Conceptual thinking with play calling.

[orange+white=heaven]

An entire section of this thread is missing. weird.






Mods?

 

[thunder5]

I wonder which of Mitchell and/or Reynolds and/or Ayers would move to OLB and which would stay at DE.

I wonder if any OLB would move to ILB, because if not, it's Mayo and Wilson at ILB. Wilson with 7 total career tackles.

If this is a defense we are going to incorporate on a regular basis then I could see Ben Martin being the perfect fit for that DE/OLB position. But that's more for the future I think...as for this year...Ayers was recruited as an LB and seems to have the speed to fill that position nicely. If we're going to use this defense then I see Mapu at nose, with Mitchell and Reynolds on the ends and Ayers as the drop end type of player

 

[volfan2024]

I think there's a happy medium and it should be dictated by the personnel available and what their strenghts are. in 98, Business, you are correct. we lined up and did what we did because we knew we could do it.

the last few years, save last year, we lined up and did what we did......simply because that's what we did. we didn't adjust to the players strengths and weaknesses or adjust for what we might be defficient in.

for me, i honestly don't care what offensive style they run, as long as it works. If we have O Lines like we had in the 90's and we can pound out 180-200 yards a game on the ground and add another 150-200 in the air great. If we have speed outside and a qb that can make good decisions, we should be more creative in formations with the passing game.

it's the stubbornness that we seem to have sometimes when it comes to the running game. Nothing pisses me off more than when it's 2nd and 8 or 9 and we run a play up the middle and then have 3rd and 5 or longer.

that's when we become predictable. Our 1st and 2nd down play calling has got to either get 1st downs or set up 2nd or 3rd and short. how they do it, i really don't care at this point.

Dead on Jake.

 

[Mullet]

When I was in college at UT there was a kid that did a study in one of my stat classes about TN's tendencies on 2nd down.

From 2000-2005 TN was something like 93% likely to run the ball on 2nd down if they incompleted a pass on 1st down. I started to pay attention to that after watching the guy's presentation in class and it's pretty evident. TN will run the ball literally EVERY time if they incomplete a pass on 1st down.

Obviously our opponents scout us, so they're privy to this tendency. So when you're watching this year remember, if we throw incomplete on 1st down, that's the beginning of the end. Because we'll run for 3 yards on 2nd down, and create a 3rd and 7 situation.

Hardly anyone in the conference converts more than 50% on 3rd down on a macro level, so that basically means that TN will go 3 and out, punt the ball, and play defense over 50% of the time they throw incomplete on 1st down. Just something I thought was sort of interesting. Of course, I have NO empirical data to support my claim, i'm just going off of a nerd vol van who actually did his homework.

 

[Business]

When I was in college at UT there was a kid that did a study in one of my stat classes about TN's tendencies on 2nd down.

From 2000-2005 TN was something like 93% likely to run the ball on 2nd down if they incompleted a pass on 1st down. I started to pay attention to that after watching the guy's presentation in class and it's pretty evident. TN will run the ball literally EVERY time if they incomplete a pass on 1st down.

Obviously our opponents scout us, so they're privy to this tendency. So when you're watching this year remember, if we throw incomplete on 1st down, that's the beginning of the end. Because we'll run for 3 yards on 2nd down, and create a 3rd and 7 situation.

Hardly anyone in the conference converts more than 50% on 3rd down on a macro level, so that basically means that TN will go 3 and out, punt the ball, and play defense over 50% of the time they throw incomplete on 1st down. Just something I thought was sort of interesting. Of course, I have NO empirical data to support my claim, i'm just going off of a nerd vol van who actually did his homework.

Were there any football players in the class?