It's just a couple of days until Thursday's Draft. One would think that the first round would be taking greater shape so close to decision day. One would be wrong.
In fact, the closer we get to Draft Day, the more confusing some things seem to be getting. Outside of the No. 1 overall pick, just about everything else is up in the air.
Nevertheless, a serious attempt was made to start nailing down all 30 picks in the first round. Here's the latest effort, with updates to come in the coming days and a final projection set for late Wednesday night.
1. Tampa Bay Devil Rays: David Price, LHP, Vanderbilt University
Still the same. They won't officially say it before draft day, but it's hard to imagine them going in a different direction.
Last projection: Price
2. Kansas City Royals: Rick Porcello, RHP, Seton Hall Prep (N.J.)
This has been the guy, and continues to be the guy the Royals want. The only thing that could change this at the last minute is a financial issue, but, as of right now, there's no reason to assume that there will be one, even if Porcello is a Scott Boras advisee. If they do have to go in another direction, they could go with California high school third baseman Josh Vitters.
Last projection: Porcello
3. Chicago Cubs: Josh Vitters, 3B, Cypress HS (Calif.)
While the Cubs may like Jarrod Parker's arm, everything points to them going with a bat. That bat is Vitters, still considered by many to be the top high school hitter in the country. The Cubs have been on him all along and he's done nothing to have them look elsewhere.
Last projection: Vitters
4. Pittsurgh Pirates: Ross Detwiler, LHP, Missouri State
There are a few different directions the Pirates could go in should Vitters not be there for them at No. 4. They could go college bat, and that would mean Matt Wieters. They could stay in their own backyard for another high school position player, catcher Devin Mesoraco, who worked out at PNC Park recently. Or they could go with who they decide is the best college arm. That likely would mean either Daniel Moskos or Detwiler and the guess is here they'll decide on the latter.
Last projection: Matt Wieters
5. Baltimore Orioles: Phillipe Aumont, RHP, Ecole Du Versant Gatineau, Quebec
With Detwiler off the board in this scenario, he's no longer a possibility for the Orioles. Rumors continue that they might make a big splash and if Georgia Tech catcher Matt Wieters did fall to here, they wouldn't pass him up. If they don't want to go down that road (Wieters is a Boras advisee), then they could go north of the border and take Aumont, the big, projectable right-hander who's been very impressive all spring in a number of settings.
Last projection: Ross Detwiler
6. Washington Nationals: Daniel Moskos, LHP, Clemson University
With Max Scherzer
out of the picture, it gets a little more interesting for this pick. There is interest in California high school infielder Mike Moustakas if they wanted to go with a bat here. But it seems more likely now they'll go with a pitcher. If the Royals decide they can't take Porcello, the Nats might be the beneficiary of getting the perceived top prep arm in the class. They'd also probably take Detwiler should he still be available. In this scenario, he's not, so they'll take the next best college arm in Moskos.
Last projection: Max Scherzer
7. Milwaukee Brewers: Jarrod Parker, RHP, Norwell HS (Ind.)
The Brewers are looking at a host of players. They've liked Moustakas' bat all along, but there was always the question whether they would be able to afford his price tag (he's a Boras advisee). They'd consider a college arm like Detwiler or Moskos, but both are gone in this scenario. So is Philippe Aumont on the prep side. Nick Schmidt could enter into the conversation and, like with a lot of teams, Devin Mesoraco is a possible backup plan. Instead, they'll take the next best high school arm on the board, a guy they've liked from the beginning in Parker.
Last projection: Mike Moustakas
8. Colorado Rockies: Nick Schmidt, LHP, University of Arkansas
It's sounding more likely the Rockies will go with a college arm with this pick, and while Detwiler or Moskos are both on their list, they're both gone in this scenario. No one has helped themselves more lately than Schmidt, the consummate lefty who tossed a shutout in conference tournament play and was stellar again in Regional action.
Last projection: Daniel Moskos
9. Arizona Diamondbacks: Mike Moustakas, 3B, Chatsworth HS (Calif.)
With the Diamondbacks signing Scherzer, things could go in either direction. They could decide they didn't want to spend top dollar for a player after shelling out a lot of dough on their first round pick from last year. Or they could decide they've been through it once, why not try it again. They do like Moustakas' bat, so if they decide they won't let Boras get in the way, that's the direction they'll head in.
Last projection: Phillipe Aumont
10. San Francisco Giants: Matt Wieters, C, Georgia Tech
Wieters is becoming the most difficult player to place in this first-round projection because of signability and some performance-related issues. Still, he's got an excellent track record and is a switch-hitting catcher with pop. If he starts to slide, a number of teams will have to pause and seriously considering taking him. The Giants could very well be that team. There's been a lot of noise that they'd take Beau Mills, but some of that might just be because they've had success in drafting players from Lewis-Clark State. They have some interest in Casey Weathers, so if they went in that direction, Wieters could continue to slide.
Last projection: Nick Schmidt
11. Seattle Mariners: Casey Weathers, RHP, Vanderbilt
It's been generally believed, almost from the get-go, that the Mariners would be looking for an arm at No. 11. A lot of scouts like the arm of Vanderbilt closer Casey Weathers. A senior, he'd certainly be an easy sign. Too high in the draft for a reliever to go? Perhaps, but with the M's playing decent ball, the idea of drafting someone who could help the big club out in a hurry might be enticing. Weathers is the best of the college closer lot right now and could join Brandon Morrow in Seattle's bullpen very quickly.
Last projection: Weathers
12. Florida Marlins: Julio Borbon, CF, University of Tennessee
The Marlins are truly a "best player available" kind of team, so they could go in any of a number of directions. They'd have an interest in Schmidt or Parker should one of them be there. Ditto for Casey Weathers. If they still wanted a high school arm, Josh Smoker is a possibility. They'd never draft for need, and drafting Borbon would make sense because they need a center fielder. If they take him, it would be because they felt he was a fit for this spot in the first round.
Last projection: Jarrod Parker
13. Cleveland Indians: Blake Beavan, RHP, Irving HS (Texas)
Staying the same with this projection as the Indians have been on the Texas prep standout for some time. Think Adam Miller, redux.
Last projection: Beavan
14. Atlanta Braves: Jason Heyward, Henry County HS (Ga.)
Atlanta does like to draft local kids, and they like the high school players, so it could come down to Heyward or Smoker, depending on what direction they wanted to go in. Florida's Michael Main or Matt Harvey from Connecticut is also a possibility here as they could be looking power arm, but in the end, the toolsy Georgia outfielder might be too much for them to pass up.
Last projection: Heyward
15. Cincinnati Reds: Kevin Ahrens, 3B, Memorial HS (Texas)
This one falls under the category of hearing a player's name so much with one team that it's both hard to ignore and hard to not wonder if it's true. There was some talk the Reds would also be interested in Aumont should he slide here, but all of the buzz is that they've been on Houston-area infielder Ahrens all along. He plays shortstop in high school and isn't bad there, but the consensus is that he should move to third where he should profile better both offensively and defensively.
Last projection: Ahrens