Official season prediction thread

[TheMookieMonster]

Losses to Georgia and Mizzou, but wins against Memphis and Washington? Color me intrigued. I can't see us beating Memphis and then losing to Mizzou lol.

 

[golfballs]

Pomeroy has TN 20th. He's been right before. Has us going 20-10. 11-7 in the SEC

KenPom - 20
TR - 35
BPI - 30
Yale - 15
T-Rank - 83
Sagarin - 22
SI - 37
CBS - 41

 

[golfballs]

Losses to Georgia and Mizzou, but wins against Memphis and Washington? Color me intrigued. I can't see us beating Memphis and then losing to Mizzou lol.

Road games. Also the statistical rankings are very low on Memphis.
Kenpom - 50
TR - 34
BPI - 134
Yale - 53
TRank - 39
Sagarin - 28

 

[golfballs]

Consensus forecasts are typically going to be more accurate than any individual one
A look back on last season’s preseason ratings | The kenpom.com blog

 

[golfballs]

Oh I see matchup zone got around to updating their rankings. I'll plug them into the model and rerun the #s..

They have Tennessee ranked 49th btw. (Had us ranked 3rd in his preseason rankings last year.)

The Matchup Zone | TAPE Ratings

 

[golfballs]

Their rankings are a bit wacky, but it didn't change Tennessee's record. Only change to SEC standings was bumping Auburn down to a T5th leaving just us tied with LSU for 4th.

 

[TheMookieMonster]

Road games. Also the statistical rankings are very low on Memphis.
Kenpom - 50
TR - 34
BPI - 134
Yale - 53
TRank - 39
Sagarin - 28

Oh I understand why they were marked as losses. It just doesn't make sense when you think about it logically rather than through the lens of a computer. Mizzou is predicted to be one of the worst in the conference this year. I also think Memphis's rankings are skewed because they will likely do something historic and start 5 freshmen, which makes it hard for numbers to quantify. Although I'd love it if those computers were right, because Memphis being garbage this year with that recruiting class would be *chef's kiss* AMAZING!

 

[golfballs]

Oh I understand why they were marked as losses. It just doesn't make sense when you think about it logically rather than through the lens of a computer. Mizzou is predicted to be one of the worst in the conference this year. I also think Memphis's rankings are skewed because they will likely do something historic and start 5 freshmen, which makes it hard for numbers to quantify. Although I'd love it if those computers were right, because Memphis being garbage this year with that recruiting class would be *chef's kiss* AMAZING!

If you were to just use the human rankings which have Memphis easily in the Top 20, it still has that game as a tossup for us and Missouri and Georgia as narrow losses.