FanDuel Sportsbook has set Georgia as a 15.5-point favorite over LSU.

#1

WillisWG

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#1
It’s no surprise to see the Bulldogs are heavy favorites. No. 1 Georgia secured the SEC East title in Week 11 with a 45-19 win on the road at Mississippi State. Kirby Smart’s squad enters Week 12 with a 10-0 overall record, having gone 7-0 in SEC play. The Dawgs wrap up SEC play at Kentucky before the home regular-season finale against in-state rival Georgia Tech.

SEC Championship Game: Opening line set for Georgia vs. LSU showdown (saturdaydownsouth.com)
 
#6

JMSqb11

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#6
Probably, but I don’t want to chance it and leave it up to the interpretation of a committee, or ESPN leaving that door open for the first 2 loss team to make the CFP.
I’ve been clear about my take on LSU making the playoff. They TCU to lose and a win in Atlanta. I see no scenario where LSU makes the playoff and Tennessee stays home aka LSU making playoff means 3 SEC teams make it. If USC also loses a game, LSU with a win in Atlanta easily gets in the playoff.
 
#10

hUTch2002

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#10
I’ve been clear about my take on LSU making the playoff. They TCU to lose and a win in Atlanta. I see no scenario where LSU makes the playoff and Tennessee stays home aka LSU making playoff means 3 SEC teams make it. If USC also loses a game, LSU with a win in Atlanta easily gets in the playoff.
0% chance of LSU making it barring something really strange. A 1-loss Clemson would get in over LSU in my opinion because Clemson would have 1 less loss plus they beat FSU while LSU did not. Yes LSU would have a win over UGA but they also have 2 home losses and Clemson will get a boost by beating 1-loss UNC (if they do). Also, the OSU/UM loser could stay in front of LSU as well. That second loss is a big deal. I know 2-loss Nebraska played for the title once but there was no one else to take that year. The only other P5 team with fewer than 2 losses was Oregon and they weren’t close to making it.
 
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#11

JMSqb11

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0% chance of LSU making it barring something really strange. A 1-loss Clemson would get in over LSU in my opinion because Clemson would have 1 less loss plus they beat FSU while LSU did not. Yes LSU would have a win over UGA but they also have 2 home losses and Clemson will get a boost by beating 1-loss UNC (if they do). Also, the OSU/UM loser could stay in front of LSU as well. That second loss is a big deal. I know 2-loss Nebraska played for the title once but there was no one else to take that year. The only other P5 team with fewer than 2 losses was Oregon and they weren’t close to making it.
Wrong... LSU played FSU on neutral site.

Clemson has nothing on their schedule to make them jump a 2 loss Bama and 2 loss LSU.

Right now, LSU needs TCU to drop a game and a win in Atlanta to push into the top 4. If USC drops a game, then LSU is all but in with a win over UGA....

Clemson loss to Top 25 ND in a blowout and a win over top 15 UNC would not trump a win over Top 10 Bama, Top 5 UGA with losses to Top 25 FSU and Top 5 Tennessee.

The only scenario where LSU gets in is with a playoff with 3 SEC teams, UGA, Tennessee, and LSU..... TCU drops a game and that reality gets close to being true.

11-2 LSU would have better wins than a 12-1 USC or 12-1 Clemson/UNC.... At the end of the day, LSU getting in at 11-2 will be because of wins. Not "better losses"....
 
#12

CMcEver

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#12
So, imo, when it comes to LSU vs Tenn, if LSU wins... I feel like their SEC Championship and our h2h blowout of them at home should be a wash, then they have 2 losses, we have 1. If Florida and Pitt win their next 2 games, we each have 4 ranked wins, with their loss being worse than ours. I don't think they SHOULD get in, but they prob will.
 
#13

hUTch2002

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#13
Wrong... LSU played FSU on neutral site.

Clemson has nothing on their schedule to make them jump a 2 loss Bama and 2 loss LSU.

Right now, LSU needs TCU to drop a game and a win in Atlanta to push into the top 4. If USC drops a game, then LSU is all but in with a win over UGA....

Clemson loss to Top 25 ND in a blowout and a win over top 15 UNC would not trump a win over Top 10 Bama, Top 5 UGA with losses to Top 25 FSU and Top 5 Tennessee.

The only scenario where LSU gets in is with a playoff with 3 SEC teams, UGA, Tennessee, and LSU..... TCU drops a game and that reality gets close to being true.

11-2 LSU would have better wins than a 12-1 USC or 12-1 Clemson/UNC.... At the end of the day, LSU getting in at 11-2 will be because of wins. Not "better losses"....
You’re right on one thing. It was in New Orleans, not a home game for LSU. But that’s probably all you’re right about. But it’s your opinion and you’re entitled to be as wrong as you want, just like I am. One thing we do agree on though is that it won’t matter. TCU will lose but LSU won’t beat UGA.
 
#14

JMSqb11

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So, imo, when it comes to LSU vs Tenn, if LSU wins... I feel like their SEC Championship and our h2h blowout of them at home should be a wash, then they have 2 losses, we have 1. If Florida and Pitt win their next 2 games, we each have 4 ranked wins, with their loss being worse than ours. I don't think they SHOULD get in, but they prob will.
If LSU runs the table, they are at best the 5 seed with a 13-0 TCU. TCU loses, and the committee has to decide on an 11-2 LSU Sec Champ, 11-1 OSU/Michigan (that is certainty as both should be 11-0 going into their game to close season), and potential 12-1 USC.

