FiveThirtyEight: UT Final Four odds at 39%

#1

DiderotsGhost

Well-Known Member
Joined
Nov 28, 2011
Messages
4,302
Likes
21,386
#1
It's just a statistical model and given the way this team played in February, I'm still scared we're going to have an awful game that sends us out of the tournament. But FiveThirtyEight now has us the 'most favored' team to make the Final 4 out of our region. Albeit, this is a bit of a fluke in that most of the other teams in our bracket haven't played their Round-of-32 games and Purdue's loss means we'll have a weaker opponent than the teams on the other side of the bracket. Still kinda funny how we went from popular 1st round upset pick to Final Four favorite in 3 days.

Final Four Odds:

Tennessee 39%
Marquette 20%
Kentucky 17%
FAU 8%
Kansas State 7%
Fairleigh Dickinson <1%


So impressed with how our guys played against Duke. I admit, quite weirdly, I was always more afraid of Louisiana than Duke.

In any case, won't be easy. Even that FAU / FD winner will play us hard, but the other side of the bracket is legit with Marquette, Mich State, and Kentucky. 3 coaches that have a history of advancing in the tournament.
 
#3
Joined
Jul 23, 2015
Messages
18,319
Likes
65,388
#3
We definitely have a favorable path in front of us. But, it’s March, and anything can happen. If the Tennessee team that played yesterday shows up for 2 straight games next weekend, we’ll make history. If the team that played against ULL and Mizzou shows up, we’ll get bounced by FAU.
 
#6

mscc1998

Well-Known Member
Joined
Feb 29, 2008
Messages
446
Likes
143
#6
We have a habit of playing up or down to our competition. We have never beat Kansas, Alabama,(#1), or a #1 team and Duke in the same year while getting swept by Kentucky, losing to Missouri, Auburn, Texas A&M who have all been eliminated. Learn from the Duke game, watch tonight's game and we should go to the elite eight. Hopefully further.
 
Likes: FlVols
#8

vegasvolfan

Well-Known Member
Joined
Sep 28, 2010
Messages
3,768
Likes
2,932
#8
It's just a statistical model and given the way this team played in February, I'm still scared we're going to have an awful game that sends us out of the tournament. But FiveThirtyEight now has us the 'most favored' team to make the Final 4 out of our region. Albeit, this is a bit of a fluke in that most of the other teams in our bracket haven't played their Round-of-32 games and Purdue's loss means we'll have a weaker opponent than the teams on the other side of the bracket. Still kinda funny how we went from popular 1st round upset pick to Final Four favorite in 3 days.

Final Four Odds:

Tennessee 39%
Marquette 20%
Kentucky 17%
FAU 8%
Kansas State 7%
Fairleigh Dickinson <1%


So impressed with how our guys played against Duke. I admit, quite weirdly, I was always more afraid of Louisiana than Duke.

In any case, won't be easy. Even that FAU / FD winner will play us hard, but the other side of the bracket is legit with Marquette, Mich State, and Kentucky. 3 coaches that have a history of advancing in the tournament.

Funny I can think about next season but hard to think beyond our next game.
 
#14

DiderotsGhost

Well-Known Member
Joined
Nov 28, 2011
Messages
4,302
Likes
21,386
#14
Definitely a winnable region. VOLS seem to show up against the best teams, while struggling against above average to good teams. It is what gave me some confidence against such a hot Duke team... Also makes me nervous against Florida Atlantic or FDU
Exactly.

That's why I felt confident against Duke, but was scared we were going to lose in the 1st round against Louisiana.
 
#18

Volfan1000

Well-Known Member
Joined
Aug 3, 2020
Messages
5,274
Likes
6,112
#18
It's just a statistical model and given the way this team played in February, I'm still scared we're going to have an awful game that sends us out of the tournament. But FiveThirtyEight now has us the 'most favored' team to make the Final 4 out of our region. Albeit, this is a bit of a fluke in that most of the other teams in our bracket haven't played their Round-of-32 games and Purdue's loss means we'll have a weaker opponent than the teams on the other side of the bracket. Still kinda funny how we went from popular 1st round upset pick to Final Four favorite in 3 days.

Final Four Odds:

Tennessee 39%
Marquette 20%
Kentucky 17%
FAU 8%
Kansas State 7%
Fairleigh Dickinson <1%


So impressed with how our guys played against Duke. I admit, quite weirdly, I was always more afraid of Louisiana than Duke.

In any case, won't be easy. Even that FAU / FD winner will play us hard, but the other side of the bracket is legit with Marquette, Mich State, and Kentucky. 3 coaches that have a history of advancing in the tournament.

We owe Michigan State some revenge from 2010 and I think we will play them for a chance to advance to the Final Four after we dispose of Florida Atlantic in a close ball game on Thursday night.
 
Likes: Caculator
#20

Sea Ray

Well-Known Member
Joined
Dec 9, 2013
Messages
5,530
Likes
6,909
#20
It's just a statistical model and given the way this team played in February, I'm still scared we're going to have an awful game that sends us out of the tournament. But FiveThirtyEight now has us the 'most favored' team to make the Final 4 out of our region. Albeit, this is a bit of a fluke in that most of the other teams in our bracket haven't played their Round-of-32 games and Purdue's loss means we'll have a weaker opponent than the teams on the other side of the bracket. Still kinda funny how we went from popular 1st round upset pick to Final Four favorite in 3 days.

Final Four Odds:

Tennessee 39%
Marquette 20%
Kentucky 17%
FAU 8%
Kansas State 7%
Fairleigh Dickinson <1%


So impressed with how our guys played against Duke. I admit, quite weirdly, I was always more afraid of Louisiana than Duke.

In any case, won't be easy. Even that FAU / FD winner will play us hard, but the other side of the bracket is legit with Marquette, Mich State, and Kentucky. 3 coaches that have a history of advancing in the tournament.
So Mich State doesn't even rank as having a chance?
 

VN Store




Top