Michigan State isn't in the same group with those other four historically nor on the elite recruiting level. That said, those blue bloods have filled 20 of 80 slots in the final four the last 20 years, leaving 60 up for grabs. Wisconsin doesn't have any apparent advantages from recruiting territory or anything like that but manage final fours.
Florida has 3 final fours based on strong coaching.
I also can't put Barnes in the class of those guys. He's had the upper echelon of elite talent in his career, especially at Texas and couldn't get over the hump with it. Hopefully he manages it here but I just want him to leave the program in a spot that's not a complete shambles like everyone else who leaves here.