Early Betting Favoring Indiana

[VolnJC]

Vols a 1.5 favorite but 61% of the money is on the Hoosiers...wonder how much Jennings sitting out the 1st half and no Kennedy or Middleton might be playing into the betting?

 

[rocknrick]

Only a 1.5 point favorite. That is a insult. The spread will surly grow soon.

 

[sjt18]

If you gamble... you have a real chance to make a lot of money here.

 

[MAD]

If you gamble... you have a real chance to make a lot of money here.

 

[VolnJC]

If you gamble... you have a real chance to make a lot of money here.

I don't think I would go near that over under of 49.5 have no faith in our offense putting a whole game together especially without Jennings for a half...but I do think we are a 10-14 point better team than Indiana

 

[rocknrick]

My bet is in now. Easy money.

 

[OrngeJuiceJones]

Vegas has held onto those first few games all year.. We aren't that team now

 

[UTvols#1]

Sorry guys I smell something fishy here...Now I'm worried...Guys that line is a no brainier. Sucker bet ..Guess I better at least watch some videos on Indiana. Would've thought line would be 5.5 to start

 

[BleedinOrange98]

Vegas has held onto those first few games all year.. We aren't that team now

b/c it's about perception, and the perception is that we still suck. The stench from a loss like GA State doesn't wear off easily.

Also the contrarian in me says take the under if everyone believes its going over.

 

[Big Al Orange]

My bet is in now. Easy money.

Ten. Is 11/4 against big 10 teams with an average win margin of about 7 points. Don’t bet the farm, but you should be ok. I’ve got 500 riding just to make it more interesting.

 

[Chilmonty]

Aslo JG played like JG sometimes does against the Anchors! JMO

 

[feathersax]

Hedging that bet? Again I ask: WHAT is a "WHOosier"?

 

[TAF]

Again I ask: WHAT is a "WHOosier"?

“WHOosier Daddy?”

 

[JohnWardForever]

Sorry guys I smell something fishy here...Now I'm worried...Guys that line is a no brainier. Sucker bet ..Guess I better at least watch some videos on Indiana. Would've thought line would be 5.5 to start

The Line is based on the Power Rating. SO Indiana is better on paper 39-72 and Vegas has US Favored? I think that's a good bit of respect. Some of Yall be Tripping.

 

[JohnWardForever]

Only a 1.5 point favorite. That is a insult. The spread will surly grow soon.

Insult? With Indiana having a 39 to 72 Power Rating advantage? Hell it's an Insult to Indiana ; who should be favored by 7--Based on the PR. Vegas is being very generous to UT making The Vols the Fav.

 

[LordBolton]

Insult? With Indiana having a 39 to 72 Power Rating advantage? Hell it's an Insult to Indiana ; who should be favored by 7--Based on the PR. Vegas is being very generous to UT making The Vols the Fav.

It probably takes into account that all Big 10 teams are automatically overrated by 10 spots from where they should be due to media hype.

 

[golfballs]

Where is that power ranking from? That’s absurd. Also, didn’t the line open as a pick?

 

[sechamp2012]

In week 11 you have a QB that passed for 400+ yards against a 6-6 team it's no brainer take UT.
In week 12 you have a QB that passed 6 for 17 for a 35% completion rate for 120 yards 1 interception and started the game 0 for 8 with a interception. Against a 3 and 9 team.
It's a no brainer you keep your money in your pocket you have no ideal who will show up at QB and you know a 3 win team will not be in a Bowl game. It's a no go bet.

 

[FBtime]

If the line opened as a pick em and now Vols are favored by 1.5 then that means the money is coming in Vols. They are increasing the spread to generate more money on Indiana since Vegas wants an even split.

As for Power Rankings...

FPI: Tennessee - 32 Indiana - 36 FPI
Sagarin: Tennessee - 36 Indiana - 40 Sagarin

On no legitimate ranking have I seen Vols as low as 72.

 

[DoyleMcOrange]

In week 11 you have a QB that passed for 400+ yards against a 6-6 team it's no brainer take UT.
In week 12 you have a QB that passed 6 for 17 for a 35% completion rate for 120 yards 1 interception and started the game 0 for 8 with a interception. Against a 3 and 9 team.
It's a no brainer you keep you keep your money in your pocket you have no ideal who will show up a QB and you know a 3 win team will not be in a Bowl game. It's a no go bet.

Yup, I'm not touching this with a ten foot pole.

I fully expect us to win by two td's, but with Jarette "Give Him Three" Guarantano behind center there is just not enough confidence for me to roll some cash out. He's too unstable/inconsistent.

And if we get into a spot where we need to throw the long ball? Then you're putting your money on a 50/50 jump ball.

 

[volintheham]

In week 11 you have a QB that passed for 400+ yards against a 6-6 team it's no brainer take UT.
In week 12 you have a QB that passed 6 for 17 for a 35% completion rate for 120 yards 1 interception and started the game 0 for 8 with a interception. Against a 3 and 9 team.
It's a no brainer you keep you keep your money in your pocket you have no ideal who will show up a QB and you know a 3 win team will not be in a Bowl game. It's a no go bet.

Agree with your overall statement for sure on an inconsistency basis but don’t you at least have to consider game conditions? Legitimately asking as I like your posts due to your habitual inclusion of stats.

 

[VolBricks]

In week 11 you have a QB that passed for 400+ yards against a 6-6 team it's no brainer take UT.
In week 12 you have a QB that passed 6 for 17 for a 35% completion rate for 120 yards 1 interception and started the game 0 for 8 with a interception. Against a 3 and 9 team.
It's a no brainer you keep you keep your money in your pocket you have no ideal who will show up a QB and you know a 3 win team will not be in a Bowl game. It's a no go bet.

yes he started 0-7 or 0-8 but his grandmother had just passed away a day or two before, anyone would be distracted.

 

[teeball]

In week 11 you have a QB that passed for 400+ yards against a 6-6 team it's no brainer take UT.
In week 12 you have a QB that passed 6 for 17 for a 35% completion rate for 120 yards 1 interception and started the game 0 for 8 with a interception. Against a 3 and 9 team.
It's a no brainer you keep you keep your money in your pocket you have no ideal who will show up a QB and you know a 3 win team will not be in a Bowl game. It's a no go bet.

JG has been inconsistent for sure BUT ... two weather delays and lots of rain also played a part in JG's poor performance. In other words, bet the house on UT.

 

[RollerVol]

BET THE FARM...

GO BIG ORANGE...WE KNOW HOOSIER DADDY!

 

[sechamp2012]

yes he started 0-7 or 0-8 but his grandmother had just passed away a day or two before, anyone would be distracted.

Yes heard that about a week after the game. That is really a heavy burden to carry. You would have thought that CJP knew that and would have reacted after terrible start but he stayed the course. Eric Gray had a breakout game and we were playing the worst Vandy team in a while and worst team we played all year sans UTC. So CJP must have thought he would come around.
That was unusual CJP would have pulled BM or JTS but the 400+ game must have given JG some gravitas.
My reaction was to this game but it goes deeper. Last year he was up Auburn , UK and down the last 2 weeks Vandy & Missouri.
Same this year up & down and he pulled for a true freshman (BM) but comes back has good games. goes rogue and causes 14 point swing.
This would be understandable for a RS freshman, ytue freshaman or true sophomore but a RS junior in his 4th year.
I myself can not put money on a guy like that , is what it is.
This is why I am so uncertain about next year
and 2 NFL receivers are gone.