Sagarin has us as an implied favorite vs Georgia

#1

DiderotsGhost

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#1
While I'd only put so much stock into the quant polls 2 weeks into the season, right now Sagarin suggests that Tennessee should be the favorite next week.

1 Oregon 94.36
2 Ohio State 94.08
3 Penn State 90.93
4 Notre Dame 90.80
5 Alabama 90.39
6 Texas 90.04
7 Georgia 87.85
8 LSU 87.07
9 Miami-Florida 86.23
10 Tennessee 85.75

11 Texas A&M 85.41
12 Mississippi 85.12
14 Florida 83.62
15 Auburn 82.92
16 South Carolina 82.83
17 Missouri 82.16
19 Oklahoma 81.90
25 Arkansas 80.23
31 Vanderbilt 78.70
44 Kentucky 75.07
46 Syracuse 74.65
68 Mississippi State 70.80

Note Georgia is above us at #7, but only by about 2 points. Home field advantage is normally considered worth 3 points.

That said, this is more of a "prove it" game for us than Georgia. We've had a good 2 weeks but haven't faced any major tests yet. Georgia struggled against Austin Peay last week, but none of that means anything next week. Georgia should still be a favorite, but I wonder if the Georgia -7 line comes down.

As for their other rankings:

* Sagarin likes Florida States more than it dislikes Bama -- guess we'll see if this one is true or corrects over time
* It seems to underestimate USF by quite a lot; only #60 (but #41 on the Recent Ratings, but that's still quite low) - either USF should be higher or Florida lower IMO
* On "Recent Ratings", it has Florida at #25

As always, you have to take these things with a huge grain of salt this early in the season, but still interesting that most of the quant polls think much more highly of us than the human pollsters. FPI has us at #9, Massey at #7 (but UGa is #3).
 
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#4
#4
Sagarin's not the only one, either. Smart will rub all this ranking stuff in his players faces all week. I remember when Tennessee went to Georgia after being revealed as the #1 ranked team in the playoff poll - there were video recordings made from outside UGA's practice field where you could hear him yelling at his players about how "no one believed in them" and they were going to send a message and this and that. Full on ranting for minutes and minutes.

It's his go-to motivational tactic. His only motivational tactic as far as I know. "Everyone doubts us." "It's us against the world." Every time, every year, even though he's got more talent than anyone and has only lost 7 games in the last five years. I swear UGA could be playing Northwest Idaho Tech and he'd trot out that "nobodfy believes in us" crap. I just hope it doesn't take this time.
 
#5
#5
Georgia is too much of an unknown at this point. They purposely haven't shown anything these past two weeks.

Stockton is a questionable passer and that OL has some issues. VOLS have to show up and play great to win imo
I agree. I thought Beck was underrated and losing him was a bigger deal than people made it out to be. That said, Georgia is still absolutely loaded with talent and could clobber us. But this is also the best I've felt about our chances in years.
 
#6
#6
It's his go-to motivational tactic. His only motivational tactic as far as I know. "Everyone doubts us." "It's us against the world." Every time, every year, even though he's got more talent than anyone and has only lost 7 games in the last five years. I swear UGA could be playing Northwest Idaho Tech and he'd trot out that "nobodfy believes in us" crap. I just hope it doesn't take this time.
I hope it does take, and we kick their peanut-eating a$$es anyway.
 
#8
#8
I agree. I thought Beck was underrated and losing him was a bigger deal than people made it out to be. That said, Georgia is still absolutely loaded with talent and could clobber us. But this is also the best I've felt about our chances in years.
UGA not having Beck helps I believe. He carved us apart the previous two matchups.
 
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