ESPNs Scoring model for UT-Winthrop game

#1

bnhunt

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#1
ESPN ran their scoring model for the UT-Winthrop game...the numbers for the players are a little out of line, but you can figure it out....check it out below...



StatShark.com has powered more than 3,000 simulations for every NCAA Tournament game, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions and opponent's abilities. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 3,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages and player statistics. Get more Insider Tournament coverage.


Forecasted Game Stats: Winthrop vs. Tennessee


Average Forecasted Score:

Winthrop 64.3
Tennessee 76.3


Winning Percentage:

Winthrop 7.0%
Tennessee 93.0%


Big Win (10 or More)

Winthrop 1.9%
Tennessee 52.5%


Close Win (4 or Less)

Winthrop 2.7%
Tennessee 17.9%



Forecasted Box Score Winthrop PTS FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA FT% 3PM 3PA AST STL TO OREB TREB BLK
Torrell Martin 13.1 4.5 11.5 39% 1.7 3.1 54% 2.5 6.6 1.3 1.5 2.1 1.8 5.3 0.2
Craig Bradshaw 12.6 4.4 8.8 50% 2.8 4.2 67% 0.9 2.7 1.6 0.6 2.2 2.5 6.4 1.3
James Shuler 12.1 3.2 8.9 36% 4.8 5.9 80% 0.9 2.7 3.1 1.8 3.0 1.1 4.5 0.1
Chris Gaynor 6.2 2.3 5.4 42% 0.3 0.4 69% 1.5 3.8 4.8 1.6 2.2 0.5 3.0 0.2
Phillip Williams 5.0 1.7 4.2 39% 1.2 1.8 68% 0.4 1.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.2 3.3 0.4
Mike Jenkins 3.8 1.3 3.7 34% 0.6 0.8 74% 0.6 2.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.3 1.1 0.1
Otis Daniels 3.2 1.1 2.5 44% 0.9 1.5 61% 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.6 0.0
Scott Draughn 2.6 0.8 1.9 45% 0.9 1.3 69% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.5 0.0
Taj McCullough 2.5 1.1 2.0 53% 0.3 0.6 48% 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.2 0.2
Billy Houston 2.4 0.8 1.8 46% 0.7 1.2 60% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.0
De`Andre Adams 0.9 0.3 0.9 31% 0.2 0.3 76% 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.0
TOTAL 64.3 21.4 51.7 41% 14.4 21.1 68% 7.0 20.5 13.7 8.2 14.5 9.6 29.8 3.5





Tennessee PTS FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA FT% 3PM 3PA AST STL TO OREB TREB BLK
Chris Lofton 18.4 6.0 12.1 50% 2.5 2.7 91% 3.8 8.0 1.6 2.3 1.2 1.1 3.9 0.1
C.J. Watson 14.2 4.3 9.1 48% 4.2 4.6 91% 1.3 3.2 3.1 2.1 1.9 0.7 3.7 0.1
JaJuan Smith 9.6 3.1 7.9 40% 1.3 2.3 56% 2.1 5.6 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.0 3.4 0.0
Major Wingate 9.2 3.5 6.0 58% 2.2 3.4 63% 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 2.2 1.6 3.6 1.0
Andre Patterson 8.8 3.7 7.9 47% 1.4 2.4 60% 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.3 6.8 1.3
Dane Bradshaw 7.2 2.6 5.7 46% 1.0 1.9 52% 0.9 2.5 3.1 1.9 1.1 1.2 4.8 0.3
Stanley Asumnu 7.0 3.0 5.7 52% 1.0 1.7 58% 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.2 3.1 0.2
Jordan Howell 1.4 0.5 1.1 41% 0.1 0.1 68% 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0
Ryan Childress 0.6 0.2 0.6 33% 0.2 0.3 73% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.0
TOTAL 76.3 26.9 56.2 48% 13.8 19.5 71% 8.6 21.0 13.6 11.0 11.2 9.5 30.3 3.0
 
#2
#2
Those numbers are believable considering that Winthrop is probably one of the best 15 seeds in a long time
 
#3
#3
Interesting. I think the key is Lofton shooting 3's well. If Winthrop can shut him down, and they do have big guards, UT could be in trouble. I dont think Bradshaw is shooting as well since he hurt his wrist. Maybe a big game from Patterson or CJ Watson.
 
#4
#4
How does the computer compensate for the late season implosion factor for UT?
 
#5
#5
Winthrop has a Bradshaw. If they were related I'm sure it would have been mentioned by now.
 
#6
#6
(Crakaveli @ Mar 14 said:
Winthrop has a Bradshaw. If they were related I'm sure it would have been mentioned by now.
I think Winthrop's Bradshaw is from Australia.
 
#7
#7
(Crakaveli @ Mar 14 said:
Winthrop has a Bradshaw. If they were related I'm sure it would have been mentioned by now.
well their bradshaw is black so I doubt they are brothers, or well blood brothers, everyones a black guys brotha.
 
#8
#8
(Vol423 @ Mar 14 said:
How does the computer compensate for the late season implosion factor for UT?

The same way most members of this board compensate for moron posters...
 
#11
#11
(mattvols @ Mar 14 said:
well their bradshaw is black so I doubt they are brothers, or well blood brothers, everyones a black guys brotha.

Hey dude, the cleaners called. Your sheets are ready.
 
#13
#13
I'd love to see rebounding numbers on a UT v. Mich. St. game. I bet it's would be 100 to 1 in favor of MSU.

Vols will waltz through Winthrop. If they don't, then we would have lost to anyone else they put us against.
 
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