11-1 OSU/Michigan loser will have 1 ranked win and loss (Michigan beat PSU, loses to OSU) or 2 ranked wins and loss (OSU beat ND, PSU, and loses to Michigan)
11-2 LSU has losses to Top 4 Tennessee, Top 25 FSU with wins over Top 8 Bama and #1 Georgia for conference championship
12-1 USC with a few wins over top 25 teams ND, UCLA, Utah or Oregon with loss to Utah

Now I know the consensus is that a 12-1 USC would get in over an 11-2 LSU but what matters for LSU is if they stay ranked ahead of 1 loss USC between now and the week before conference championship weekend. If LSU stays ranked ahead of a 1 loss USC going into conference championship week, there is no way USC would jump them for beating a top 12 two loss team compared to LSU beating #1 Georgia.....

LSU really just needs TCU to drop a game in the next two weeks and they are pretty much playing for the 4th spot. I do not expect LSU to win vs Georgia at all. But if they do, they would at minimum be up for the 4th seed consideration against 11-1 OSU/Michigan and at most, 11-1 OSU/Michigan and 12-1 USC....

For the billionth time, I'm very clear and confident in my belief that Tennessee is in the playoff with an 11-1 record. LSU getting in means we would have two firsts... The first 2 loss team in the playoff and the first playoff with 3 teams from one conference. Clemson is the only other 1 loss champ consideration but Bama has them boxed out. Not sure how Clemson can leapfrog Bama based on their win vs Ole Miss and Clemson has hoe hum schedule until Charlotte.
 
#15

JMSqb11

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You’re right on one thing. It was in New Orleans, not a home game for LSU. But that’s probably all you’re right about. But it’s your opinion and you’re entitled to be as wrong as you want, just like I am. One thing we do agree on though is that it won’t matter. TCU will lose but LSU won’t beat UGA.
I'm going to crack a beer just for you tonight. Hope all is well with you this week! Can't wait for rankings!
 
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#19

Remy

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#19
Reading a headline in the AJC about the Buckeyes standing in UGA's way. My prediction is LSU will give Kirby and his team everything they can handle and then some. LSU has a solid team very capable of embarrassing Georgia. Kirby is not a good game day coach, he inherited that from Saban, he wins with talent. LSU will put a talented team on the field in the SECCG.
 
#20

unfrozencvmanvol

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Reading a headline in the AJC about the Buckeyes standing in UGA's way. My prediction is LSU will give Kirby and his team everything they can handle and then some. LSU has a solid team very capable of embarrassing Georgia. Kirby is not a good game day coach, he inherited that from Saban, he wins with talent. LSU will put a talented team on the field in the SECCG.
Pretty hard to imagine how someone with a 16-7 record vs. the Top 10 is "not a good game day coach". Kirby Smart is a good coach period, even though he has a stupid haircut and the most punchable face in CFB. Has he ever made a mistake in a game? Sure. Practically every coach has, but 7 years in the numbers don't lie, someone who was not a good gameday coach would have a much worse record against really good teams.
 
#21

05_never_again

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#21
Reading a headline in the AJC about the Buckeyes standing in UGA's way. My prediction is LSU will give Kirby and his team everything they can handle and then some. LSU has a solid team very capable of embarrassing Georgia. Kirby is not a good game day coach, he inherited that from Saban, he wins with talent. LSU will put a talented team on the field in the SECCG.
It's quite rare, basically impossible, to find a head coach that wins consistently over time using something other than a talent advantage.

You can find individual games or individual seasons where it happens (Tennessee's 2022 season is a perfect example of that), but a coach that is consistently successful over a long period of time is always doing it with a talent advantage.
 
#22

rjd970

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Wrong... LSU played FSU on neutral site.

Clemson has nothing on their schedule to make them jump a 2 loss Bama and 2 loss LSU.

Right now, LSU needs TCU to drop a game and a win in Atlanta to push into the top 4. If USC drops a game, then LSU is all but in with a win over UGA....

Clemson loss to Top 25 ND in a blowout and a win over top 15 UNC would not trump a win over Top 10 Bama, Top 5 UGA with losses to Top 25 FSU and Top 5 Tennessee.

The only scenario where LSU gets in is with a playoff with 3 SEC teams, UGA, Tennessee, and LSU..... TCU drops a game and that reality gets close to being true.

11-2 LSU would have better wins than a 12-1 USC or 12-1 Clemson/UNC.... At the end of the day, LSU getting in at 11-2 will be because of wins. Not "better losses"....
This is correct, even Reece Davis who doesn’t like UT has said that whatever chaos may happen UT gets in before LSU given our game against them in BR. A 27 point loss will not be overlooked by the committee. That LSU game for us was huge.
 
#23

JMSqb11

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This is correct, even Reece Davis who doesn’t like UT has said that whatever chaos may happen UT gets in before LSU given our game against them in BR. A 27 point loss will not be overlooked by the committee. That LSU game for us was huge.
Yep.... All these people worried about "LSU jumping us if they beat Georgia" have me confused..... Tennessee and LSU are not vying for the same playoff spot. LSU stays out of the playoff if TCU doesn't lose regardless if they win in Atlanta.
 

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