The reason UF can't make a run

#3
#3
That bracket sets up well for Florida. I'll be shocked if they don't make it at least to the Sweet Sixteen. I don't think they should be a 3 seed though. Pretty much every SEC bubble team besides Alabama has smacked them with the dick in the last couple of weeks.
 
#7
#7
Gators will beat Northwestern St in the first round but lose to Minnesota in the 2nd round. I see Georgetown advancing out of that bracket to the "sweet 16."
 
#9
#9
Too soft in the paint. Good enough guard play with enough shooters than can space you but they will get dominated in the paint. I still wouldn't be shocked to see them win it all. Field is wide open.
 
#10
#10
When you look at Patric Young, you wonder how in the world he can be soft (no homo)
 
#11
#11
What's astounding to me, is the computer rankings and stat guys love Florida. Nate Silver has them in the Final 4.

Ken Pom has them as the #1 team in the country.

But you watch them play and wonder what stats could possibly back that up.
 
#12
#12
BeecherVol said:
Biggest flaw of BD teams IMO.
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That has been my argument in the past as well. The two year run being the exception, all of his teams are just soft. Regular season monsters, until it's time to play physical and to the wire, and then it's adios.

So many early round exits to teams that shouldn't beat them.
 
#14
#14
Basketball Prospectus | Unfiltered

The Gators have just wrapped up the most statistically dominant season this feature has ever witnessed from a major-conference team (Kentucky last year: +0.26 Points Per-Possession Margin), and all it got Billy Donovan’s men was a 14-4 record. That record includes the latest in what now feels like an eerily familiar series of close-but-no-cigar road games, Saturday’s 61-57 loss at Kentucky. What are we to make of this team? Glad you asked. Here are Four Theses on Florida.

1. Turns out Florida is not the greatest team of the modern era after all. Part of their statistical glory was achieved thanks to 160 minutes against what were clearly the league’s three worst teams: Auburn, South Carolina, and Mississippi State. Take out those 160 minutes, and the Gators’ per-possession scoring margin drops to +0.21. Then again….

2. We’re cherry-picking — every good team gets to play an occasional bad team — and +0.21 is still really good.

3. No SEC team has scored more than 0.97 points per trip in any game where Will Yeguete played more than one minute. Doubt UF’s perimeter obsession on offense all you want — I’m right there with you — but this D has been consistently tough.

4. Among recent major-conference teams outscoring their leagues by 0.20 points per trip or more (there aren’t many of those), Florida ranks a clear No. 3 in my Gasaway Non-Bald Dome Index (GNBDI), clearly behind Kansas 2008 and Kentucky 2012, but also comfortably ahead of Texas 2011. It would be a mistake to pencil the Gators in for either a national title or a first-weekend exit just yet.
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#15
#15
While I don't think Florida will make a memorable run, picking on Donovan's teams for being soft at tourney time is ridiculous.

Dude is 28-10 in the tourney.

Start a list of active coaches with a better tourney winning percentage. You won't get far.

Florida isn't Kansas or North Carolina either
 
#17
#17
Fla could either get to the Elite 8 or go one and done. They'll probably fall somewhere in between.
 
#19
#19
golfballs said:
They could win it all
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There are probably 15 teams in there with a realistic shot. Florida is one of them, but just barely. If they can't show some poise down the stretch, they'll lose the first nail biter they come across, and for about the last two years they've shown no ability to do that.
 
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#20
#20
I can't see them getting past Georgetown. I may not have picked them to go that far but UCLA and Minnesota are not terrifying prospects in the second round.
 
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