South Carolina's D is a carbon copy of UGa's (long)

#1
BanditVol

BanditVol

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#1
Statistically....

Here are the stats (national rank in parens):

UGa

Pass Efficiency D

Uga 147.64 (100)
USCe 148.74 (104)


Rush D

Uga 139 (42)
USCe 128 (34)

Scoring D

UGa 31.8 (95)
USCe 25.8 (60)

Some points....

1. Below, I predicted that Worley would have his best game to date vs. UGa's simply awful pass D. This includes factoring in Mettenburger and Tajh Boyd. Well USCe is even a bit worse against the pass, and instead of two good QBs, they have only faced Aaron Murphy. Plus, Worley's confidence has to be better and he has two weeks to prepare. I predict another "good" game for Worley (compared to his early season form, he will be much better).

2. Running D a bit better at USCe, but again, they have faced less stiff competition than Uga...the difference is pretty small....7 places and 12 yards....we ran for 189 on Uga, we should be able to run on USCe as well.

3. It's true that USCe has a pretty significantly better scoring D, and IMO this is by far the most important stat on D. The reason I think is probably red zone D...uga is 94th and USCe 57th, which is about the same as the scoring D gap. So I will point out that Palardy is much more reliable this year and also that a good running offense, which we have, does better in the red zone, generally speaking.

Bottom line...I think Worley has another good game on the cocks and we will be able to score on them.

Now as for the offense, the run games of Uga and USCe are identical, but the passing offense of USCe is worse.

Pass Efficiency Offense

Uga 178.67 (6)
USCe 157.46 (22)

Rush Offense

Uga 215 (27)
USCe 215 (26)

Scoring Offense

Uga 39.8 (23)
USCe 31.0 (60)

Quick points....we have a weak Pass D and a strong Run D, so we match strength to strength and weakness to weakness with USCe. This was true of UGa as well. Also, in the all important offensive scoring category, USCe is over a TD worse than Uga. So while their scoring D is better, their scoring offense is worse, thus our game likely will have a lower, though close, score.

Bottom line, if we play like we did in the second half against UGa, we have an excellent chance of beating USCe. Specifically, Worley should have another good game and our D should be able to greatly slow (though not stop) the USCe attack. Plus, we have two weeks to prepare and a huge shot of confidence compared to this time last week.

Nothing is ever certain...the ball will bounce where it bounces, but I feel really, really good about our chances in this one. The numbers said we had a shot at UGa and it was true...the numbers say we have a shot at USCe. :rock:
 
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#2
#2
If the UGA game proved anything it should be that a great QB can nearly carry a team all by themselves. I don't doubt the hypothesis presented but Connor Shaw is a gamer and he played hurt last week. He's also mobile and we know how we've faired against mobile QB's. If we play with intensity and the crowd shows up again it should be a good game. We cannot however go an entire half without scoring a TD and expect to win against any SEC foe.
 
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#7
#7
BanditVol said:
Statistically....

Here are the stats (national rank in parens):

UGa

Pass Efficiency D

Uga 147.64 (100)
USCe 148.74 (104)


Rush D

Uga 139 (42)
USCe 128 (34)

Scoring D

UGa 31.8 (95)
USCe 25.8 (60)

Some points....

1. Below, I predicted that Worley would have his best game to date vs. UGa's simply awful pass D. This includes factoring in Mettenburger and Tajh Boyd. Well USCe is even a bit worse against the pass, and instead of two good QBs, they have only faced Aaron Murphy. Plus, Worley's confidence has to be better and he has two weeks to prepare. I predict another "good" game for Worley (compared to his early season form, he will be much better).

2. Running D a bit better at USCe, but again, they have faced less stiff competition than Uga...the difference is pretty small....7 places and 12 yards....we ran for 189 on Uga, we should be able to run on USCe as well.

3. It's true that USCe has a pretty significantly better scoring D, and IMO this is by far the most important stat on D. The reason I think is probably red zone D...uga is 94th and USCe 57th, which is about the same as the scoring D gap. So I will point out that Palardy is much more reliable this year and also that a good running offense, which we have, does better in the red zone, generally speaking.

Bottom line...I think Worley has another good game on the cocks and we will be able to score on them.

Now as for the offense, the run games of Uga and USCe are identical, but the passing offense of USCe is worse.

Pass Efficiency Offense

Uga 178.67 (6)
USCe 157.46 (22)

Rush Offense

Uga 215 (27)
USCe 215 (26)

Scoring Offense

Uga 39.8 (23)
USCe 31.0 (60)

Quick points....we have a weak Pass D and a strong Run D, so we match strength to strength and weakness to weakness with USCe. This was true of UGa as well. Also, in the all important offensive scoring category, USCe is over a TD worse than Uga. So while their scoring D is better, their scoring offense is worse, thus our game likely will have a lower, though close, score.

