Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

The news outlets keep telling us that Italy has more Dr.'s and hospital beds per capita than the U.S., and as you pointed out, socialized medicine. Isn't helping them very much.
At some point, you have just have to do basic math and work out the cost/benefits of any system. It is only very rare and extraordinary circumstances when any government organization comes anywhere close to the efficiency and economic effectiveness of a private organization doing the same thing. The consumer is the driver in that equation. The consumer always demands and responds to better value.... better quality, service, and cost. Socialism completely detaches the consumer from the market. The incentive to do it better, faster, and cheaper simply isn't there. Then... all those things become matters of government attempts to force results which only makes things worse.

We want socialized medicine like Venezuela wants socialized food distribution.
 
Nope. Unless this is all really a ploy and power grab by the government (in which case I will 100% eat crow) then we've no reason to doubt the CDC. Their track record isn't as horrendous as other Gov orgs.

It isnt a ploy. It is the highest levels of covering your ass. No one is going to underbid here.
 
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My tracking of actual daily new COVID-19 cases in U.S.

3/1 = 7
3/5 = 63
3/10 = 290
3/15 = 737
3/16 = 983 vs. 1030 predicted
3/17 = 1748 vs. 1430 predicted (This is very likely a new testing bubble)

Though the transmission rate is definitely dropping, new testing coming online complicates the data. The actual transmission rate is probably much lower than it appears to be now.

My prediction ranges for new confirmed cases for the next 5 days are below. If we start to dip below these it will be good news.

Predicted Ranges

3/18 1385 - 1695
3/19 1950 - 2385
3/20 2720 - 3325
3/21 3750 - 4580
3/22 5110 - 6245

What I'll be looking for is a more significant turn in the apparent transmission rate somewhere next week after new testing is smoothed out in the data. It will be hard to push the rate below 1, but that is what has to happen to start to degrade the virus.

At the current rate of decrease the virus would peak in late April, but if the rate is lower than it appears (I think it is) then we are starting to degrade the number of cases by mid-April.

Stay safe out there.
 
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The constant cash handouts will only work for so long. There will be a point of no return with this economy, and this will plunge the world into a depression.

All because of a virus that primarily affects 70+.
 
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UPS fella was up here yesterday... relatively new young gun, who apparently picks up the slack when things get busy. He didn't waste a second on chit chat, which I appreciate.

Probably just a new driver. Can’t use Temp Drivers till after June 1st. It’s usually slows down after Christmas and UPS doesn’t run as many routes at Centers or Hubs. So you have extra drivers because Vacations haven’t kicked in. Got to have so many drivers to cover routes for vacations and call in.
 
A billion dollar industry shutting down over 3 sick people tends to catch the attention of people.

It's actually an industry where it makes complete sense. They literally can't work without traveling all the time and touching, sweating, and breathing on each other. The whole league would have covid-19 in a matter of 2 weeks. They've got 7 guys now that tested hot.
 
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Mitigation is the winning strategy versus suppression. All of the independent stores, bars and restaurants (major national/international players are a different story altogether) that have elected to shutter their doors without a panicked mayor/governor forcing their hand seem to be “well-intentioned” but are just helping to fan the flames and displaying a laughable lack of even mediocre business acumen.

We were open until yesterday. We saw a sharp decline in business at all 3 of our locations to where operational costs were consistently outweighing net profits. It was only trending worse.

We are consistently among the busiest spots per square foot in both towns. That should say something.
 
Yep, that’s why there are all those empty emergency rooms. Fear of cost.

Oh wait....
Costs are a huge problem... magnified by 200-500% in any given case by government involvement. Doctors could cut their prices by about half for routine service if it weren't for compliance costs. For more specialized care, the savings are often much more.

That's another thing that many do not consider. Government involvement has taken away the incentive of health care providers to price according to market value. They charge more because only a paper pusher somewhere ever sees the real charge. If the "shopper" sees it... then they either get a better price or find another provider.

Per Reagan, government is not the solution. It is the problem.
 
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Probably just a new driver. Can’t use Temp Drivers till after June 1st. It’s usually slows down after Christmas and UPS doesn’t run as many routes at Centers or Hubs. So you have extra drivers because Vacations haven’t kicked in. Got to have so many drivers to cover routes for vacations and call in.

Yeah, you might know. I'd seen him once before around the holidays, but definitely not the regular.
 
My girlfriend is a NP and her practice is the dedicated testing center for a county here in TN. Had to tell my daughter she will be staying at her moms for a couple weeks to play it safe. They say it's a matter of time before they are exposed to it due to testing and don't want to risk her getting it at home. They had a boy showing all the symptoms yesterday and think he may have it... waiting on the results. She wants me to leave and stay at my parents as well but can't leave her hanging alone at home.
 

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