Projected BCS rankings

#1

allvol

Eternally Optimistic
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#1
Rank School W-L BCS HARPct UEPct CRPct HAR (Rank) UE (Rank) Avg (Rank) AH BIL COL MAS SAG WLF
1 Southern California 6-0 0.9889 0.9933 0.9935 0.9800 2806 (1) 1540 (1) 1.50 (1) 1 1 2 2 1 2
2 Texas 6-0 0.9391 0.9646 0.9626 0.8900 2725 (2) 1492 (2) 3.75 (4) 5 3 4 4 2 4
3 Virginia Tech 6-0 0.9134 0.9189 0.9213 0.9000 2596 (3) 1428 (3) 3.50 (3) 3 4 6 3 4 3
4 Georgia 6-0 0.9133 0.8818 0.8781 0.9800 2491 (4) 1361 (4) 1.50 (1) 2 2 1 1 3 1
5 Alabama 6-0 0.8220 0.8064 0.8097 0.8500 2278 (5) 1255 (5) 4.75 (5) 4 19 3 5 5 5
6 Miami-Florida 5-1 0.7228 0.7926 0.7858 0.5900 2239 (6) 1218 (6) 11.25 (12) 11 8 15 10 12 12
7 LSU 4-1 0.7145 0.7189 0.7445 0.6800 2031 (7) 1154 (7) 9.00 (8) 10 6 12 8 9 9
8 Texas Tech 6-0 0.6967 0.6641 0.6961 0.7300 1876 (9) 1079 (8) 7.75 (7) 9 7 7 13 6 8
9 UCLA 6-0 0.6642 0.6931 0.6794 0.6200 1958 (8) 1053 (9) 10.50 (10) 6 13 10 12 13 7
10 Florida St 5-1 0.6016 0.6021 0.6026 0.6000 1701 (10) 934 (10) 11.00 (11) 8 15 14 7 11 11
11 Penn State 6-1 0.5893 0.5296 0.4684 0.7700 1496 (12) 726 (14) 6.75 (6) 7 12 5 6 8 6
12 Boston College 6-1 0.4913 0.5097 0.5542 0.4100 1440 (13) 859 (11) 15.75 (15) 14 18 13 21 16 15
13 Wisconsin 6-1 0.4548 0.3377 0.3568 0.6700 954 (17) 553 (17) 9.25 (9) 12 5 8 9 10 10
14 Oregon 6-1 0.4505 0.3922 0.3794 0.5800 1108 (16) 588 (16) 11.50 (13) 13 34 9 11 7 13
15 Ohio State 4-2 0.4292 0.4690 0.4787 0.3400 1325 (14) 742 (13) 17.50 (16) 25 11 18 17 19 16
16 Notre Dame 4-2 0.4052 0.5996 0.5458 0.0700 1694 (11) 846 (12) 24.25 (24) 23 25 25 31 23 24
17 Auburn 5-1 0.3544 0.4205 0.4226 0.2200 1188 (15) 655 (15) 20.50 (21) 20 17 22 20 31 20
18 West Virginia 6-1 0.3362 0.2372 0.2613 0.5100 670 (20) 405 (20) 13.25 (14) 16 10 11 14 14 14
19 Tennessee 3-2 0.3138 0.2811 0.3503 0.3100 794 (18) 543 (18) 18.25 (18) 18 21 26 16 15 18
20 Florida 5-2 0.2966 0.2694 0.2903 0.3300 761 (19) 450 (19) 17.75 (17) 17 26 20 15 17 17
21 TCU 6-1 0.1906 0.1391 0.1426 0.2900 393 (22) 221 (21) 18.75 (19) 15 14 17 25 24 19
