best MLB team loses to the worst MLB team. Talent and coaching are one factor.

 

[WesternKyVol]

who cares about odds and math. we are better than every team left on the schedule. no excuses.

Oh, there'll be plenty if we lose. Long season, not enough depth, high schoolers are used to less intense schedule, bla, bla , bla.

 

[WesternKyVol]

Butch has already circled the KY Halloween game as one of the hardest on the schedule.

 

[sanddune50]

Are you saying you want to be put in a position of cheering for UT to lose so you can win a bet?

Definitely what it sounds like.

 

[VonVol]

Wanna bet?

I would definitely take that bet.

 

[goldvol]

Definitely what it sounds like.

Nope, would never cheer against UT. I would rather lose the money. But if they did lose, at least I get some money.

 

[ksgovols]

Said no smart gambler ever...

That's the definition of an Oxymoron. Smart at what?

Winning percentages are never exactly 100% and the more games you play the chances of losing get higher. Even for Ohio State or Baylor.