Kentucky is a 3.5 pt favorite

#51
#51
Tennessee will show up, that's for sure I think. The issue is whether they can compete against a good opponent on the road.
 
#53
#53
The way I see it if we can repeat the three game stretch of South Carolina -> Arkansas->Vandy I'll be fine. I'll take a squeaker of a game to Kentucky if it means we carry a trend into the championship game where we crush LSU...and then squeak the BCS bowl win.
 
#54
#54
Tennessee will show up, that's for sure I think. The issue is whether they can compete against a good opponent on the road.

I agree 100%, Law. Miss State was a solid road win, but while the two teams have similar records, there is no doubt Kentucky is more explosive.

I'm afraid we will give up 40+, and I'm not as confident in our offense as I once was.
 
#55
#55
I'm not worried about this game at all. UK's defense is terrible---UT should be able to run it down their throats all day and hit a few deep balls.


Can't run it down anyones throat if Cut calls a ton of passing plays!!!:crazy:
 
#56
#56
It'll be important for the Vols to avoid a deficit of more than 7 points...It's much easier to mount a comeback at home with the noise of 105k at Neyland Stadium...it's a lot more difficult trying to do that on the road.


What was the actual count Saturday against Vandy??? It looked like we had some empty seats in the upper deck...
 
#58
#58
point spread doesnt mean much especially this year.
stanford was around a 30 or 40 point underdog to USC earlier this year. look what happend there.
 
#59
#59
Tennessee will show up, that's for sure I think. The issue is whether they can compete against a good opponent on the road.

"That's for sure I think"? Want some syrup with that waffling?

Good opponent? On this we'll see. Not sure what team will show on both sides of the ball. If the Vols team which played UGA and Arky show up, watch out. If not, will be a close game.
 
#60
#60
"The Stat Sheet"

Scoring Offense
4. Kentucky 35.5 ppg
5. Tennessee 33.5 ppg

Scoring Defense
10. Tennessee 26.7 ppg
11. Kentucky 27.7 ppg

Pass Offense
1. Kentucky 268.6 ypg
4. Tennessee 242.2 ypg

Pass Defense
3. Kentucky 182.4 ypg
11. Tennessee 227.6 ypg

Rushing Offense
6. Kentucky 158.5 ypg
9. Tennessee 151.2 ypg

Rushing Defense
9. Tennessee 160.6 ypg
10. Kentucky 196.1 ypg

Total Offense
4. Kentucky 427.2 ypg
5. Tennessee 393.4 ypg

Total Defense
10. Kentucky 378.5 ypg
11. Tennessee 388.3 ypg

Pass Efficiency
2. Kentucky 141.6 rating
5. Tennessee 133.6 rating

Pass Def Efficiency
5. Kentucky 114.1 rating
10. Tennessee 123.8 rating

Red Zone Offense
1. Tennessee 93.9%
8. Kentucky 84.0%

Red Zone Defense
6. Kentucky 81.0%
10. Tennessee 88.6%
 
#61
#61
"The Stat Sheet"

Scoring Offense
4. Kentucky 35.5 ppg
5. Tennessee 33.5 ppg

Scoring Defense
10. Tennessee 26.7 ppg
11. Kentucky 27.7 ppg

Pass Offense
1. Kentucky 268.6 ypg
4. Tennessee 242.2 ypg

Pass Defense
3. Kentucky 182.4 ypg
11. Tennessee 227.6 ypg

Rushing Offense
6. Kentucky 158.5 ypg
9. Tennessee 151.2 ypg

Rushing Defense
9. Tennessee 160.6 ypg
10. Kentucky 196.1 ypg

Total Offense
4. Kentucky 427.2 ypg
5. Tennessee 393.4 ypg

Total Defense
10. Kentucky 378.5 ypg
11. Tennessee 388.3 ypg

Pass Efficiency
2. Kentucky 141.6 rating
5. Tennessee 133.6 rating

Pass Def Efficiency
5. Kentucky 114.1 rating
10. Tennessee 123.8 rating

Red Zone Offense
1. Tennessee 93.9%
8. Kentucky 84.0%

Red Zone Defense
6. Kentucky 81.0%
10. Tennessee 88.6%


Looks like a toss up to me.
 
#62
#62
Looks like a toss up to me.

That was my point in posting it, because some people think the Cats will blow out the Vols based upon the stats. However, the Cats have just as bad or worse defense than the Vols. At least the Vols have shown improvement on defense over the course of the season.
 
#63
#63
Stats would seem to indicate that we should be able to run the ball effectively.... and I think that will be the key to the game.
 
#64
#64
Stats would seem to indicate that we should be able to run the ball effectively.... and I think that will be the key to the game.

The Cats have given up an average of 211 ypg rushing in their last 5 games (high of 261 and low of 171). Their record during that time is 2-3.
 
#68
#68
allvol, could you post UT's and UK's following stats (I think it's a better comparison):

Yards per rush
Yards per pass attempt

Yards allowed per rush
Yards allowed per pass attempt

Kentucky has the "3rd best pass D" in the conference, but only because everybody runs the ball at will on them.
 
#69
#69
allvol, could you post UT's and UK's following stats (I think it's a better comparison):

Yards per rush
Yards per pass attempt

Yards allowed per rush
Yards allowed per pass attempt

Kentucky has the "3rd best pass D" in the conference, but only because everybody runs the ball at will on them.

Here you go:

Yards per rush:
Kentucky - 4.35
Tennessee - 4.53

Yards per pass attempt:
Kentucky - 7.10
Tennessee - 6.56

Yards allowed per rush:
Kentucky - 4.56
Tennessee - 4.32

Yards allowed per pass attempt:
Kentucky - 5.97
Tennessee - 6.75
 
#70
#70
Here you go:

Yards per rush:
Kentucky - 4.35
Tennessee - 4.53

Yards per pass attempt:
Kentucky - 7.10
Tennessee - 6.56

Yards allowed per rush:
Kentucky - 4.56
Tennessee - 4.32

Yards allowed per pass attempt:
Kentucky - 5.97
Tennessee - 6.75

Thank you very much, sir. Still quite even.
 
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