SSVol
Neeerrrrrddd!
- Joined
- Nov 26, 2012
- Messages
- 7,871
- Likes
- 30,614
Yeah, obviously the principle is logically consistent. I’m saying that “not a uniquely serious pandemic” is the null hypothesis of “uniquely serious pandemic,” which means they are dependent on the same variables. And if you’re going to reject one of these because the data is unacceptable for whatever reason, you can’t affirm the opposite based on the very same data.
My goal isn't to plumb the depths of logical consistency, but to present common sense arguments. I'm basing my assumptions on a few situations where the total exposed population is somewhat bounded: healthcare workers, Diamond Princess, and South Korea. Those limited populations are following a similar trajectory that conflicts with the assumptions brought by those who posit that there are far, far more cases than known.
My interest isn't in being right, or driving fear, or politics, or any of that nonsense. My only interest is in trying to arrive at the best truth among the many being offered. I am a small business owner and am concerned for the welfare of my employees. I just want to make the best decisions I can right now, knowing that my decisions may affect how many get sick, lose their jobs, or even die.