If it does what it looks like, Tampa bay should get a mighty storm surge (that would be bad). It has to hit cuba before all the models will dial in. The jet stream is still being talked about as well. That's what most likely gave it a little push to the west.
Welp, as I said that they issued an evacuation order for Tampa Bay area. They do these evacs in order for a reason. To try to make it as orderly as possible. Pay attention to your evac orders and do it as instructed for best results.