Roustabout
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D1a teams not sanctioned can carry 85 scholarship players per season; under these penalties, Penn State can carry 65 scholarship players per season starting next season, over the next 4 years.
85-65=20
I see the point but that limit doesn't go into effect until next year. You will have a graduating class in that time.
Let's say they are at 85 now. They will graduate some, lose some to attrition and transfer. In fact, I'd say they will be at 70 or below before the season starts. With the sanctions, they will have a hard time finding 15 that want to come. Teams sign 25 now, and that usually barely keeps them at 85. So, the formula becomes singing up to 15 to keep the overall limit at no more than 65.
This will take more than a few years, because a 4 year bowl ban. Students are less likely to sign knowing they will play their entire career without a chance for any post season play.
USC barely even flinched at the sanctions. That is because it was a one year ban. The kids they were recruiting weren't deterred because it really didn't affect them. USC was already one of the most selective schools out there in terms of recruiting. They will still get just as many 4 and 5 star players.
What we can learn. The NCAA takes a high view of internal control. It looks like the entire school had a hand in this coverup. Either by doing nothing, or intentionally hiding things. Both of which deserve punishment. If you look at tOSU, and UT, the penalties were minimal because the schools were proactive in penalizing the responsible parties and in changing interal policies. PSU basically benefited from the reputation of JoPa for 15 years, while this mess was going on. USC also had harsher penalites because the responsible parties were not punished.