Info ( and predictions ) A Vol Fan May Want To Know

[sami]

True, because they didn’t want to be left out in the event of a SECCG loss… but now with all the chaos, they’ll probably still get in regardless (just in a different seed).

I'll bet they beat Texas or A&M and get the auto bid.

 

[JMSqb11]

Why do I see that a three loss Alabama team is even mentioned in the Playoff possibilities?
I feel that the committee would try to put them in with 5 losses.

Because of Big12 chaos and 8 teams in that conference still being alive for the conference title game

 

[Golfprovol]

Doesn’t matter. No 1 SOS. They would be on the road but not out of it.

Their SOS took a major hit yesterday.

 

[Golfprovol]

Very simple - Bama brings eyeballs and ratings. If they can find a way to squeeze them in, you can bank on it happening.

The really funny thing would be if they got the 12-seed, because it's been assumed that the 5-seed is the catbird spot due to playing a patsy first then getting the 4-seed. Imagine if Ohio State or Penn State is #5 and has to deal with Bama.

Not happening this year, the shine has been removed from Bama

 

[sami]

Since we move to a larger playoff format, do conference championships lose a lot of its meaning?

To me, conference championships became irrelevant with all the consolidation. I mean, it's a good possibility that a Big 12 team will win the SEC and Pac 12 teams will win the Big 10 and the Big 12. I want to hold on to rivalries like Bama, Florida, and Georgia, but the conference itself doesn't mean what it used to mean.

And the ever expanding playoffs along with more consolidation and "super conferences" will kill it off completely. It's all about the playoff, as bowl games are more of a joke than they became with the 4-team CFP and will continue to have a ton of opt-outs.

 

[onevol74]

Georgia fans wanted nothing to do with the SECCG.

What are they afraid of?

 

[sami]

Not happening this year, the shine has been removed from Bama

The "shine" may have been removed somewhat, but they still draw ratings and will continue to unless they sink back to a 3-4 loss kind of program. The Saban years turned them into a Notre Dame of sorts, where as many people tune in to watch them lose as win.

 

[Vfl2407]

If we play 60 minutes of solid football, Vols By Fiddy!!!

But I understand you're concern. I believe we'll be prepared and win comfortably in a hard fought battle.

Other than SCarolina, Vandy has won or played everyone closely. We won’t blow them out unless Pavia gets hurt early on.

 

[Golfprovol]

This is why we want Texas to beat A&M. No guarantee Texas drops 4 spots with a loss, UGA losing in the SEC CG, would probably knock them out, but I would not wanna take that chance. So take this prediction and add A&M, what SEC team does that knock??? US

 

[Sudden Impact]

Georgia fans wanted nothing to do with the SECCG.

Georgia is a lock for the SECCG of which they will win. moot point.

 

[UT97Vol]

Their SOS took a major hit yesterday.

It’s still number one, according to ESPN and their strength of record is number two. So I don’t really think it took that big of a hit.

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

Why do I see that a three loss Alabama team is even mentioned in the Playoff possibilities?
I feel that the committee would try to put them in with 5 losses.

Nobody is trying to put Bama in now.

 

[Sudden Impact]

Other than SCarolina, Vandy has won or played everyone closely. We won’t blow them out unless Pavia gets hurt early on.

Because our defense is terrible? blow out possibly. Over spread is -12.5, yes.
Too much on the line

 

[ftsandersvol]

What are they afraid of?

A 3rd loss.

 

[ftsandersvol]

Georgia is a lock for the SECCG of which they will win. moot point.

I’m just reporting the word on the street.

 

[Sudden Impact]

I’m just reporting the word on the street.

The word on the street is different at every corner. Depends on which neighborhood you are in at the moment

 

[deatojl]

Why do I see that a three loss Alabama team is even mentioned in the Playoff possibilities?
I feel that the committee would try to put them in with 5 losses.

"Those were the five best losses in the country", "ESPN FPI still has them ranked at #4"

 

[deatojl]

View attachment 700340
This is why we want Texas to beat A&M. No guarantee Texas drops 4 spots with a loss, UGA losing in the SEC CG, would probably knock them out, but I would not wanna take that chance. So take this prediction and add A&M, what SEC team does that knock??? US

If what you fear were to come to reality, which is highly unlikely, it wouldn't be an SEC team getting knocked out. It would be the ACC Championship game loser who would be out at the expense of four SEC teams getting in.

 

[17Vols]

Clemson plays South Carolina, so both can't win.

Too bad they both can’t lose though

 

[Golfprovol]

If what you fear were to come to reality, which is highly unlikely, it wouldn't be an SEC team getting knocked out. It would be the ACC Championship game loser who would be out at the expense of four SEC teams getting in.

Not if they only have 2 L's and the SEC team has 3. Current projection only has 3 SEC teams in

 

[ArmchairQB]

Too bad they both can’t lose though

At least when either of them lose, we all win.

 

[VFL-82-JP]

Let Texas handle UGA, likely knocking them out. Too many 1 & 2 loss teams for a 3 loss SEC CG runner up to get in

This is not as unlikely as you think. Because there aren't THAT many teams above a 3-loss SEC championship contender.

0-loss: just 1 left, Oregon
1-loss: still 9, but 2 of them are G5 and at least one or two of the remaining 7 will lose in the next two weeks. Call it about 5.
2-loss: not even going to count the G5s here, 3-loss UGa would be above all of them. Only 6 left, and one of those is UGa themselves. Another will lose in the B12 CG if not before (all the top tier of that conference now have 2 losses).

So say Oregon, plus about 5 1-losses, plus 4 2-losses, plus a couple of 1-losses who became 2-losses. That totals 12. And that includes all the conference champs.

At worst, that leave UGa just outside. One other thing happens to any of those 12 teams this weekend, and a 3-loss UGa squeezes in.

Not a given, for sure, but not all that unlikely, either.

Go Vols!

 

[ftsandersvol]

The word on the street is different at every corner. Depends on which neighborhood you are in at the moment

I’m surrounded by Dawg fans, so there’s that.

 

[Dpd423]

Why do I see that a three loss Alabama team is even mentioned in the Playoff possibilities?
I feel that the committee would try to put them in with 5 losses.

You are 100% correct.

 

[Adam Sandler]

Best case scenario for us is probably A&M beating Texas and then losing to Georgia in the SECCG. Would likely put as the 8 seed ahead of the Longhorns and hosting a playoff game.

Every other scenario probably has on the road, save possibly UGA losing to Texas in the CCG.

1. Texas loses to A&M; Georgia beats A&M. Result: Tennessee probably hosting.

2. Texas beats A&M; Texas loses to UGA. Result: Tennessee ranked behind 2-loss Texas (both to Georgia, 1 in SECCG), probably on road 1st round.

3. Texas beats A&M; Texas beats UGA; Tennessee possibly ranked behind Georgia (will committee punish 3rd loss in CCG?), probably on road 1st round, but outside chance we’re ranked ahead of UGA.

4. A&M beats Texas; A&M beats Georgia. While we would likely be ahead of Texas in this scenario, A&M claiming the automatic spot would shift everyone down, so we’d likely be on the road 1st round. Worst case scenario.

Conclusion: Beat Vandy, cheer for Aggie, and then cheer for Georgia to beat A&M to possibly host 1st round game in Neyland.

Ga tech. Texas. Texas. Uga out of playoffs, host a playoff game.