Sure, Biden has a more paths to 270, but Trump still has a very viable map where he gives back two states he won last time. Just flip PA, WI, or MI on this map and he's there.
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Pretty easy to imagine a scenario in one of the three states where:
* he closes the gap between now and 11/3
* there is a difference in the spoil rate of mail in ballots, generally 2.5%, versus in person, generally 0.5%
* he turns out more rural voters than anticipated or wins them at a greater rate than anticipated
It's difficult but if he can hold FL, AZ, GA, NC, OH, IA--all places where he should be a heavy favorite--then he only needs one.