22 Minnesota 5-2 0.1271 0.0733 0.0581 0.2500 207 (25) 90 (25) 19.75 (20) 21 26 19 18 18 21
23 Michigan St 4-2 0.0971 0.1688 0.1226 0.0000 477 (21) 190 (22) 31.67 (30) 26 31 38 36 28 -
24 Nebraska 5-1 0.0896 0.0832 0.0355 0.1500 235 (24) 55 (29) 23.75 (23) 19 36 16 32 21 23
25 California 5-2 0.0821 0.1335 0.1129 0.0000 377 (23) 175 (23) 45.00 (44) 32 26 46 57 65 -
26 Northwestern 4-2 0.0614 0.0209 0.0232 0.1400 59 (32) 36 (31) 22.50 (22) 26 23 21 23 22 22
27 Virginia 4-2 0.0466 0.0623 0.0774 0.0000 176 (26) 120 (24) 39.33 (36) 55 22 33 65 30 -
28 Michigan 4-3 0.0437 0.0460 0.0316 0.0533 130 (27) 49 (30) 28.33 (26) 37 9 23 42 25 -
29 Louisville 4-2 0.0409 0.0457 0.0503 0.0267 129 (28) 78 (26) 28.33 (26) 24 24 41 26 35 -
30 Arizona St 3-3 0.0338 0.0248 0.0232 0.0533 70 (30) 36 (31) 30.00 (29) 34 37 34 22 20 -
31 Colorado 4-2 0.0297 0.0198 0.0194 0.0500 56 (33) 30 (33) 24.75 (25) 22 26 27 19 26 25
32 Iowa 5-2 0.0263 0.0350 0.0439 0.0000 99 (29) 68 (27) 40.33 (38) 39 26 39 58 43 -
33 Fresno St 4-1 0.0217 0.0219 0.0432 0.0000 62 (31) 67 (28) 35.33 (34) 40 39 28 38 29 -
34 Georgia Tech 4-2 0.0103 0.0173 0.0135 0.0000 49 (34) 21 (34) 29.33 (28) 27 35 29 24 32 -
35 Oregon St 4-2 0.0064 0.0142 0.0052 0.0000 40 (35) 8 (37) 38.67 (35) 49 16 36 43 37 -
36 Maryland 4-2 0.0031 0.0035 0.0058 0.0000 10 (37) 9 (35) 33.00 (31) 33 30 30 44 36 -
37 UTEP 4-1 0.0024 0.0014 0.0058 0.0000 4 (38) 9 (35) 45.00 (44) 45 59 35 51 39 -
38 Texas A&M 4-2 0.0023 0.0042 0.0026 0.0000 12 (36) 4 (38) 44.67 (43) 46 49 44 35 44 -
39 Oklahoma 3-3 0.0005 0.0014 0.0000 0.0000 4 (38) - 33.00 (31) 38 43 31 30 27 -
40 Toledo 5-1 0.0005 0.0007 0.0006 0.0000 2 (40) 1 (39) 46.67 (48) 52 42 32 61 46 -
41 Southern Miss 3-2 0.0002 0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 2 (40) - 58.00 (56) 74 72 48 54 40 -
42 Clemson 3-3 0.0002 0.0000 0.0006 0.0000 - 1 (39) 42.00 (39) 43 51 43 40 33 -
42 Wyoming 4-3 0.0002 0.0000 0.0006 0.0000 - 1 (39) 49.33 (49) 41 53 49 46 54 -
44 Missouri 4-2 0.0001 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 1 (42) - 46.33 (47) 51 40 40 48 53 -
 
