3 team race for the East..the percentages?

#51
#51
Why do so many people think we will "trip up" against Alabama or Arkansas? I am not saying it is not possible. With our team and the way this season has played out anything is possible in college football. But, we are a better football team than either of them. I have watched both play this year and neither have been impressive at all. Alabama is just flat out not good. The fact that people are still clinging to the assumption that inserting Saban means instant success is baffling to me. They will most likely become good under Saban but they are not good right now. And, Arkansas is a team lacking in talent at almost every position except RB.
 
#52
#52
i believe CBS has the SEC Title game. and while i don't think anyone could deny the national attention a FL/LSU rematch would garner.......TN/LSU or SC/LSU will do fine as well. it's not like they're going to not broadcast it if it's not FL.......

LG....it's definitely more fun this way.
 
#53
#53
Big Orange Nation said:
Bama is the only team left that I am really worried about and I think we have a real good chance of beating them. Not saying for one second that we can't lose to any of the other teams.

I think we payback ARK this year. They are too one dimensional. That one dimension is awesome, but I am counting on our defense to continue to progress and gang tackle like we did this past week.

I also think we will play SC like we did GA this past week. We may have gotten back the home field advantage with one flip of the switch. I see us playing with a whole different attitude for the rest of the year, especially at home.


Bama should be the only game we are not the favorites. They should be favored by about a fg over us as it stands right now. This weekend could have a slight effect on that depending on what happens.


So I am still gonna give us the edge at around 40% :question:
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Why? Have you seen Alabama play this year? We will most likely be favored in that game.
 
#54
#54
therickbol said:
Why do so many people think we will "trip up" against Alabama or Arkansas? I am not saying it is not possible. With our team and the way this season has played out anything is possible in college football. But, we are a better football team than either of them. I have watched both play this year and neither have been impressive at all. Alabama is just flat out not good. The fact that people are still clinging to the assumption that inserting Saban means instant success is baffling to me. They will most likely become good under Saban but they are not good right now. And, Arkansas is a team lacking in talent at almost every position except RB.
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in 4 of our 5 games we have been equally unimpressive.

ARK, Bama, SC, KY are all toss ups, and for fans of any of those teams or TN fans to look at each other and say "yeah, that's a W" would be foolish.
 
#55
#55
therickbol said:
Why? Have you seen Alabama play this year? We will most likely be favored in that game.
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yes. and i doubt it unless we drubb MSU and Bama loses to Ole Miss. it's probably going to be a low spread, with Bama being the fav cause of home feild.
 
#56
#56
CBS does have the SECCG. on a side note, if you go to the link on secsports.com about the championship game, they show a pic of the Ga Dome with a Tennessee endzone. maybe they know something I don't.
 
#58
#58
jakez4ut said:
in 4 of our 5 games we have been equally unimpressive.

ARK, Bama, SC, KY are all toss ups, and for fans of any of those teams or TN fans to look at each other and say "yeah, that's a W" would be foolish.
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I do not look at any game and say "yeah, that's a W" because you never know what will happen. All I can do is look at the game and say "we have a better team and should beat that team." I have seen Alabama play several times and they do not have very many advantages over UT. We have more talent and most positions. If UT reverts back to playing uninspired then any team on our schedule is capable of beating us. Even a horrendous ULL team. We obviously have to make assumption. I am assuming we continue to play with intensity and passion. If we do that we will be the better team every time we step on the field for the remainder of the regular season.
 
#59
#59
if if's and but's were candy and nuts, it'd be Christmas all year long.

all we have right now is the opportunity. that's it.
 
#60
#60
The thread calls for ifs and buts. Without ifs and buts there is not much of a message board is there. We have an opportunity and we happen to look like we have more talent/better team than all of our remaining opponents. It is a different statement without the and in there.
 
#62
#62
all i'm saying is as unimpressive as Bama has been or in consistent as SC has been etc....we're in the same boat. there's not THAT much separating any of us to tell the truth....

i wasn't taking issue with the ifs and buts literally, just the idea that those other teams were so much worse than us, and that's simply not the case...

that's all....
 
#63
#63
UF is in no way worse than us. The one advantage we do have here is that we control our own destiny and UF has nothing to do with the current scenario.
 
#64
#64
I have no problem with that rationale. Like I said, there is no telling what will happen at this point. My point is just that I would not trade places with any team in the SECE at this point (as far as chances of winning the SECE this season). My assumption is that we continue to play inspired. That might be an incorrect assumption. We will see.
 
