DR. Bob likes the Tigers!!!

#1
true23tiger

true23tiger

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#1
free analysis from his site drbobsports.com

LSU (-7.0) 33 Tennessee 23 (at Atlanta)
01:00 PM Pacific Time Saturday, Dec-01 - Stats Matchup
LSU hasn’t played their best football lately but there is no reason that the Tigers defense has suddenly found some leaks the last two weeks. The Tigers allowed 7.7 yards per rushing play to Mississippi two weeks ago and then gave up 385 yards at 7.3 yprp to Arkansas last week. Prior to those two games the Tigers had only allowed more than 4.8 yppl to a Florida team (they allowed 5.5 yppl) that is the best offensive team in the nation. LSU’s recent problems stopping the run probably won’t be exploited by a Tennessee offense that prefers to throw the ball than trust their mediocre rushing attack to move the ball. Erik Ainge has had a solid year for the Volunteers (0.9 yards per pass play better than average after compensating for opposing defenses) but LSU’s defense has been 1.6 yppp better than average, allowing 4.5 yppp to teams that would combine to average 6.1 yppp against an average defense. Tennessee should have a few scoring drives, but their mediocre defense (5.5 yards per play allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl against an average team) isn’t likely to stop an LSU offense that has averaged 6.1 yppl against a schedule of teams that would allow only 5.2 yppl to an average attack. LSU starting quarterback Matt Flynn has been downgraded to doubtful with a shoulder injury, but that could be good news for LSU fans as sophomore backup Ryan Perrilloux has more talent and has been more impressive than Flynn in his limited action. Perrilloux has averaged 8.9 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 6.3 yppp to an average quarterback and I expect him to play well if he gets the call. My math model favors LSU by 9 ½ points so I’ll lean with the Tigers.

:):dance2::good!::pepper:
 
#2
#2
snore....:snoring: A mediocre, over-rated LSU team that get's a favorable 4th down spot against Florida , and has lead an extremely charmed life this season has many lucky breaks to thank for even being in this game. Enough talk...LSU is still over-rated and has an idiot for a coach. It's go time in 8 hours and then we'll see. Vols will be amped for the game and it won't be close. This will be Arkansas part 2. It's what the Vols do to over-ranked west teams...
 
#3
#3
Did your math model take into consideration the Rushing Yards your Lousy AnnerTiggers allowed the Razorbacks?

Did that same model take into consideration the Rushing Yards our Vols allowed the Razorbacks?

When you compare your results and our results against that same team, what does your Math Model say? Best I can tell you allowed'em about 150-200 more yards.

And you called our defense mediocre?:birgits_giggle:
 
#4
#4
:eek:hmy:
KYVolFan said:
Did your math model take into consideration the Rushing Yards your Lousy AnnerTiggers allowed the Razorbacks?

Did that same model take into consideration the Rushing Yards our Vols allowed the Razorbacks?

When you compare your results and our results against that same team, what does your Math Model say? Best I can tell you allowed'em about 150-200 more yards.

And you called our defense mediocre?:birgits_giggle:
Click to expand...

EASY BUD!!!
That was from DR. Bob sports not me!!!!
 
#6
#6
Dr Bob was a co-founder of AA and after reading that article I suspect a relapse.
 
#7
#7
Dr. Bob was such a successful handicapper, he could move lines by 3 points. There's an article from the Wall Street Journal somewhere.

HOWEVER, this season, he's been bad. No, awful. I don't subscribe to his picks, but they are posted at forums. He's hit at a really bad rate, something like 35% this year.
 
#8
#8
VolinArizona said:
Dr. Bob was such a successful handicapper, he could move lines by 3 points. There's an article from the Wall Street Journal somewhere.

HOWEVER, this season, he's been bad. No, awful. I don't subscribe to his picks, but they are posted at forums. He's hit at a really bad rate, something like 35% this year.
Click to expand...

Ah but he has been heating up as of late and this pick lools like a stone cold lock to me!!!:clapping:
 
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