#2
#2
That's still with 4 computer polls out.

3 on last week's numbers and Wolfe's not yet published.

The actual numbers will be out around 2:00 today.

I think UNFAIRLY that UGA might sneak ahead of Va Tech for 3. But we will see.

As long as we stay ahead of Florida. We are ahead of them by one place in all three polls, and then if we are in the BCS, it will make being out of the top 15 worth it.
 
#3
#3
actually, this BCS is a projection of what the official might look like using "projected" rankings of not yet released polls.
 
#4
#4
The official release
Rated Teams
BCS Data Polls Computer Rankings
Rank School W-L BCS HARPct USAPct CRPct HAR USA Avg AH BIL COL MAS SAG WLF
( rank in () )
1 Southern California 6-0 0.9923 0.9933 0.9935 0.9900 2806 (1) 1540 (1) 1.25 (1) 1 1 2 2 1 1
2 Texas 6-0 0.9591 0.9646 0.9626 0.9500 2725 (2) 1492 (2) 2.25 (2) 2 3 4 1 2 2
3 Virginia Tech 6-0 0.9067 0.9189 0.9213 0.8800 2596 (3) 1428 (3) 4.00 (4) 3 4 6 5 4 3
4 Georgia 6-0 0.8933 0.8818 0.8781 0.9200 2491 (4) 1361 (4) 3.00 (3) 4 2 1 3 3 4
5 Alabama 6-0 0.8220 0.8064 0.8097 0.8500 2278 (5) 1255 (5) 4.75 (5) 5 14 3 4 5 5
6 LSU 4-1 0.7078 0.7189 0.7445 0.6600 2031 (7) 1154 (7) 9.50 (9) 10 7 12 7 9 13
7 Texas Tech 6-0 0.7034 0.6641 0.6961 0.7500 1876 (9) 1079 (8) 7.25 (7) 8 6 7 8 6 10
8 Miami-Florida 5-1 0.6928 0.7926 0.7858 0.5000 2239 (6) 1218 (6) 13.50 (13) 13 8 15 15 12 14
9 UCLA 6-0 0.6675 0.6931 0.6794 0.6300 1958 (8) 1053 (9) 10.25 (11) 6 10 10 12 13 9
10 Penn State 6-1 0.5860 0.5296 0.4684 0.7600 1496 (12) 726 (14) 7.00 (6) 7 9 5 6 8 7
11 Florida St 5-1 0.5682 0.6021 0.6026 0.5000 1701 (10) 934 (10) 13.50 (13) 14 15 14 14 11 12
12 Boston College 6-1 0.5113 0.5097 0.5542 0.4700 1440 (13) 859 (11) 14.25 (15) 11 17 13 13 16 15
13 Oregon 6-1 0.4772 0.3922 0.3794 0.6600 1108 (16) 588 (16) 9.50 (9) 12 27 9 10 7 6
14 Wisconsin 6-1 0.4648 0.3377 0.3568 0.7000 954 (17) 553 (17) 8.50 (8) 9 5 8 9 10 8
15 Ohio State 4-2 0.4259 0.4690 0.4787 0.3300 1325 (14) 742 (13) 17.75 (16) 18 12 18 16 19 20
16 Notre Dame 4-2 0.3985 0.5996 0.5458 0.0500 1694 (11) 846 (12) 24.75 (25) 25 26 25 26 23 22
17 West Virginia 6-1 0.3562 0.2372 0.2613 0.5700 670 (20) 405 (20) 11.75 (12) 15 11 11 11 14 11
18 Auburn 5-1 0.3210 0.4205 0.4226 0.1200 1188 (15) 655 (15) 24.25 (24) 22 16 22 22 31 32
19 Tennessee 3-2 0.2905 0.2811 0.3503 0.2400 794 (18) 543 (18) 20.00 (21) 23 19 26 17 15 21
20 Florida 5-2 0.2799 0.2694 0.2903 0.2800 761 (19) 450 (19) 19.00 (18) 19 29 20 18 17 19
21 TCU 6-1 0.1972 0.1391 0.1426 0.3100 393 (22) 221 (21) 18.25 (17) 16 13 17 28 24 16
22 Minnesota 5-2 0.1371 0.0733 0.0581 0.2800 207 (25) 90 (25) 19.00 (18) 20 25 19 19 18 17
23 Nebraska 5-1 0.1296 0.0832 0.0355 0.2700 235 (24) 55 (29) 19.25 (20) 17 30 16 21 21 18
24 Michigan St 4-2 0.0971 0.1688 0.1226 0.0000 477 (21) 190 (22) 32.25 (31) 31 33 38 36 28 29
25 California 5-2 0.0821 0.1335 0.1129 0.0000 377 (23) 175 (23) 51.50 (50) 44 32 46 63 65 53
