Last year Stanford lost to Northwestern week 1. They finished the year #3 in the country.
North Carolina lost to eventual 3-9 South Carolina week 1. They finished the year in the ACC championship and an onside kick away from beating Clemson.
Clunkers are actually more likely in week 1 than anytime else. Week 1 is also the least likely game to reflect what type of team you will be.
As opposed to the list of top 10 teams who take care of business and absolutely beat the dog out of inferior competition? That list would be about 2 miles long.
But we all knew some would seek to explain-away last night's embarassment.
Typically, I would not bet on Appy State, even in their best years, against Purdue, Washington, La Tech, WSU, Colorado, Kentucky, Cinci, Navy, or any of those other similar schools, even in their down years. But perhaps I am just drinking the Kool-Aid that says bigger programs in tougher conferences are automatically better.
I wonder how many of those were in the season openers? It seems pretty clear to me that teams can hit a down week mid-season (the classic "trap game" scenario). What worries me is that in those mid-season games, you already have a sense of whether the team is any good or not. When it's the first game, there's a good chance that the performance could accurately reflect how good the team really is.