At least for the the first season.
Coaches around these losses first season seem to stick around and have improvement.
If we end up having more losses (7 or more) ,than we might be looking for a new coach in year 3 or we need to lower our expectations.
If we end up with 4 or less , we have ourselves a GEM and we should keep them regardless of Conference Play OR we know we can hire another GEM.
I did a little researching on some Coaches and their first seasons.
Lets start with TN Coaches post-Fulmer
Kiffin - (7-6)
Dooley - (6-7)
Butch - (5-7)
A few coaches in the SEC
Smart - (8-5) GEORGIA
Saban (8-4) LSU, (7-6) BAMA
Mullen (5-7) MISS. ST
Muschamp (7-6) FLORIDA, (6-7) SOUTH CAROLINA
Mason (3-9) VANDY
Malzahn (12-2) AUBURN
Noteable Coaches
Fisher - (10-2) FSU
Urban - (10-2) UTAH, (9-3) FLORIDA, (12-0) OHIO ST.
Spurrier (9-2) FLORIDA, (7-5) SOUTH CAROLINA
McElwain - (10-4) FLORIDA
Sumlin (10-2) TXAM
Miles (11-2) LSU
Coaches around these losses first season seem to stick around and have improvement.
If we end up having more losses (7 or more) ,than we might be looking for a new coach in year 3 or we need to lower our expectations.
If we end up with 4 or less , we have ourselves a GEM and we should keep them regardless of Conference Play OR we know we can hire another GEM.
I did a little researching on some Coaches and their first seasons.
Lets start with TN Coaches post-Fulmer
Kiffin - (7-6)
Dooley - (6-7)
Butch - (5-7)
A few coaches in the SEC
Smart - (8-5) GEORGIA
Saban (8-4) LSU, (7-6) BAMA
Mullen (5-7) MISS. ST
Muschamp (7-6) FLORIDA, (6-7) SOUTH CAROLINA
Mason (3-9) VANDY
Malzahn (12-2) AUBURN
Noteable Coaches
Fisher - (10-2) FSU
Urban - (10-2) UTAH, (9-3) FLORIDA, (12-0) OHIO ST.
Spurrier (9-2) FLORIDA, (7-5) SOUTH CAROLINA
McElwain - (10-4) FLORIDA
Sumlin (10-2) TXAM
Miles (11-2) LSU