26 Northwestern 4-2 0.0714 0.0209 0.0232 0.1700 59 (32) 36 (31) 21.75 (22) 21 23 21 20 22 24
27 Michigan 4-3 0.0525 0.0460 0.0316 0.0800 130 (27) 49 (30) 24.00 (23) 24 21 23 24 25 26
28 Virginia 4-2 0.0466 0.0623 0.0774 0.0000 176 (26) 120 (24) 31.75 (30) 33 36 33 31 30 30
29 Louisville 4-2 0.0320 0.0457 0.0503 0.0000 129 (28) 78 (26) 35.50 (34) 34 28 41 37 35 36
30 Colorado 4-2 0.0264 0.0198 0.0194 0.0400 56 (33) 30 (33) 25.00 (26) 26 22 27 25 26 23
31 Iowa 5-2 0.0263 0.0350 0.0439 0.0000 99 (29) 68 (27) 38.50 (38) 32 24 39 42 43 41
32 Arizona St 3-3 0.0260 0.0248 0.0232 0.0300 70 (30) 36 (31) 28.50 (27) 29 37 34 23 20 28
33 Fresno St 4-1 0.0217 0.0219 0.0432 0.0000 62 (31) 67 (28) 34.75 (33) 42 40 28 43 29 25
34 Georgia Tech 4-2 0.0103 0.0173 0.0135 0.0000 49 (34) 21 (34) 30.50 (29) 28 35 29 30 32 31
35 Oregon St 4-2 0.0064 0.0142 0.0052 0.0000 40 (35) 8 (37) 35.50 (34) 36 20 36 33 37 40
36 Maryland 4-2 0.0031 0.0035 0.0058 0.0000 10 (37) 9 (35) 32.25 (31) 27 34 30 29 36 37
37 UTEP 4-1 0.0024 0.0014 0.0058 0.0000 4 (38) 9 (35) 40.00 (39) 41 57 35 45 39 35
38 Texas A&M 4-2 0.0023 0.0042 0.0026 0.0000 12 (36) 4 (38) 43.25 (44) 40 45 44 40 44 46
39 Oklahoma 3-3 0.0005 0.0014 0.0000 0.0000 4 (38) - 28.75 (28) 30 43 31 27 27 27
40 Toledo 5-1 0.0005 0.0007 0.0006 0.0000 2 (40) 1 (39) 41.00 (42) 43 41 32 49 46 34
41 Southern Miss 3-2 0.0002 0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 2 (40) - 48.25 (46) 56 71 48 34 40 49
42 Clemson 3-3 0.0002 0.0000 0.0006 0.0000 - 1 (39) 38.25 (37) 35 51 43 32 33 42
42 Wyoming 4-3 0.0002 0.0000 0.0006 0.0000 - 1 (39) 53.50 (55) 51 60 49 57 54 52
44 Missouri 4-2 0.0001 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 1 (42) - 40.25 (40) 38 39 40 39 53 43
 
#5
#5
hehe I am loving Auburn being down there at 18... I need them to get waaaay further from the top... say outta there, perhaps? Pbllthhhtt! :fworks:
 
#6
#6
If an undefeated Big 12 team takes an undefeated SEC teams rightful spot, I will be pissed.
 
#7
#7
Originally posted by Lexvol@Oct 17, 2005 6:20 PM
If an undefeated Big 12 team takes an undefeated SEC teams rightful spot, I will be pissed.
[snapback]167427[/snapback]​

As a Bama fan, it pains me to say this but I don't think we have to worry about Bama being left out of the NC. I'm not sure if Bama can make it through UT, LSU, AU, and then UGA unbeaten. The depth is still an issue and those 4 games are extremely tough. UGA could be a different story though. They still have UF, AU, and GT but I think they will win all 3 of those games. UF isn't as good as we thought, they get AU at home, and GT isn't that good either. Then in the SECC they will play UA, LSU, or AU again. That's really the toughest game I see them having. UF has been a problem for UGA in the past but I think the dogs get it done. It would suck to see an SEC team get left out of the NC game again but if USC and Texas keep winning, it's gonna happen.
 
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