Cal score prediction!

#26
#26
I think it's hilarious that most Cal fans think they will win after what we did to them last year.
 
#27
#27
I believe that Cal is overrated again. Some of you may remember that I broke their schedule down in 05 and gave a high probability that UT would beat them badly.

Took another look this year. The Bears played 4 teams with more than 7 wins last year, UT played 8 including 4 in the East division and 7 teams that won 9 or more. UT played two BCS teams losing to NC UF by one and LSU by 4 with a back up QB. Cal played one BCS team losing to USC by 14.

Cal played 5 bowl teams. UT played 9 bowl teams.

Of the four teams Cal played with more than 7 wins, they beat 2: Ore St and Tx A&M. OSU was a blowout and unquestionably their best win of the year. Cal fans brag about their blowout win over A&M but it is deceptive. A&M beat one team last year with a winning record (Missouri). Four of their wins were The Citadel, ULL, La Tech, and Army. IOW's, they weren't a legit 9 win team.

UT beat 4 of the best 8 teams they played: USCe, UGA, Cal, and UK.

My point here is that the stats that make Cal's returning stars look formidable were run up against a much weaker schedule than the one UT played. DeSean Jackson was not a major factor against the better teams they played... and especially if you drop the 80 trash yards he got against UT. Even with those yards he averages about 70 ypg against good defenses. Forsett has never had a 100 yard game against a good defense and nothing at all against very good defenses.

Cal replaces a couple of guys in the seconday, 2 LB's, 3 DL's, 2 OL's, and their best back (by far). Additionally, they will not have their TE or best FB.

Not only do I not think Cal will beat UT... they may not even help the SOS by the end of the year.
 
#28
#28
sjt18 said:
I believe that Cal is overrated again. Some of you may remember that I broke their schedule down in 05 and gave a high probability that UT would beat them badly.

Took another look this year. The Bears played 4 teams with more than 7 wins last year, UT played 8 including 4 in the East division and 7 teams that won 9 or more. UT played two BCS teams losing to NC UF by one and LSU by 4 with a back up QB. Cal played one BCS team losing to USC by 14.

Cal played 5 bowl teams. UT played 9 bowl teams.

Of the four teams Cal played with more than 7 wins, they beat 2: Ore St and Tx A&M. OSU was a blowout and unquestionably their best win of the year. Cal fans brag about their blowout win over A&M but it is deceptive. A&M beat one team last year with a winning record (Missouri). Four of their wins were The Citadel, ULL, La Tech, and Army. IOW's, they weren't a legit 9 win team.

UT beat 4 of the best 8 teams they played: USCe, UGA, Cal, and UK.

My point here is that the stats that make Cal's returning stars look formidable were run up against a much weaker schedule than the one UT played. DeSean Jackson was not a major factor against the better teams they played... and especially if you drop the 80 trash yards he got against UT. Forsett has never had a 100 yard game against a good defense and nothing at all against very good defenses.
Click to expand...

So you're saying we have a chance...LOL
 
#29
#29
Prediction: Cal has a slugger's chance. They have speed on the outside and there's always a chance that they will be able to expose a secondary.

Here's my take:

UT by more than 20- 25%
UT by 10-25- 25%
UT by 1-10- 25%
Cal by 1-10- 20%
Cal by 10+- 5%

"If" things go as they should, UT will not be slowed much by Cal's rebuilt defense. UT will get a rush on Longshore and prevent catches more than 10 yards from the LOS.

The game will get out of hand in UT's favor if the DL gets consistent penetration. The game swings to Cal's favor if UT's DL gets manhandled forcing UT to take more blitz risks... and if UT's secondary is as bad as some here seem to think.

The lone risk on offense is that UT's WR's will drop too many passes to keep Cal from loading the box on every play.

Turnovers and special teams may be a factor. TO's are unpredictable. ST's will probably be a wash between these two teams.
 
#30
#30
I say our DL dominates Cal OL the whole game. UT has been practicing in hot, humid weather. Cal practices in 75-80 degree, no humidity type weather. We should be better conditioned to play harder longer.
 
#33
#33
noogafan2007 said:
I think the score will be:

Vols 20
Cal 28

HOPE I am wrong, but I am just VERY realistic
Click to expand...


do you care to explain why an 8 point loss to Cal is being VERY realistic?? They lose their best offensive weapon that couldn't move the ball on UT's 1st string and lose a couple of DL that couldn't stop one of the worst rushing attacks UT has EVER had.
 
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