As far as Dobbs, it's not like it's absolutely 100%, "as Dobbs goes, so goes the season", because he's not the entire offense. Defenses have to respond to play calling, not just players. And... Tennessee is a running team. We've had 206 offensive plays over three games, and the split is 131 rush and 75 pass. That's about 64%/36% favoring the run. Hurd (50% of carries), Dobbs (28%) and Kamara (16%) - in that order - get the bulk of the carries so far. That's skewed some by times Dobbs has to take off because of protection problems, but that's where we are.
Seeing that we've gained 127, then 239, and then 201 yards of rushing, against teams that presumably have a general idea of what's going on in the play calling against them, I think it's fairly reasonable to say that we're having at least modest success in the run game so far. I thought it was encouraging that we racked up another couple hundred passing yards of offense, with about a 67% completion percentage and a couple TDs, against Ohio. The play calling still heavily favored the run, but the production was there when the pass was called. It used to be that 400 yards of offense in a game meant you probably had an unreservedly good day. Now we all expect Playstation numbers, or think that if we're going to have a prayer in conference, we need to be putting up 600 yards against OOC opponents.
True, we're going to see vastly superior defenses entering conference play. Some teams may effectively stuff the run, and if so then yeah Dobbs is going to have to be proficient in getting the ball downfield. An improved line is such a critical part of that. However, Dobbs has consistently just made it happen when things break down; that's one of the best things he brings us, not his downfield accuracy. He's one of the better players I've seen in recent years for making something out of a busted play, and sure there are cardiac moments where we're all like "this is either going to be really good or really, really bad" when he's suddenly in improvisation-land, but hey, it makes for a fun ride and some early gray hairs. I'd be amazed if we've seen the whole playbook, too. We're going to see plays that didn't get called during the early schedule, and some defenses adjusting on the fly to stuff that wasn't game-planned for.
Anyway, all the first three games have been are hints of what to expect. Now it's time, and we'll know a whole bunch more about where we really are over the next few weeks. I for one am good and ready to see it. Go Vols!