Season Prediction

#1
bleedingTNorange

bleedingTNorange

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#1
Can do this now that the full schedule is out...



November 5th vs Victory University (exhibition)

November 9th vs Kennesaw State WIN
November 15th vs UNC-Asheville WIN
November 16th vs Akron or Oklahoma State WIN
November 18th vs TBD LOSS
November 26th vs Oakland WIN
November 30th at Georgetown WIN
December 5th at Virginia WIN
December 13th vs Wichita State WIN
December 18th vs Presbyterian WIN
December 21st vs Western Carolina WIN
December 29th vs Xavier WIN
January 4th vs Memphis LOSS
January 9th vs Ole Miss WIN
January 12th at Alabama LOSS
January 15th at Kentucky LOSS
January 19th vs Mississippi State WIN
January 24th at Ole Miss LOSS
January 26th vs Alabama WIN
January 29th vs Vanderbilt WIN
February 2nd at Arkansas LOSS
February 6th vs Georgia WIN
February 10th at South Carolina WIN
February 13th at Vanderbilt WIN
February 16th vs Kentucky WIN
February 19th vs LSU WIN
February 23rd at Texas A&M WIN
February 26th vs Florida LOSS
March 2nd at Georgia WIN
March 6th at Auburn WIN
March 9th vs Missouri WIN

Overall 23-7 SEC 13-5

I feel that's pretty unbiased and realistic, I initially had us beating Florida and Ole Miss, so 25-5, but I think 23-7 sounds more likely.
 
Last edited:
#2
#2
bleedingTNorange said:
Can do this now that the full schedule is out...



November 5th vs Victory University (exhibition)

November 9th vs Kennesaw State WIN
November 15th vs UNC-Asheville WIN
November 16th vs Akron or Oklahoma State WIN
November 18th vs TBD LOSS
November 26th vs Oakland WIN
November 30th at Georgetown WIN
December 5th at Virginia WIN
December 13th vs Wichita State WIN
December 18th vs Presbyterian WIN
December 21st vs Western Carolina WIN
December 29th vs Xavier WIN
January 4th vs Memphis LOSS
January 9th vs Ole Miss WIN
January 12th at Alabama LOSS
January 15th at Kentucky LOSS
January 19th vs Mississippi State WIN
January 24th at Ole Miss LOSS
January 26th vs Alabama WIN
January 29th vs Vanderbilt WIN
February 2nd at Arkansas LOSS
February 6th vs Georgia WIN
February 10th at South Carolina WIN
February 13th at Vanderbilt WIN
February 16th vs Kentucky WIN
February 19th vs LSU WIN
February 23rd at Texas A&M WIN
February 26th vs Florida LOSS
March 2nd at Georgia WIN
March 6th at Auburn WIN
March 9th vs Missouri WIN

Overall 23-7 SEC 13-5

I feel that's pretty unbiased and realistic, I initially had us beating Florida and Ole Miss, so 25-5, but I think 23-7 sounds more likely.
Click to expand...

I don't see much to argue about except the Florida and Memphis games. I think Cuonzo moves to 3-0 vs the gators. I think TBA crowd gives the vols the edge over Memphis in Knoxville. If it breaks the way you have it, the Mizzou game on March 9 could be for the conference championship.
 
#4
#4
zansdad said:
I don't see much to argue about except the Florida and Memphis games. I think Cuonzo moves to 3-0 vs the gators. I think TBA crowd gives the vols the edge over Memphis in Knoxville. If it breaks the way you have it, the Mizzou game on March 9 could be for the conference championship.
Click to expand...

Absolutely agree, just thinking 27-3 I said I had to give us a couple more losses. I mean 27-3 would be awesome, just think 25-5 seems more likely.
 
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#5
#5
bleedingTNorange said:
Can do this now that the full schedule is out...