Bottom line, if we play like we did in the second half against UGa, we have an excellent chance of beating USCe. Specifically, Worley should have another good game and our D should be able to greatly slow (though not stop) the USCe attack. Plus, we have two weeks to prepare and a huge shot of confidence compared to this time last week.

Nothing is ever certain...the ball will bounce where it bounces, but I feel really, really good about our chances in this one. The numbers said we had a shot at UGa and it was true...the numbers say we have a shot at USCe. :rock:
Click to expand...

nice work.:thumbsup:
 
#8
#8
JUST WIN!!! but OP thanks for the time you put into that.

:good!:
 
#11
#11
I agree there are some hopeful signs to be found in the stats. I've pointed out for several months now that USCe was a possible win because of their own set of roster issues.

But one thing I have noticed is that Spurrier is not himself. He's negative at times in almost the same way Dooley was when he began to lose control of the situation. That coupled with Clowney's issues and two coaches fighting on the sideline... would seem to suggest that all is not well behind the curtains at USCe.
 
#12
#12
sjt18 said:
I agree there are some hopeful signs to be found in the stats. I've pointed out for several months now that USCe was a possible win because of their own set of roster issues.

But one thing I have noticed is that Spurrier is not himself. He's negative at times in almost the same way Dooley was when he began to lose control of the situation. That coupled with Clowney's issues and two coaches fighting on the sideline... would seem to suggest that all is not well behind the curtains at USCe.
Click to expand...

Great point...he seems more frazzled than usual.

And let's not forget him showing up DRUNK to his coaches show! LOL!!!!

Drunk Steve Spurrier Slurring on The Steve Spurrier Show - YouTube
 
#13
#13
I believe in order to with this game we have to dominate the special teams game. We also either need to do a great job at keeping contain or put spy the heck out of Conner Shaw. We also need to do a good job getting a pass rush with just 4 lineman. I can see Vereen and Miller starting at DE. I could see us using Brewer and JRM to spy on Shaw
 
#15
#15
Butch has a full 2 weeks to prepare for this game. I have full confidence that we will see the same team we saw take Georgia to OT. The crowd should be there, the noise should be there. Let's get the upset this time! Bring it on!
 
#16
#16
BanditVol said:
Statistically....

Here are the stats (national rank in parens):

UGa

Pass Efficiency D

Uga 147.64 (100)
USCe 148.74 (104)


Rush D

Uga 139 (42)
USCe 128 (34)

Scoring D

UGa 31.8 (95)
USCe 25.8 (60)

Some points....

1. Below, I predicted that Worley would have his best game to date vs. UGa's simply awful pass D. This includes factoring in Mettenburger and Tajh Boyd. Well USCe is even a bit worse against the pass, and instead of two good QBs, they have only faced Aaron Murphy. Plus, Worley's confidence has to be better and he has two weeks to prepare. I predict another "good" game for Worley (compared to his early season form, he will be much better).

2. Running D a bit better at USCe, but again, they have faced less stiff competition than Uga...the difference is pretty small....7 places and 12 yards....we ran for 189 on Uga, we should be able to run on USCe as well.

3. It's true that USCe has a pretty significantly better scoring D, and IMO this is by far the most important stat on D. The reason I think is probably red zone D...uga is 94th and USCe 57th, which is about the same as the scoring D gap. So I will point out that Palardy is much more reliable this year and also that a good running offense, which we have, does better in the red zone, generally speaking.

Bottom line...I think Worley has another good game on the cocks and we will be able to score on them.

Now as for the offense, the run games of Uga and USCe are identical, but the passing offense of USCe is worse.

Pass Efficiency Offense

Uga 178.67 (6)
USCe 157.46 (22)

Rush Offense

Uga 215 (27)
USCe 215 (26)

Scoring Offense

Uga 39.8 (23)
USCe 31.0 (60)

Quick points....we have a weak Pass D and a strong Run D, so we match strength to strength and weakness to weakness with USCe. This was true of UGa as well. Also, in the all important offensive scoring category, USCe is over a TD worse than Uga. So while their scoring D is better, their scoring offense is worse, thus our game likely will have a lower, though close, score.

Bottom line, if we play like we did in the second half against UGa, we have an excellent chance of beating USCe. Specifically, Worley should have another good game and our D should be able to greatly slow (though not stop) the USCe attack. Plus, we have two weeks to prepare and a huge shot of confidence compared to this time last week.

Nothing is ever certain...the ball will bounce where it bounces, but I feel really, really good about our chances in this one. The numbers said we had a shot at UGa and it was true...the numbers say we have a shot at USCe. :rock:
Click to expand...

You forgot the most important stat:

THIS ONE IS ON THE ROAD.

This will be a much tougher challenge IMO. But GBO!!!!!
 
#18
#18
Not trying to be a Debbie downer, but I hate the match up. Mobile qb with the ability to get to the edges. No bueno.
 
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