'25 NC DL Isaiah Campbell (Tennessee)

Overall, it appears that On3 and 247 like this class a lot…the idiots at Rivals and ESPN aren’t as high on it, but who gives a s*** what they think…

On an aside, it’s sour grapes, but it would have been a truly elite class if we held on to Utu and Hayward….oh well
Utu is elite. He liked Oregon. That makes a bit more sense.

Hegonza made no cents. It certainly does seem, although I have no data to support -beside observation- a claim that, we seem to struggle to hold on to elite, blue chip recruits.

Perhaps it is NIL, perhaps it is lack of bona fide recruiters. Perhaps it is National prestige. Perhaps it is the NCAA deal. Maybe its all or a combo of those things.

Personally I think its that we dont key in on enough guys at any one position. I understand you may not have evaluated a high calibre kid in 8th grade and gotten to know Mamaw. But there are those instances where a ***** safety, WR, or HB is just good. And a transactional type recruitment is, ok.
 
Is this Blue Chip Ratio calculated using the HS recruits signed over the past 5 years?
and.. have the HS recruits that left a team been removed from the calculation?
and.. have the portal recruits signed been added using their HS ratings to the calculation?

We have seen that how bad it would be to use a portal player's HS rating to project their worth to a new team. Many teams depend a lot more on portal players vs HS players now to finish their teams.

BCR for a team is much less important now than it was before the Portal and NIL.
 
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Is this Blue Chip Ratio calculated using the HS recruits signed over the past 5 years?
and.. have the HS recruits that left a team been removed from the calculation?
and.. have the portal recruits signed been added using their HS ratings to the calculation?

We have seen that how bad it would be to use a portal player's HS rating to project their worth to a new team. Many teams depend a lot more on portal players vs HS players now to finish their teams.

BCR for a team is much less important now than it was before the Portal and NIL.

BCR with added transfers for 2024 below using their portal ranking, not HS ranking. Not sure if they subtract the talent that left.

SCHOOLBCR WITH TRANSFERS
Ohio State86%
Alabama82%
Georgia77%
Oregon71%
Texas70%
LSU66%
Clemson64%
Oklahoma63%
Notre Dame63%
Texas A&M63%
Florida58%
Penn State57%
Miami56%
USC54%
Michigan54%
Florida State53%
 
BCR with added transfers for 2024 below using their portal ranking, not HS ranking. Not sure if they subtract the talent that left.

SCHOOLBCR WITH TRANSFERS
Ohio State86%
Alabama82%
Georgia77%
Oregon71%
Texas70%
LSU66%
Clemson64%
Oklahoma63%
Notre Dame63%
Texas A&M63%
Florida58%
Penn State57%
Miami56%
USC54%
Michigan54%
Florida State53%
So by this metric, we’ve overachieved significantly the past few years. Which tells me that if our recruiting continues to trend up, we should be in good shape. It’s going to take longer than some of us might like to be a true contender, but Heupel is slowly building this thing — a trajectory more similar to Harbaugh than Saban or Meyer.
 
So by this metric, we’ve overachieved significantly the past few years. Which tells me that if our recruiting continues to trend up, we should be in good shape. It’s going to take longer than some of us might like to be a true contender, but Heupel is slowly building this thing — a trajectory more similar to Harbaugh than Saban or Meyer.
This, and the blue-chip ratio is getting better with every single class.

Blue Chip Ratio

2021: 31%
2022: 43%
2023: 46%
2024: 57%
2025: 62%
 
So by this metric, we’ve overachieved significantly the past few years. Which tells me that if our recruiting continues to trend up, we should be in good shape. It’s going to take longer than some of us might like to be a true contender, but Heupel is slowly building this thing — a trajectory more similar to Harbaugh than Saban or Meyer.
everyone just gets lost wanting instant gratification. They see the end result from whatever school they think we should be like, and just ignore the work.

Day has coached in a weak conference, and was handed a great team, and it still took him 6 years to win a national title.
Smart was given the second or third best team in the SEC, with amazing support and recruiting, and it still took him 6 years to win a national title.
not counting his interim year, it also took Swinney 6 years to win a title in the trash ACC.

But Heupel, who started out in a much worse spot than any of those guys, is expected to be at or above those guys levels, in less time.
 
This, and the blue-chip ratio is getting better with every single class.

Blue Chip Ratio

2021: 31%
2022: 43%
2023: 46%
2024: 57%
2025: 62%
for clarification, those are the BCR of the classes we are bringing in each year, not actually the ratio for the whole team at those times.
 
This, and the blue-chip ratio is getting better with every single class.

Blue Chip Ratio

2021: 31%
2022: 43%
2023: 46%
2024: 57%
2025: 62%
Now that is the trend you want to see.

Consistently bring in classes in the 70% range and we will have the roster to compete with anyone - on any field.
 
The ones who say that don’t know what they are talking about.
They were just trying to make themselves feel better.

Just like the ones who keep using the “we keep getting outbid” reason for us losing out on top recruits.

There’s always gonna be people like that, doesn’t come from a bad place, if anything they’re just tryna defend the program in their own way.
 
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Now that is the trend you want to see.

Consistently bring in classes in the 70% range and we will have the roster to compete with anyone - on any field.
Especially as NIL seems to have leveled the playing field a little bit at the top of the highschool class rankings. Our BCC rising while the money's getting spread around is a good sign, even if it's still subtle.
 
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