I agree we should win but I don’t know about easy money. Every team we beat during our big run down the stretch was garbage. We’re definitely improved, trending the right way, building a winning culture, yada yada yada but there’s still no reason to think we’re actually any good yet. Bill Connelly‘s SP+ rankings (which are supposed to be great against Vegas) has Indiana four points better than us. Two mediocre teams will eat a banquet and then play a football game in a month and the team that feels like playing more that day will win. I’d expect the line to creep up a couple points towards us but I’m not shocked it’s a pickem.