November 5th vs Victory University (exhibition)

November 9th vs Kennesaw State WIN
November 15th vs UNC-Asheville WIN
November 16th vs Akron or Oklahoma State WIN
November 18th vs TBD LOSS
November 26th vs Oakland WIN
November 30th at Georgetown WIN
December 5th at Virginia WIN
December 13th vs Wichita State WIN
December 18th vs Presbyterian WIN
December 21st vs Western Carolina WIN
December 29th vs Xavier WIN
January 4th vs Memphis LOSS
January 9th vs Ole Miss WIN
January 12th at Alabama LOSS
January 15th at Kentucky LOSS
January 19th vs Mississippi State WIN
January 24th at Ole Miss LOSS
January 26th vs Alabama WIN
January 29th vs Vanderbilt WIN
February 2nd at Arkansas LOSS
February 6th vs Georgia WIN
February 10th at South Carolina WIN
February 13th at Vanderbilt WIN
February 16th vs Kentucky WIN
February 19th vs LSU WIN
February 23rd at Texas A&M WIN
February 26th vs Florida LOSS
March 2nd at Georgia WIN
March 6th at Auburn WIN
March 9th vs Missouri WIN

Overall 23-7 SEC 13-5

I feel that's pretty unbiased and realistic, I initially had us beating Florida and Ole Miss, so 25-5, but I think 23-7 sounds more likely.
Click to expand...


Pretty much agree except I would say we win against Florida and then the Memphis game is a toss up for me.
 
#7
#7
bleedingTNorange said:
Absolutely agree, just thinking 25-5 I said I had to give us a couple more losses. I mean 25-5 would be awesome, just think 23-7 seems more likely.
Click to expand...

I know what you mean. If you put down them beating Florida it becomes a 10 game winning streak to end the season. And while that would be awesome, it's probably unlikely. The most likely loss of that bunch is probably Florida, so I see where you're coming frome.
 
#8
#8
Puerto Rico Tip-Off
11/15/12 vs. UNC Asheville Coliseo de Puerto Rico W
11/16/12 vs. Akron or Oklahoma State W
11/18/12 TBD Coliseo de Puerto Rico TOSS UP
11/26/12 vs. Oakland Knoxville, Tenn. TBA W
11/30/12 at Georgetown Verizon Center (Washington, D.C.) TBA TOSS UP
12/05/12 at Virginia Charlottesville, Va. TBA W
12/13/12 vs. Wichita State Knoxville, Tenn. TBA W
12/18/12 vs. Presbyterian Knoxville, Tenn. TBA W
12/21/12 vs. Western Carolina Knoxville, Tenn. TBA W
12/29/12 vs. Xavier Knoxville, Tenn. TBA W
01/04/13 vs. Memphis Knoxville, Tenn. 8:00 p.m. ET L
01/09/13 vs. Ole Miss * Knoxville, Tenn. 8:00 p.m. ET W
01/12/13 at Alabama * Tuscaloosa, Ala. 1:00 p.m. ET L
01/15/13 at Kentucky * Lexington, Ky. 7:00 p.m. ET L
01/19/13 vs. Mississippi State * Knoxville, Tenn. 4:00 p.m. ET W
01/24/13 at Ole Miss * Oxford, Miss. 7:00 p.m. ET W
01/26/13 vs. Alabama * Knoxville, Tenn. 2:00 p.m. ET W
01/29/13 vs. Vanderbilt * Knoxville, Tenn. 7:00 p.m. ET W
02/02/13 at Arkansas * Fayetteville, Ark. 4:00 p.m. ET L
02/06/13 vs. Georgia * Knoxville, Tenn. 8:00 p.m. ET W
02/10/13 at South Carolina * Columbia, S.C. 1:00 p.m. ET W
02/13/13 at Vanderbilt * Nashville, Tenn. 8:00 p.m. ET L
02/16/13 vs. Kentucky * Knoxville, Tenn. 1:00 p.m. ET TOSS UP
02/19/13 vs. LSU * Knoxville, Tenn. 7:00 p.m. ET L
02/23/13 at Texas A&M * College Station, Texas 4:00 p.m. ET W
02/26/13 vs. Florida * Knoxville, Tenn. 9:00 p.m. ET W
03/02/13 at Georgia * Athens, Ga. 1:30 p.m. ET W
03/06/13 at Auburn * Auburn, Ala. 9:00 p.m. ET W
03/09/13 vs. Missouri * Knoxville, Tenn. 4:00 p.m. ET TOSS UP

20-22 wins in regular season very possible. A ton of toss up games that we'll be in. The early road test from Virginia and Georgetown will do wonders for this team. I think we lose at Bama because we always struggle down there for some reason, lose to LSU, split with Vandy, and possible split with Kentucky. 11-12 wins in conference will get us a bye IMO.
 
#9
#9
so Gtown, Xavier, KY, Vandy and MO are likely the most at risk wins - is that what you are thinking? Anyone I am missing in there?
 
