Odds of winning the East in '12

#1

UGADawg4Life

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#1
CFN has the following as the pre-season rankings. What would your ranking be?

1) Georgia
2) Florida
3) South Carolina
4) Missouri
5) Tennessee
6) Vandy
7) Kentucky
 
#3
#3
CFN has the following as the pre-season rankings. What would your ranking be?

1) Georgia
2) Florida
3) South Carolina
4) Missouri
5) Tennessee
6) Vandy
7) Kentucky

It is amazing me the love Missouri is getting. They lost more starters than every team in the SEC except for two. UGA is the most talented in the east and should be the favorite, but UT, UGA, UF, and USCjr all have realistic shots.
 
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#4
#4
I might be a homer or I may not, but I think analysts are really undervaluing Tennessee's 2012 team based off of last year's performance. If the 2011 Vols wouldn't have had a cataclysm of injuries at the most important positions, they'd probably have won at least 7 games and most likely 8. They can only improve this coming season based upon who's returning and new recruits coming in, so I think it's only reasonable to add anywhere between 1 to 3 additional wins to the 7 they should have had last year. That would mean anywhere between 8 to 10 wins in 2012. Of course this all depends upon staying relatively healthy, unlike last year. But the thing of it is...we have a little more depth this year to afford a couple injuries here and there.
 
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#6
#6
1) Tennessee
2) South Carolina
3) Mizzou
4) Florida
5) Vandy
6) Kentucky
7) Georgia

My split personality post.
 
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#8
#8
Florida number 2, LOL!! They lost Rainy, Brantley and Demps. Even with them they went 6-6 reg season.

1) Georgia
2) South Carolina
3) The
4) Rest
5) Is
6) Wide
7) Open
 
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#9
#9
One thing to ask is 'how many wins will it take to win the division?'. I think 7-1 definitely wins it and 6-2 probably wins it. Two years ago SC won it at 5-3 but I don't think that wins it in 2012. For Tennessee to be considered a legitimate contender you have to ask how do the Vols get to 6 SEC wins?

*Have to beat VU, UK and UF
*Have to beat Mizzou and MSU one of which is a team we have never played while the other is a team we rarely play and it is on the road. One positive here is that we play Missouri in November at home--generally a plus for UT. One thing I think will be missed in this is that people will say "Mizzou will adjust to the rigors of the SEC poorly". It's impossible to know this and they might surprise a few people.
*Have to win one of SC, UGA and BAMA which are our toughest SEC contests and two of those are on the road. Of all the SEC schools I get the sense that Georgia and LSU hate Tennessee the most which makes Athens a difficult place to play for the Vols.

In my view best case is 5-3. Tennesse beats UK and VU. Tennessee goes 2-1 against UF, Mizzou and MSU and 1-2 against Bama, SC, UGA. Under this scenario, UT is at least an 8 win team and probably a 9 win team. To win 6 SEC games UT would have to be vastly improved in running the ball and special teams--two things that rarely turn around in just one season.

So, for UT to win the division I think it would have to be 5-3 in the SEC so we would need a lot of breaks for that to happen.
 
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#11
#11
UGA should win.......easy schedule.....not convinced yet dools can coach up the boys....hopeful though

Are we placing too much stock into Dooley's role as coach? I think he might have replaced his previous staff with an even better, more capable staff that has the potential to coach up these players at their respective positions much better than the previous administration Dooley had. This is all speculation at the moment, but I wouldn't at all be surprised if this is the case.
 
#12
#12
It is really not that unrealistic for UT to win the East. Bama and LSU will be the only teams that will really will be able to handle Bray, Hunter, Patterson, and Rogers. Having those guys give us a fair shot against UGA and USCjr. Arky is not a real talented team, but they have a lot of talented players in their pass offense so they just outscore people. There is no reason to believe that we can't if Patterson is as good as he is supposed to be.
 
#13
#13
We will have better coaches and more experienced players. Georgia has an easy schedule and are the favorites to win the division. I would be happy with 8 to 9 wins and a good bowl. Anything better would be a bonus.
 
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#14
#14
I might be a homer or I may not, but I think analysts are really undervaluing Tennessee's 2012 team based off of last year's performance. If the 2011 Vols wouldn't have had a cataclysm of injuries at the most important positions, they'd probably have won at least 7 games and most likely 8. They can only improve this coming season based upon who's returning and new recruits coming in, so I think it's only reasonable to add anywhere between 1 to 3 additional wins to the 7 they should have had last year. That would mean anywhere between 8 to 10 wins in 2012. Of course this all depends upon staying relatively healthy, unlike last year. But the thing of it is...we have a little more depth this year to afford a couple injuries here and there.
I think so also
maybe similar to 1988, we lost the first 7 I think, then came back in 89 and lost only one. similar situation almost all the starters were young and returned the next year.
 
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#15
#15
id put it like this:

1. UGA
2. UT/FL
3. FL/UT
4. USC east
5. MIssouri/Vandy
6. Vandy/Missouri
7. UK

FL should have a pretty nasty D along with UGA. UT should be able to score alot. Vandy will play tough. UK i dont see being very good. I really dont know what to think of USC, they did lose jeffrey and i dont see them replacing him. Missouri is a big mystery.
 
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#16
#16
I see:

1) Georgia
2) South Carolina
3) Florida
4) Tennessee
5) Missouri
6) Vandy
7) Kentucky

and three and four could swap either/or
 
#17
#17
1) Georgia
2) Tennessee
3) South Carolina
4) Florida
4) Missouri
6) Vandy
7) Kentucky
 
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#19
#19
If we finish below mizzu we will have a new coach IMO. With all this upgrade in coaching, which I'm on the fence, and supposedly a lot of returning talent no reason we should finsih below 3rd. Anything less u have really look at where we are headed as aprogram.

I honestly don't have a clue where we will finish a lot of questions from last year team and just not sure if they can improve to 8 wins.
 
#20
#20
Florida number 2, LOL!! They lost Rainy, Brantley and Demps. Even with them they went 6-6 reg season.

1) Georgia
2) South Carolina
3) The
4) Rest
5) Is
6) Wide
7) Open


I sort of agree. I think
1. USC
2. Georgia
3. Who knows?
4. Who knows?
5. Who knows?
6. Vandy
7. UK
 
#21
#21
The talk of South Carolina atop the SEC east is depressing. We need to get better and it starts this year dammit!
 
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#22
#22
I disagree with all this South Carolina love. They lost their best WR, and their best pass rusher, along with their backup QB. How much zone read will they be willing to run without Garcia on the bench? And how effective will Lattimore be when the safety that used to play over top of Jeffery is in the box instead?
 
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