Phil Steele odds for each Tennessee game.

[Freak]

Thoughts?

 

[OrangeBeachVol]

I think its a good respectful report for Vols season. Only being 10 pt dogs to OK, AL, GA is good. Its the lowest odds we have had against AL,GA in a awhile and not being an underdog to UF is definitely an upside.

 

[2xVol]

10 pt dogs means we have about a 25% chance of winning each of those games which (if my probability math is correct) gives us a ~75% chance of winning one of those games. Plus a 50% chance of beating Florida. So we should absolutely beat one of the four if we live up to Phil's billing. Ok now I really need football this year

 

[KnoxRealtorVOL]

Needs to flip Oklahoma and Florida for starters.

Fun fact: JG hasn’t thrown a TD against Florida in his entire career. They will kill us this year again.

 

[swampfoxfan]

Needs to flip Oklahoma and Florida for starters.

Fun fact: JG hasn’t thrown a TD against Florida in his entire career. They will kill us this year again.

Thanks for the uplifting prediction

 

[RDU VOL#14]

Wow, does Mizzou really suck that bad?

 

[golfballs]

Based on the cumulative win probability of these lines it would imply a 8-4 record

 

[KnoxRealtorVOL]

Wow, does Mizzou really suck that bad?

New coach, Kelley Bryant gone, coming to Neyland.

 

[RDU VOL#14]

New coach, Kelley Bryant gone, coming to Neyland.

I’m not complaining. I was just shocked by the line. That’s a big time fall.

 

[walkenvol]

I won’t be surprised if they regret their coaching change

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

Thoughts?

Granted, we likely won't be playing this season, here is how I would have bet

Win but not cover: Charlotte, UK, Mizzou, Vandy
Win and cover: Troy, Arky
Pick Em: UF (L), USCe (W) - Both will be 1 possession games
Lose and not cover: Bama, OU, UGA. Think we lose all in the 13-17 range
Furman: W

 

[Volador]

Odds of an Orange & White Checkerboard End Zone w/players this year: Not Looking Good to Pessimistic

 

[VolBricks]

So best case 9-3 and worst case 7-5. I like Steele but what a bunch of tripe. He sure went out on a limb with this "prediction"

I could have posted this and I am not even a football "Guru" like these guys are supposed to be.

I'm just a Volnation Monday morning QB.

 

[volfanhill]

I'm just a Volnation Monday morning QB.

I hear that job pays well

 

[LAVol1]

Thoughts?

UGA @ -10, same as Bama? UGA with new OC, new QB, replacing 4 starting OL. I don't get it. Bama should be much tougher.

 

[ABINGDON VOL FAN]

Needs to flip Oklahoma and Florida for starters.

Fun fact: JG hasn’t thrown a TD against Florida in his entire career. They will kill us this year again.

No, it will be a competitive game if we play this year.

 

[Glocker_Alum_2005]

Only a 7 point favorite vs KY? Of course there isn't going to be home field advantage and then again look at our presumtive QB. Definitely our weakest link.

 

[memtownvol]

UGA @ -10, same as Bama? UGA with new OC, new QB, replacing 4 starting OL. I don't get it. Bama should be much tougher.

I'm sure it has something to do with having Bama at home. Other than that I would agree with you.

 

[Nationdom]

Needs to flip Oklahoma and Florida for starters.

Fun fact: JG hasn’t thrown a TD against Florida in his entire career. They will kill us this year again.

To be Honest UF doesnt have a chance this year at Neyland if the stadium is half capacity or more

 

[Volsfaninva917]

Needs to flip Oklahoma and Florida for starters.

Fun fact: JG hasn’t thrown a TD against Florida in his entire career. They will kill us this year again.

Lol, that's pretty sobering

 

[rdk4121]

I'm not sure I get the USCe hype? How much better do we think they could be from last year? We are playing there this year, but we beat them by 20 points last year. I don't see Williams Bryce Stadium being a 20 point swing.

 

[rdk4121]

Only a 7 point favorite vs KY? Of course there isn't going to be home field advantage and then again look at our presumtive QB. Definitely our weakest link.

Our presumptive QB has already beaten them twice and was about 5 yards from beating them 3 times. Plus they haven't won here in my lifetime.

 

[Vol8188]

10 pt dogs means we have about a 25% chance of winning each of those games which (if my probability math is correct) gives us a ~75% chance of winning one of those games. Plus a 50% chance of beating Florida. So we should absolutely beat one of the four if we live up to Phil's billing. Ok now I really need football this year

68.4% so you weren’t far off. 1-.75^4

 

[golfballs]

68.4% so you weren’t far off. 1-.75^4

This doesn’t make sense to me.

 

[Vol8188]

This doesn’t make sense to me.

.75 is the odds the event doesn’t occur (we lose). So you raise it to the 4th power to find the odds we lose four times. That gives you about .316. So if the odds of losing all 4 are 31.6%, the odds of winning at least 1 is 1-.316 or 68.4%.