#10
#10
SCvol333 said:
so Gtown, Xavier, KY, Vandy and MO are likely the most at risk wins - is that what you are thinking? Anyone I am missing in there?
Click to expand...

Vandy shouldn't be trouble, at all. Xavier isn't that good, should be a W. KY obviously is good as is MO, but i like that we have them here.
 
#11
#11
bleedingTNorange said:
Can do this now that the full schedule is out...



November 5th vs Victory University (exhibition)

November 9th vs Kennesaw State WIN
November 15th vs UNC-Asheville WIN
November 16th vs Akron or Oklahoma State WIN
November 18th vs TBD LOSS
November 26th vs Oakland WIN
November 30th at Georgetown WIN
December 5th at Virginia WIN
December 13th vs Wichita State WIN
December 18th vs Presbyterian WIN
December 21st vs Western Carolina WIN
December 29th vs Xavier WIN
January 4th vs Memphis LOSS
January 9th vs Ole Miss WIN
January 12th at Alabama LOSS
January 15th at Kentucky LOSS
January 19th vs Mississippi State WIN
January 24th at Ole Miss LOSS
January 26th vs Alabama WIN
January 29th vs Vanderbilt WIN
February 2nd at Arkansas LOSS
February 6th vs Georgia WIN
February 10th at South Carolina WIN
February 13th at Vanderbilt WIN
February 16th vs Kentucky WIN
February 19th vs LSU WIN
February 23rd at Texas A&M WIN
February 26th vs Florida LOSS
March 2nd at Georgia WIN
March 6th at Auburn WIN
March 9th vs Missouri WIN

Overall 23-7 SEC 13-5

I feel that's pretty unbiased and realistic, I initially had us beating Florida and Ole Miss, so 25-5, but I think 23-7 sounds more likely.
Click to expand...

Off the top of my head, I'd switch Florida and the home Alabama game. We seem to have Florida's number, and I'm afraid Bama may have ours. I know we have a very small sample size for games under Cuonzo, but we handled their defense very poorly last year. Of course, if you switch those two, it puts us ending the season on a ten-game winning streak. Seems a little unlikely, but I wouldn't complain.

I could also see us taking down Memphis but dropping one at Georgetown or UVA, even though we'll have the better team in both instances.
 
#12
#12
Incipient said:
Off the top of my head, I'd switch Florida and the home Alabama game. We seem to have Florida's number, and I'm afraid Bama may have ours. I know we have a very small sample size for games under Cuonzo, but we handled their defense very poorly last year. Of course, if you switch those two, it puts us ending the season on a ten-game winning streak. Seems a little unlikely, but I wouldn't complain.

I could also see us taking down Memphis but dropping one at Georgetown or UVA, even though we'll have the better team in both instances.
Click to expand...

Agreed there's a few games that easily could be flipped. However he record stays close to the same as what I'm predicting IMO, 23-7.
 
#13
#13
bleedingTNorange said:
Vandy shouldn't be trouble, at all. Xavier isn't that good, should be a W. KY obviously is good as is MO, but i like that we have them here.
Click to expand...

I don't follow Vandy much - just knew they had been good the last few years - same with Xavier

schedule lines up pretty well then for a good run
 
#15
#15
bleedingTNorange said:
Agreed there's a few games that easily could be flipped. However he record stays close to the same as what I'm predicting IMO, 23-7.
Click to expand...

I think our realistic high end is probably about 27-3 (too many tough games away from TBA not to drop at least that many), and our realistic low end around 19-11 (can't see us much worse than 11-7 in conference play after keeping so much from a 10-6 team--not unless disaster strikes). Halfway in between sounds about right for an expectation.
 
#16
#16
bleedingTNorange said:
Agreed there's a few games that easily could be flipped. However he record stays close to the same as what I'm predicting IMO, 23-7.
Click to expand...

thatd likely be a 3 seed in the tourney - would be a heck of an achievement in year 2 if CM can pull it off
 
#25
#25
UConnBasketball said:
25-5= guaranteed #3 seed.

#3 seeds are the magic seed to advance from several different perspectives. A #3 seed should be what all Tennessee fans aspire to this year.
Click to expand...

and conference tournament will be the deciding factor as to whether they land a #2 (win it), #3 (get to the final maybe semi final), #4 (get knocked out in the 1st round).

I think that would be very close.
 
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