#65
#65
therickbol said:
Why? Have you seen Alabama play this year? We will most likely be favored in that game.
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Therick, I agree with your posts in this thread. I think we have a good shot to win out and are better than all of the remaining teams we play. However, that doesn't mean we won't be the underdog at Bama.


I based that on what my numbers say which is about a pickem and then giving Bama 3pts or so for home field so I am guessing it will be somewhere between a pick and Bama favored by -3.

...and I could be way off, but that is the way I think the line will open.
 
#66
#66
therickbol said:
I have no problem with that rationale. Like I said, there is no telling what will happen at this point. My point is just that I would not trade places with any team in the SECE at this point (as far as chances of winning the SECE this season). My assumption is that we continue to play inspired. That might be an incorrect assumption. We will see.
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That is exactly how I feel about it.


GO VOLS :rock2:
 
#69
#69
From what I have seen in college football this year. Zero chance doesn't hang around much anymore.
 
#72
#72
All Vol! said:
although I may give UF somewhat of an edge right now as far as potential to keep playing strong, I think it's worth noting that the Gators rose to the occasion on Saturday just as we did. Go back one week, though, to the Auburn game, and they obviously were very vulnerable. Like us, I think they are something of a wild card and definitely susceptible to another conference loss. That said, I am convinced they are stronger, tougher and more athletic than SC, and I really don't think playing that game in Coumbia gives the Gamecocks any real advantage. I guess my point is that there is very little that can gleaned from what has transpired for us and the Gators to this point in terms of guessing about the rest of the season. Nothing will surprise me.
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The LSU game shouldn't have been as close by UF. AU uncovered some vulnerabilty on the UF offense and Tebow by basically palying a plow ahead power pressure the whole game. LSU didn't attack the same way. To UF's credit, they held up the LSU D-line better than they did AU. I think they were alreadt playing LSU and let AU backdoor them hard. No way UF loses to AU if they gave the effort they did against LSU.
 
#73
#73
jakez4ut said:
in 4 of our 5 games we have been equally unimpressive.

ARK, Bama, SC, KY are all toss ups, and for fans of any of those teams or TN fans to look at each other and say "yeah, that's a W" would be foolish.
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Its one thing to struggle and still beat a mediocre team by 21 points and its another thing to struggle and hold off a team throwing into your endzone on the final play of the game while knowing if they score you lose.

Just like the Vols have now won 3 of the past 4 over Georgia, the Vols have already won 3-of-4 against Bama.... and 10-out-of-12 over Bama.

Likewise with South Carolina, the Vols have 20 wins, 3 losses and 2 ties alltime versus the Cocks. South Carolina has a strong defense, but looks to struggle on offense. They are a team that is very similar to the Georgia team the Vols just dismantled.

And Kentucky.... the Vols own the Wildcats... holding the second-longest active winning streak in an uninterrupted series between major college opponents at 22 wins. Having said that, the Wildcats have an offense that will give the Vols fits. However, Kentucky will have a difficult time holding the Vols offense under 40 points.
 
#74
#74
allvol said:
Its one thing to struggle and still beat a mediocre team by 21 points and its another thing to struggle and hold off a team throwing into your endzone on the final play of the game while knowing if they score you lose.

Just like the Vols have now won 3 of the past 4 over Georgia, the Vols have already won 3-of-4 against Bama.... and 10-out-of-12 over Bama.

Likewise with South Carolina, the Vols have 20 wins, 3 losses and 2 ties alltime versus the Cocks. South Carolina has a strong defense, but looks to struggle on offense. They are a team that is very similar to the Georgia team the Vols just dismantled.

And Kentucky.... the Vols own the Wildcats... holding the second-longest active winning streak in an uninterrupted series between major college opponents at 22 wins. Having said that, the Wildcats have an offense that will give the Vols fits. However, Kentucky will have a difficult time holding the Vols offense under 40 points.
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You are correct, but hopefully the Gamecocks will be able to do SOMETHING on offense and stop the run on defense.... somehow :dunno:
 
#75
#75
Outside of Vandy, I think every team has a chance right now.

Fla: havent lost to a sec east team
Uga: Probably the weakest case, but you know the winner of the east will most likely have at least two sec losses.
Uk: Can win out and hope for uf and/or ut to beat usc
Usc: Has to beat Uf and Ut
Ut: Should be at least a push in all remaining sec games, but outside of vandy and miss state none of them are gimmies.

Its really wide open right now. Should be fun to watch.
 
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