Relegation, Top 4, Europa League, tiebreaker rules
PREMIER LEAGUE TOP 4 SCENARIOS
Chelsea would clinch top-4 with:
Win/draw v. Wolves
Loss v. Wolves AND Manchester United win at Leicester
Manchester United would clinch top-4 with:
Win/draw at Leicester
Chelsea loss v. Wolves*
*Scenario assumes MU maintain GD advantage over Chelsea (MU: +28 / CHE: +13)
Leicester would clinch top-4 with:
Win v. Manchester United
Draw v. Manchester United AND Chelsea loss v. Wolves
EUROPA LEAGUE SCENARIOS Wolves
Wolves would clinch top-6 finish if:
They better or equal Tottenham’s result
Tottenham would clinch top-6 finish if:
They better Wolves’ results
And 7th would qualify for Europa League if Chelsea win the FA Cup.
In terms of tiebreakers, here is the order and format in which league position will be sorted by if teams finish level on points:
Points won in head-to-head meetings
Away goals in head-to-head meetings
If the teams still can’t be separated after the above tiebreakers, a playoff will be arranged (at a neutral ground with the format, timing and venue determined by the Premier League Board).
Relegation – How teams can stay up
Aston Villa: Better Watford’s result OR draw and Watford draw
Watford: Better Aston Villa’s result
Bournemouth: Win and both Aston Villa and Watford lose
Aston Villa last match: 11 am ET Sunday at West Ham
Villa needs a little bit more than a win or hoping Watford falls at Arsenal.
How could Villa go down with a win? If Watford beats Arsenal by at least two more goals than Villa defeats West Ham, it will climb over the Villans.
Similarly, if Bournemouth draws or loses, and both Villa and Watford lose, Villa could go down if it loses to West Ham by at least two more goals than Watford loses to Arsenal.
If both Villa and Watford draw, Villa stays up.
If Villa draws and Watford loses, Villa stays up regardless of what Bournemouth does at Everton.
Watford last match: 11 am ET Sunday at Arsenal
A win over the Gunners would be enough if Villa loses.
A draw would be enough if West Ham beats Aston Villa.
Watford could even stay up with a loss if Bournemouth draws or loses and Villa loses to West Ham by two more goals than the Hornets loses to Arsenal.
Bournemouth last match: 11 am ET Sunday at Everton
The Cherries need to win at Everton. Anything less and they’re down.
If Eddie Howe’s men take down the Toffees, they also need Watford and Villa to lose.
Sunday, July 26: Arsenal v. Watford, 11am ET, Golf Channel
Sunday, July 26: Burnley v. Brighton, 11am ET, Gold/Peacock
Sunday, July 26: Chelsea v. Wolves, 11am ET, USA
Sunday, July 26: Crystal Palace v. Tottenham, 11am ET, Gold/Peacock
Sunday, July 26: Everton v. Bournemouth, 11am ET, CNBC
Sunday, July 26: Leicester City v. Man United, 11am ET, NBC
Sunday, July 26: Man City v. Norwich City, 11am ET, Gold/Peacock
Sunday, July 26: Newcastle v. Liverpool, 11am ET, Gold/Peacock
Sunday, July 26: Southampton v. Sheffield United, 11am ET, Gold/Peacock
Sunday, July 26: West Ham v. Aston Villa, 11am ET, NBCSN
What an epic collapse by Leicester. At the end of the day on January 1, they looked like shoe ins for CL qualification, and possibly even challenge City for 2nd place in the league. Since then they’ve only won four matches in the league.
So how much extra do you have to pay to get world class defenders who will follow the ball up field when they won't get to play Europa or Champions? Sometimes, I think the only thing that will get Arsenal back to form is to suffer the pain of relegation.